中国生产性服务业产业关联效应分析
收稿日期: 2007-01-08
修回日期: 2007-06-21
网络出版日期: 2007-08-25
基金资助
北京市自然科学基金项目(9072002); 国家发展和改革委员会宏观经济研究院2006 年重点项目; 北京市优秀 人才培养项目(20061D0501600222)
Industry Relevancy Analysis of Producer Services in China
Received date: 2007-01-08
Revised date: 2007-06-21
Online published: 2007-08-25
Supported by
Natural Science Foundation of Beijing City, No.9072002; The Key Project of Academy of Macroeconomic Research,NDRC; Program of Excellent Talents of Beijing City, No.20061D0501600222
以中国1997 年、2002 年投入产出数据为基础, 运用投入产出法, 对中国生产性服务业 的产业关联效应进行分析。研究结果表明: 中国生产性服务业发展速度明显加快, 在国民经济中的地位逐步上升; 生产性服务业主要为第二产业服务, 对第三产业的支撑、引领作用不足; 第二产业(尤其是制造业) 对生产性服务业的中间需求比重趋于下降, 而投入到第三产业的中间服务不断上升; 制造业对生产性服务业的中间需求集中在批发和零售贸易业、交通运 输及仓储业这两个传统服务业, 制造业生产过程对中间投入服务的消耗层次偏低; 生产性服务业普遍具有“低附加值、高带动能力” 的产业特性, 对国民经济的推动作用普遍大于各行业受其他部门的需求拉动作用, 但与国民经济其他部门的后向关联效应较弱, 对国民经济的乘数推动作用不强; 商务服务业具有很强的前后向关联效应, 发展潜力巨大。
申玉铭, 邱灵, 王茂军, 任旺兵, 尚于力 . 中国生产性服务业产业关联效应分析[J]. 地理学报, 2007 , 62(8) : 821 -830 . DOI: 10.11821/xb200708004
In a flexible and information-oriented economy, producer services, used as intermediate inputs for the production of other goods or services, plays a key role in expanding division of labor, increasing productivity and inducing regional economic development. Based on the input-output tables of China in 1997 and 2002, the study applied the input-output method to industry relevancy analysis of producer services in China. The following conclusions were drawn. Firstly, the growth of producer services speeded up evidently from 1997 to 2002. The output of producer services was consumed by manufacturing industries leadingly, matching to the current situation that manufacturing industries took a dominant position in national economy. Because of feeble impulse to the development of tertiary industry by producer services, final use, but not intermediate use, drove basically the growth of tertiary industry nowadays. Secondly, the part consumed by manufacturing industries focused on conventional services, wholesale and retail trade services, transport and storage, rather than knowledge-intensive and technology-intensive services, reflecting the inferior consumption structure of manufacturing sector. Nevertheless, with the drop of intermediate use by manufacturing sector, the part consumed of intermediate use by services sector ascended from 1997 to 2002, which reflected the upgrade of producer services. Thirdly, according to the intermediate demand rate and intermediate input rate, most industries in producer services promoted the development of national economy markedly, in despite of low value added. Finally, owing to the remarkable forward effect and backward effect, special attention should be paid to boosting the growth of business services.
[1] Greenfield H. Manpower and the Growth of Producer Services. New York: Columbia University Press, 1966.
[2] Bayson J R. Business service firms, service space and the management of change. Entrepreneurship and Regional Development, 1997, 9(2): 93-111.
[3] Hansea N. Do producer services induce regional economic development? Journal of Regional Science, 1990, 30 (4): 465-476.
[4] Geo W. The growth of producer services industries: Sorting through the externalization debate. Growth and Change, 1991, 22(4): 118-141.
[5] Coffey W, Bailly A. Producer services and systems of flexible production. Urban Studies, 1992, 29(3): 857-868.
[6] Macpherson A. The role of producer service outsourcing in the innovation performance of New York State manufacturing firms. Annals of the Association of American Geographers, 1997, 87(1): 52-71.
[7] Illeris S. Producer services: The key sector for future economic development? Entrepreneurship and Regional Development, 1989, 1(3): 267-274.
[8] Selya R M. Taiwan as a service economy. Geoforum, 1994, 25(3): 305-322.
[9] Noyelle T J, Stanback T M. The Economic Transformation of American Cities. Totawa, N J: Rowman & Allanheld, 1984.
[10] Sassen S. The Global City: New York, London, Tokyo. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 1991.
[11] Stabler J C, Howe E C. Services, trade and regional structural change in Canada, 1974-1984. Review of Urban and Regional Development Studies, 1993, 5(1): 29-50.
[12] Coffey W J. Producer services research in Canada. Professional Geographer, 1995, 47(1): 74-81.
