水分循环

近50 年长江中下游地区夏季气温变化 与东半球环流异常

展开
  • 1. 南京信息工程大学大气科学学院;南京210044;
    2. 江苏省气象灾害重点实验室,南京210044;
    3. 福建省气候中心,福州350001
蔡佳熙(1982-),女,博士研究生,主要从事气候动力学研究。E-mail: caijx2004y@nuist.edu.cn

收稿日期: 2008-09-23

  修回日期: 2008-12-15

  网络出版日期: 2009-03-25

基金资助

国家科技支撑计划课题(2007BAC29B02);江苏省气象灾害重点实验室资助项目(KLME060101)

Summertime Temperature Variations in the Middle and Lower Yangtze River and Their Related Circulation Anomalies in the Eastern Hemisphere in the Past Five Decades

Expand
  • 1. School of Atmospheric Sciences,NUIST,Nanjing 210044,China;
    2. Jiangsu Key Laboratory of Meteorological Disaster,NUIST,Nanjing 210044,China;
    3. Fujian Climate Center,Fuzhou 350001,China

Received date: 2008-09-23

  Revised date: 2008-12-15

  Online published: 2009-03-25

Supported by

National Scientific and Technical Supporting Programs,Grant No.2007BAC29B02;Project of Jiangsu Key Laboratory of Meteorological Disaster,Grant No.KLME060101

摘要

采用中国气象局整编的气温资料以及NCEP/NCAR 再分析资料, 分析了1960-2005 年 中国长江中下游地区夏季气温变化与东半球环流异常的联系。结果表明: 近50 年来, 中国长 江中下游地区夏季气温呈现出明显的非对称趋势变化特征, 夏季气温的上升趋势在很大程度上是日最低气温上升带来的结果; 典型高、低温年, 在环流场的垂直分布均呈准正压结构的情况下, 从对流层低层一直到高层, 东半球大部分区域的异常值符号相反。此外, 出现在江淮流域上空的异常环流的形成和维持可能与三支不同源头的波列有关; 地面长波辐射对气温 的影响在夜间超过白天, 气温分别与感热通量和潜热通量呈负相关以及正相关关系; 典型高(低) 温年, 垂直温度平流引起的异常动力增(降) 温和非绝热加热引起的异常增(降) 温可以作为解释高(低) 温年气温异常维持的原因。

本文引用格式

蔡佳熙,管兆勇,高庆九,林昕,钱代丽 . 近50 年长江中下游地区夏季气温变化 与东半球环流异常[J]. 地理学报, 2009 , 64(3) : 289 -302 . DOI: 10.11821/xb200903004

Abstract

Using the data of daily temperature from China Meteorological Administration and the NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data, we analyze the relationships between the summertime high/low temperature events in the middle and lower Yangtze River and the related circulation anomalies in the Eastern Hemisphere from 1960 to 2005. The summer temperature shows a significantly increasing trend, which are explained by the rise of daily minimum temperature in the past 50 years. In the major regions, the opposite scenarios are observed circulation anomalies in lower and upper parts of the troposphere in the years when the temperatures are higher than normal, as compared to those in the years when the temperatures are lower than normal in the middle and lower Yangtze River. The emergence and maintenance of the anomalous circulations are found to be related to three wave train related teleconnection patterns. The anomalous circulation structure in vertical direction in both the high and lower temperature years are barotropic. Influences of the long wave surfaxe radiation on the air temperature are found to be stronger in the nighttime than in the daytime. Both the maximum and minimum temperatures have negative relationships with the sensible heat flux but positive relationships with the latent heat flux. To some extent, the anomalous dynamic heating (cooling) caused by the vertical thermal advection as well as the diabatic heating (cooling) caused by diabatic processes can explain the formation of the high (low) temperature events in the middle and lower Yangtze River in boreal summer.

参考文献


[1] IPCC (The intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change). Climate Change 2001: The Scientific Basis. In: Houghton J T, Ding Y, Griggs D J (eds.). Cambridge Univ. Press, 2001, 881.

[2] IPCC (The intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change). Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. In: Solomon S, Qin D, Manning M (eds.). Cambridge Univ. Press, 2007. 996.

[3] Nitta T. Convective activities in the tropical western Pacific and their impact on the Northern Hemisphere summer circulation. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 1987, 65: 373-390.

[4] Zhang R, Sumi A, Kimoto M. Impact of El Nino on the East Asian monsoon: A diagnostic study of the '86/87 and '91/92 events. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 1996, 74: 49-62.

