绿洲耕地变化趋势及其驱动力——塔里木盆地南部策勒绿洲为例
收稿日期: 2003-09-29
修回日期: 2004-03-17
网络出版日期: 2004-07-25
基金资助
国家973项目 (G199904308);国家自然科学基金项目 (49961002; 40261006);新疆大学博士科研启动基金项目
Tendency and Driving Forces of Cultivated Land Use Change in Qira Oases: The Case of Qira Oases in South of Tarim Basin
Received date: 2003-09-29
Revised date: 2004-03-17
Online published: 2004-07-25
Supported by
National 973 Project, G199904308; National Natural Science Foundation of China, No.49961002; No.40261006; Doctoral Fund of Xinjiang University
瓦哈甫·哈力克,海米提·依米提,塔西甫拉提·特依拜,熊黑钢 . 绿洲耕地变化趋势及其驱动力——塔里木盆地南部策勒绿洲为例[J]. 地理学报, 2004 , 59(4) : 608 -614 . DOI: 10.11821/xb200404015
Based on years of on-the-spot investigated materials and statistical data, this paper analyses the overall tendency, spatial differences and driving forces of the cultivated land change of Qira oases in the south of Tarim Basin. Based on GPS instant positioning, initial prediction of the cultivated land amount of Qira oases in 2010 and 2020 was carried out by means of establishing multiple regression mode and GIS aided spatial analysis. The result shows that dynamic changes of society and economy, improvement of agricultural technology, restrictions of water and land resources are three primary factors influencing cultivated land amount change in the arid area. The authors believe that this study will provide scientific basis for sustainable oasis agricultural development of this region.
Key words： oases of arid area; driving factor; cultivated land; multivariate analysis
[1] AndréDauphiné, Les relations aménagement du territoire － environnement, Revue d'Analyse Spatiale Quantitative et Appiliquée No38 et 39-1996.
[2] Guigo M. et autres, Gestion de l'environnement et étude d'impact. Paris: Masson, 1991. 231.
[3] Xu Yueqing. Analysis of dynamic change and driving forces of farmland in Hebei province. Resources Science, 2001, 23(5): 28-32.
[许月卿. 河北省耕地数量动态变化及驱动因子分析. 资源科学, 2001, 23(5): 28-32.]
[4] Shao Xiaomei. A study on trend and driving forces of cultivated land use change in Shandong Province. Geographical Research, 200l, 20(3) : 298-306.
[邵晓梅. 山东省耕地变化趋势及驱动力研究. 地理研究, 2001, 20(3): 298-306.]
[5] Li Xiaowen. Dynamics and trends in cultivated land in lower Yangtze Valley in the past decade. J of Natural Resources, 2003, 18(5): 562-567.
[李晓文. 近10年来长江下游地区耕地动态变化特征. 自然资源学报, 2003, 18(5): 562-567.]
[6] Zhou Bingzhong. Study on the change of cultivated land and its regulation countermeasure in Jiangsu. Acta Pedologica Sinica, 2003, 40(5): 665-671.
[周炳中. 江苏省耕地变化及其驱动机制的数理探讨. 土壤学报, 40(5): 665-671.]
[7] Zhang Yongmin, Zhao Shidong. Changes of cultivated land use in Chifeng during the past 50 years. Resources Science, 2002, 24(5): 19-25.
[张永民, 赵士洞. 近50年赤峰市耕地动态变化研究. 资源科学, 2002, 24(5): 19-25.]
[8] Pu Lijie. Arable land use changes at county level in Yangtze River Delta. J of Nanjing University, 2002, 38(6): 779-785.
[濮励杰. 长江三角洲地区县域耕地变化驱动要素研究. 南京大学学报(自然科学), 2002, 38(6): 779-785.]
[9] He Shujin, Li Xiubin. Driving force analysis of land use change in Bohai Rim. Journal of Natural Resources, 2002, 17(3): 345-352.
