中国城市化快速发展的动力机制
收稿日期: 2004-05-15
修回日期: 2004-07-15
网络出版日期: 2004-11-25
基金资助
建设部2003年重点科技项目计划 (建设科技03-1-001)
The Dynamic Mechanism of the Rapid Development of Urbanization in China
Received date: 2004-05-15
Revised date: 2004-07-15
Online published: 2004-11-25
Supported by
Key Science Project of the Ministry of Construction, 2003 (construction science, 03-1-001)
中国的城市化快速发展始于1996年，经济全球化和经济转型是其基本特征。集聚和扩散是流的两种基本运动形态，属于城市化动力的核心表现形态。作者建立了不确定条件下农村剩余劳动力的城市化决策模型，解释了政府主导条件下、改革开放以来和城市化快速发展阶段城市化速度的差异，认为城市化快速发展是政府和市场共同作用的结果。在对传统工业化与城市化之间数量关系进行计量分析的基础上，提出了城市化快速发展主要由第三产业推动的观点。根据工业制成品的进出口差额，粗略估计了封闭条件下中国的工业产值，并计算了国际贸易对城市化水平的贡献程度。研究表明，继续推进市场化改革和扩大对外开放，将有助于中国城市化的快速发展。
陈波翀,郝寿义,杨兴宪 . 中国城市化快速发展的动力机制[J]. 地理学报, 2004 , 59(6) : 1068 -1075 . DOI: 10.11821/xb200406031
The rapid development of urbanization in China started in 1996 with two basic characteristics: the economic globalization and the transformation of economy. In the author's opinion, accumulation and diffusion are the two fundamental dynamic forms of the flow and the essential manifestation of the dynamics of urbanization. The author, by establishing an urbanization policy model of rural surplus labor force under indefinite situations, tries to explain the differences of the speed of urbanization between the period after the adoption of reform and open-up policy and the period of rapid development of urbanization, and comes to the conclusion that the latter period is the natural result of the combined force of the government and the market. Moreover, by making a metrological analysis on the numerical relationship between traditional industrialization and urbanization, the author promotes the opinion that the rapid development of urbanization is mainly stimulated by the tertiary industry. Then the author roughly estimates the industrial output value according to the import and export margin of industrial products and calculates the contribution of international trade to the development of urbanization.
Key words： urbanization; transformation of economy; economic globalization; China
[1] Chen Bochong, Hao Shouyi. Recognition model of rapid development of urbanization in China. City Planning Review, 2004.
[陈波翀, 郝寿义. 中国城市化快速发展识别模型. 城市规划, 2004.]
[2] Ning Deng. Research on the urbanization mechanism in China in the 21st century. Urban Planning Forum, 2000, (3): 41-45.
[宁登. 21世纪中国城市化机制研究. 城市规划汇刊, 2000, (3): 41-45.]
[3] Yang Hong, Liu Chuanjiang. A comparison and contrast of policy planning between central government controlled urbanization and regional urbanization in China. Journal of Huazhong University of Science and Technology (Social Science Edition), 2000, 14(2): 77-79.
[杨虹, 刘传江. 中国自上而下城市化与自下而上城市化制度安排比较. 华中理工大学学报 (社会科学版), 2000, 14(2): 77-79.]
[4] Xue Fengxuan. Foreign Investment: the New Dynamics of Developing Urbanization in China. Acta Geographica Sinica, 1997, 52(3): 193-206.
[薛凤旋. 外资——发展中国家城市化的新动力. 地理学报, 1997, 52(3): 193-206.]
[5] Ning Yuemin. New progress in urbanization. Acta Geographica Sinica, 1998, 53(5): 470-477.
[宁越敏. 新城市化进程. 地理学报, 1998, 53(5): 470-477.]
[6] Liu Chuanjiang. The generating mechanism of urbanization. Economic Review, 1998, (5): 56-61.
[刘传江. 论城市化的生成机制. 经济评论, 1998, (5): 56-61.]
[7] North Douglas (ed.). Structure and Change in Economic History, New York, 1981. 158-162.
[8] Myrdal G. Economic Development and Undeveloped Regions. London: Duckworth, 1957.
[9] Hirschman A O. Strategy of Economic Development. Yale University Press, 1958.
[10] World Bank. China in 2020. Beijing: China Finance and Economics Press, 1977.
[11] Hollis Chenery. Development Modes: 1950-1970. Beijing: The Economical Press, 1988.
[12] National Bureau of Statistics of China. China Statistical Yearbook. Beijing: China Statistics Press, 2003.
[13] Yang Xiaokai. Rising Classic Economy and Sur-marginal Analysis. Beijing: Social Science Academic Press, 2003.
[14] Mayor Association of China. (2001-2002) Report on the Development of Cities in China. Beijing: Xiyuan Press, 2003.
[15] Arthur O'Sullivan. Urban Economics. The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2000.
/
| 〈 |
|
〉 |