EN中文

地理学报 >

2002 , Vol. 57 >Issue 6: 639 - 647

DOI: https://doi.org/10.11821/xb200206002

自然环境

水资源复杂适应配置系统的理论与模型

展开
  • 清华大学水文水资源研究所, 北京, 100084
赵建世 (1975-), 男, 河南济源人, 博士研究生。E-mail: zhjsh98@mails.tsinghua.edu.cn

收稿日期: 2002-06-24

  修回日期: 2002-09-10

  网络出版日期: 2002-11-25

基金资助

国家“973”重点基础研究项目 (G1999043607)

收起

Theory and Model of Water Resources Complex Adaptive Allocation System

Expand
  • Institute of Hydrology & Water Resources, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China

Received date: 2002-06-24

  Revised date: 2002-09-10

  Online published: 2002-11-25

Supported by

The National Key Project for Basic Research, No.G1999043607

Fold

摘要

在对水资源配置系统的复杂性及其复杂适应机理分析的基础上,应用复杂适应系统理论的基本原理和方法,构架出了全新的水资源配置系统分析模型。同时对系统的动力机制、主体行为特性和系统状态的评价方法进行了描述,形成了一个较为完整的研究体系,用于分析水资源配置系统的演化规律,并应用这种分析方法对南水北调工程对受水区水资源配置的影响进行了简要的研究。

关键词： 水资源配置; 复杂适应理论; 复杂巨系统; 南水北调

本文引用格式

赵建世,王忠静,翁文斌 . 水资源复杂适应配置系统的理论与模型[J]. 地理学报, 2002 , 57(6) : 639 -647 . DOI: 10.11821/xb200206002

Abstract

Complex adaptive system theory is a new and important embranchment of system science, which provides a new thought to research water resources allocation system. Based on the analysis of complexity and complex adaptive mechanism of water resources allocation system, a fairly-new analysis model is presented in this paper. With the description of dynamical mechanism of system, behavior characters of agents and the evaluation method of system status, an integrated research system is built to analyse the evolvement rule of water resources allocation system. And a brief research of the impact of water resources allocation on beneficial regions of the Water Transfer Project from South China to North China is conducted.

Key words： water resources allocation; complex adaptive system; complex giant system

参考文献


[1] Gao Yanchun, Liu Changming. A study of simulated calculation and optimal decision-making of regional water resources: taking the plain area of Hanzhong Basin as an example. Journal of Natural Resources, 1996, 11(2).
[高彦春, 刘昌明. 区域水资源系统仿真预测及优化决策分析－以汉中盆地平坝区为例. 自然资源学报, 1996, 11(2).]

[2] Su Ningnan, Liu Xinmei. An application of system dynamics method on the water resources development and utilization. Journal of Ningxia Institute of Technology, 1997, (2).
[苏宁男, 刘新梅. 系统动力学方法在水资源开发利用中的应用. 宁夏工学院院报, 1997, (2).]

[3] Xu Xinyi, Wang Hao, Gan Hong et al. Theory and method of macro economy water resources programming in North China. Zhengzhou: Yellow River Water Conservancy Press, 1997.
[许新宜, 王浩, 甘泓 等. 华北地区宏观经济水资源规划理论与方法. 郑州: 黄河水利出版社, 1997.]

[4] Weng Wenbin, Cai Ximin, Shi Huibin. Development of marco-economic based water resources multi objective analysis approach and its application. Journal of Hydraulic Engineering, 1995, 11(1).
[翁文斌, 蔡喜民, 史慧斌. 宏观经济水资源规划多目标决策分析方法研究及应用. 水利学报, 1995, 11(1).]

[5] Cai Ximin, McKinney, Daene C. Multiobjective analysis model for negotiations in regional water resources allocation. In: Proceedings of the 24th Annual Water Resources Planning and Management Conference, 1997.

[6] Zhu Zhaoxuan. Guide to Nonlinear Physics. Nonlinear Research Center of Peking University, 1992.
[朱照宣. 非线性物理导论. 北京大学非线性研究中心, 1992.]

[7] Holland J H. Emergence. Addidon-Wesley Publishing Company, Inc., 1998.

[8] Qian Xuesen, Yu Jingyuan, Dai Ruwei. A new field of science: opening complex giant system and its methodology. Nature, 1990, (1): 3-10.
[钱学森, 于景元, 戴汝为. 一个科学新领域--开放的复杂巨系统及其方法论. 自然杂志, 1990, (1): 3-10.]

[9] Basu N, Proyor R, Quint T. ASPEN: Micro simulation model of the economy. Computational Economics, 1998, (1).

Options
文章导航

/

〈 〉