[5] Zhang R, Sumi A, Kimoto M. A diagnostic study of the impact of El Nino on the precipitation in China. Adv. Atmos. Sci., 1999, 16: 229-241.

[6] Guan Z, Yamagata T. The unusual summer of 1994 in East Asia: IOD teleconnections. Geophys. Res. Lett., 2003, 30: 1544, doi: 10.1029/2002GL016831.

[7] Wakabayashi S, Kawamura R. Extraction of major teleconnection patterns possibly associated with anomalous summer climate in Japan. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 2004, 82: 1577-1588.

[8] Ren Guoyu, Xu Mingzhi, Chu Ziying et al. Changes of surface air temperature in China during 1951-2004. Climatic and Environmental Research, 2005, 10(4): 717-727.
[任国玉, 徐铭志, 初子莹等. 近54 年中国地面气温变化. 气候与环境 研究, 2005, 10(4): 717-727.]

[9] Chen Hongbin, Diao Lijun. Some extreme events of weather, climate and related phenomena in 2003. Climatic and Environmental Research, 2004, 9(1): 218-223.
[陈洪滨, 刁丽军. 2003 年的极端天气和气候事件及其他相关事件. 气 候与环境研究, 2004, 9(1): 218-223.]

[10] Jin Zhifeng, Su Gaoli, Jian Genmei. The unseasonably cool summer of 1999 and its impacts on the crop growth and development in Zhejiang Province. Bulletin of Science and Technology, 2001, 17(4): 20-24.
[金志凤, 苏高利, 简根梅. 1999 年浙江省凉夏及其对农作物生长的影响. 科技通报, 2001, 17(4): 20-24.]

[11] Qin Aimin, Qian Weihong, Cai Qinbo. Seasonal Division and trend characteristic of air temperature in China in the last 41 years. Scientia Meteorologica Sinica, 2005, 25(4): 338-345.
[秦爱民, 钱维宏, 蔡亲波. 1960-2000 年中国不同季节 的气温分区及趋势. 气象科学, 2005, 25(4): 338-345.]

[12] Tu Qipu, Deng Ziwang, Zhou Xiaolan. Studies on the regional characteristics of air temperature abnormal in China. Acta Meteorologica Sinica, 2000, 58(3): 288-296.
[屠其璞, 邓自旺, 周晓兰. 中国气温异常的区域特征研究. 气象学 报, 2000, 58(3): 288-296.]

[13] Zhou Liantong, Huang Ronghui. Research on the characteristics of interdecadal variability of summer climate in China and its possible cause. Climatic and Environmental Research, 2003, 8(3): 274-290.
[周连童, 黄荣辉. 关于我国夏季气 候年代际变化特征及其可能成因的研究. 气候与环境研究, 2003, 8(3): 274-290.]

[14] Huang R, Wu Y. The influence of ENSO on the summer climate change in China and its mechanism. Adv. Atmos. Sci., 1989, 6: 21-32.

[15] Gong Daoyi, He Xuezhao. Interdecadal change in western Pacific subtropical high and climatic effects. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2002, 57(2): 185-193.
[龚道溢, 何学兆. 西太平洋副热带高压的年代际变化及其气候影响. 地理 学报, 2002, 57(2): 185-193.]

[16] Zhang Qiong, Wu Guoxiong. The large area flood and drought over Yangtze River Valley and its relation to the South Asia High. Acta Meteorologica Sinica, 2001, 59(5): 569-577.
[张琼, 吴国雄. 长江流域大范围旱涝与南亚高压的关 系. 气象学报, 2001, 59(5): 569-577.]

[17] Kalnay E, Kanamitsu M, Kistler R et al. The NCEP/NCAR 40-year reanalysis project. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 1996, 77: 437-471.

[18] Wei Fengying, Cao Hongxing, Wang Liping. Climatic warming process during 1980s-1990s in China. Journal of Applied Meteorological Science, 2003, 14(1): 79-86.
[魏凤英, 曹鸿兴, 王丽萍. 20 世纪80-90 年代我国气候增暖进 程的统计事实. 应用气象学报, 2003, 14(1): 79-86.]

[19] Jones, P D, Raper S C B, Bradley R S. Northern Hemisphere surface air temperature variations: 1851-1984. J. of Climate and Applied Meteorology, 1986, 25: 161-179.