[13] Perroux Francois. L'Economie du XXe Siecle. Paris: Press Universitaires de France, 1964.
[14] Fuchs. The Services Economics. Beijing: The Commercial Press, 1987.
[ 福克斯. 服务经济学. 北京: 商务印书馆, 1987.]
[15] Karao Merlioglu D, Carlsson B. Manufacturing in decline? A matter of definition. Economy, Innovation, New Technology, 1999, (8): 175-196.
[16] Stabler J C, Howe E C. Service exports and regional growth in the postindustrial era. Journal of Regional Science, 1988, 28(3): 303-15.
[17] Daniels P W. Services Industries: A Geographical Appraisal. London: Methuen, 1985.
[18] Geo W R. Producer services, trade and the social division of labor. Regional Studies, 1990, 24(4): 327-342.
[19] Marshall J, Jaeger C. Service activities and uneven spatial development in Britain and its European partners: Development fallacies and new options. Environment and Planning A, 1990, 22(10): 1337-1354.
[20] Guerrieri Meliciani. International competitiveness in producer services. Paper presented at the SETI meeting Rome, 2003.
[21] Paolo G, Valentina M. Technology and international competitiveness: The interdependence between manufacturing and producer services. Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, 2005, 16(2): 489-500.
[22] Zhen Feng, Gu Chaolin, Zhu Chuangeng. Review of the research on producer services in Western countries. Journal of Nanjing University (Philosophy, Humanities and Social Sciences), 2001, 38(3): 31-38.
[ 甄峰, 顾朝林, 朱传耿. 西方生 产性服务业研究述评. 南京大学学报(哲学·人文科学·社会科学), 2001, 38(3): 31-38.]
[23] Zhong Yun, Yan Xiaopei. A review of studies on the impact of the producer services in Western geographical circles. Human Geography, 2003, 18(5): 46-51.
[钟韵, 阎小培. 我国生产性服务业与经济发展关系研究. 人文地理, 2003, 18 (5): 46-51.]
[24] Zhao Qunyi, Zhou Yixing. Progress of geographical study on producer services in Western countries. Geography and Geo-information Science, 2005, 21(6): 49-55.
[赵群毅, 周一星. 西方生产性服务业的地理学研究. 地理与地理信息 科学, 2005, 21(6): 49-55.]
[25] Tao Jiming. The function and growth of producer services. Shanghai Economic Review, 2006, (9): 55-61.
[陶纪明. 生 产者服务业的功能及其增长. 上海经济研究, 2006, (9): 55-61.]
[26] Lu Zheng, Liu Yong, Wang Qin. Strategy selection of China's producer services industries development: Based on the view of industrial interaction. Industrial Economics of China, 2006, (8): 5-12.
[吕政, 刘勇, 王钦. 中国生产性服务业 发展的战略选择: 基于产业互动的研究视角. 中国工业经济, 2006, (8): 5-12.]
[27] Gu Naihua, Bi Doudou, Ren Wangbing. Relationship between producer services' development and manufacturing's competence in China during transition period: An empirical research based on panel data. China Industrial Economy, 2006, (9): 14-21.
[顾乃华, 毕斗斗, 任旺兵. 中国转型期生产性服务业发展与制造业竞争力关系研究: 基于面板数 据的实证分析. 中国工业经济, 2006, (9): 14-21.]
[28] Chen Xian, Huang Jianfeng. Division of labor, interactions and convergence: Empirical research on the evolvement of the relationship between service and manufacturing industries. China Soft Science, 2004, (10): 65-76.
[陈宪, 黄建锋. 分工、互动与融合: 服务业与制造业关系演进的实证研究. 中国软科学, 2004, (10): 65-76.]
[29] Cheng Dazhong, Chen Xian. The empirical research of interactive development between producer services and consumer services in Shanghai. Shanghai Economic Review, 2006, (1): 40-49.
[程大中, 陈宪. 上海生产者服务与消费 者服务业互动发展的实证研究. 上海经济研究, 2006, (1): 40-49.]
[30] Xu Congcai, Zhang Tao. The construction and improvement of the service system for producer in information age: A case study of Jiangsu Province. Industrial Economic Review, 2006, (2): 1-9.
[徐从才, 张涛. 信息化条件下生产者服 务体系的构建与水平提升: 以江苏省为例. 产业经济研究, 2006, (2): 1-9.]
[31] Leontief W W. Quantitative input and output relations in economics of United States. Review of Economic Statistics, 1936, 8(3): 105-125.
[32] Chen Kai. A study on the current situation of producer services in England. World Economy Study, 2006, (1): 79-84.
[陈凯. 英国生产性服务业发展现状分析. 世界经济研究, 2006, (1): 79-84.]
/
| 〈 |
|
〉 |