[何书金, 李秀彬. 环渤海地区耕地资源变化及动因分析. 自然资源学报, 2002, 17(3): 345-352.]
[10] Yu Yongjun, Lu Yuqi. Quantitative studies on the using efficiency and driving factors of changing of cultivated land in Jiangyin city. Economic Geography, 2002, 22(4): 440-443.
[俞勇军, 陆玉麒. 江阴市耕地变化驱动因素及耕地利用效率定量研究. 经济地理, 2002, 22(4): 440-443.]
[11] Tashpulat TEYIP. Environmental Change and Remote Sensing Application in Arid Areas. Urumqi: Xinjiang University Press, 2001.
[塔西甫拉提·特依拜. 干旱区环境演变与遥感应用研究. 乌鲁木齐: 新疆大学出版社, 2001.]
[12] Tashpulat TEYIP. Eco-environmental Change in Southern Tarim Basin. Urumqi: Xinjiang University Press, 2001.
[13] Wahap HALIK. Dynamic change and regional sustainable development in oases of Xinjiang's arid area. Doctoral Paper, 2003. (in France)
[瓦哈甫·哈力克. 新疆干旱区绿洲动态演变与区域可持续发展研究. 博士论文(法文), 2003.]
[14] Wang Siyuan, Liu Jiyuan. Analysis on spatial-temporal features of land use in China. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2001, 56(6): 631-639.
[王思远, 刘纪远. 中国土地利用时空特征分析. 地理学报, 2001, 56(6): 631-639.]
[15] Ge Quansheng, Zhao Mingcha. Land use change of Chine during the 20th century. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2000, 55(6): 698-706.
[葛全胜, 赵名茶. 20世纪中国土地利用变化研究. 地理学报, 2000, 55(6): 698-706.]
[16] Wang Xiulan, Bao Yuhai. Study on the methods of land use dynamic change research. Progress in Geography, 1999, 18(1): 81-87.
[王秀兰, 包玉海. 土地利用动态变化研究方法探讨. 地理科学进展, 1999, 18(1): 81-87.]
[17] Cai Yunlong. A study on land use/cover change: the need for a new integrated approach. Geographical Research, 2001, 20(6): 645-652.
[蔡云龙. 土地利用/土地覆被变化研究——寻求新的综合途径. 地理研究, 2001, 20(6): 645-652.]
[18] Long Hualou. Land use transition: a new integrated approach of land use/cover change study. Geography and Geo-information Science, 2003, 19(1): 87-90.
[龙花楼. 土地利用转型--土地利用/覆被变化综合研究的新途径. 地理与地理信息科学, 2003, 19(1): 87-90.]
[19] Luo Geping, Zhou Chenghu. Process of land use/land cover change in the oasis of arid region. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2003, 58(1): 63-72.
[罗格平, 周成虎. 干旱区绿洲土地利用与覆被变化过程. 地理学报, 2003, 58(1): 63-72.]
[20] Ding Jianli, Tashpolat. Study of oasis desertification dynamic in the south of Tarim basin. J of Remote Sensing, 2002, 6(1): 56-63.
[丁建丽, 塔西甫拉提. 塔里木盆地南缘绿洲荒漠化动态变化遥感研究. 遥感学报, 2002, 6(1): 56-63.]
[21] Li Xiaoming. The land desertification in lower reaches of Cele River in the past 50 years. Arid Zone Research, 1995, 12(4): 17-19.
[李小明. 策勒河下游绿洲近五十年来土地沙漠化成因. 干旱区研究, 1995, 12(4): 17-19.]
[22] Lu Dadao. Regional Development and Spatial Analysis. Beijing: Science Press, 1998.
[23] Bai Wanqi, Zhao Shidong. An analysis on driving forces system of land use changes. Resources Science, 2001, 23(3): 39-41.
[摆万奇, 赵士洞. 土地利用变化驱动力系统分析. 资源科学, 2001, 23(3): 39-41.]
/
| 〈 |
|
〉 |