[20] Li Q, Liu X, Zhang H et al. Detecting and adjusting on temporal inhomogeneities in Chinese mean surface air temperature datasets. Adv. Atmos. Sci., 2004, 21: 260-268.

[21] Tang Guoli, Lin Xuechun. Average air temperature series and its variations in China. Meteorological Monthly, 1992, 18 (7): 3-6.
[唐国利, 林学椿. 1921-1990 年我国气温序列. 气象, 1992, 18(7): 3-6.]

[22] Zhai Panmao, Ren Fumin. On changes of China's maximum and minimum temperatures in the recent 40 years. Acta Meteorologica Sinica, 1997, 55(4): 418-429.
[翟盘茂, 任福民. 中国近四十年最高最低温度变化. 气象学报, 1997, 55 (4):418-429.]

[23] Karl T R, Kukla G, Razuvayev V N et al. Global warming: Evidence for asymmetric diurnal temperature change. Geophys. Res. Lett., 1991, 18: 2253-2256.

[24] Kaiser D P, Qian Y. Decreasing trends in sunshine duration over China for 1954-1998: Indication of increased haze pollution. Geophys. Res. Lett., 2002, 29: 2042-2045.

[25] Torrence C, Compo G P. A practical guide to wavelet analysis. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 1998, 79: 61-78.

[26] Guo Qiyun, Cai Jingning, Shao Xuemei et al. Interdecadal variability of East-Asian summer monsoon and its impact on the climate of China. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2003, 58(4): 569-576.
[郭其蕴, 蔡静宁, 邵雪梅等. 东亚夏季风的年 代际变率对中国气候的影响. 地理学报, 2003, 58(4): 569-576.]

[27] Sardeshmukh P D, Hoskins B J. The generation of global rotational flow by steady idealized tropical divergence. J. Atmos. Sci., 1988, 45: 1228-1251.

[28] Liebmann B, Smith C A. Description of a complete (interpolated) outgoing longwave radiation dataset. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 1996, 77: 1275-1277.

[29] Huang Ronghui, Sun Fengying. Impacts of the thermal state and the convective activities in the tropical western warm pool on the summer climate anomalies in East Asia. Scientia Atmospherica Sinica, 1994, 18(2): 141-151.
[黄荣辉, 孙 凤英, 热带西太平洋暖池的热状态及其上空的对流活动对东亚夏季气候异常的影响. 大气科学, 1994, 18(2): 141-151.]

[30] Enomoto T, Hoskins B J, Matsuda Y. The formation mechanism of the Bonin high in August. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 2003, 129: 157-178.

[31] Ambrizzi T, Hoskins B J, Hsu H H. Rossby wave propagation and teleconnection patterns in the Austral winter. J. Atmos. Sci., 1995, 52: 3661-3672.

[32] Ambrizzi T, Hoskins B J. Stationary Rossby-wave propagation in a baroclinic atmosphere. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 1997, 123: 919-928.

[33] Liang X, Wang W. Association between China monsoon rainfall and tropospheric jets. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 1998, 124: 2597-2623.

[34] Krishnan R, Sugi M. Baiu rainfall variability and associates monsoon teleconnections. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 2001, 79: 851-860.

[35] Park C K, Schubert S D. On the nature of the 1994 East Asian summer drought. J. Climate, 1997, 10: 1056-1070.

[36] Rodwell M J, Hoskins B J. Monsoons and the dynamics of deserts. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 1996, 122: 1385-1404.

[37] Zhao Zongci, Wang Shaowu, Xu Ying et al. Attribution of the 20th century climate warming in China. Climatic and Environmental Research, 2005, 10(4): 808-817.
[赵宗慈, 王绍武, 徐影等. 近百年我国地表气温趋势变化的可能原 因. 气候与环境研究, 2005, 10(4): 808-817.]

[38] Wang Zunya, Ding Yihui, He Jinhai et al. An updating analysis of the climate change in China in recent 50 years. Acta Meteorologica Sinica, 2004, 62(2): 228-236.
[王遵娅, 丁一汇, 何金海等. 近50 年来中国气候变化特征的再分析. 气象学报, 2004, 62(2): 228-236.]

[39] Chen Longxun, Zhou Xiuji, Li Weiliang et al. Characteristics of the climate change and its formation mechanism in China in last 80 years. Acta Meteorologica Sinica, 2004, 62(5): 634-646.
[陈隆勋, 周秀骥, 李维亮等. 中国近80 年 来气候变化特征及其形成机制. 气象学报, 2004, 62(5): 634-646.]

文章导航

/