地理学报 ›› 2015, Vol. 70 ›› Issue (7): 1052-1067.doi: 10.11821/dlxb201507003
收稿日期:
2014-08-25
修回日期:
2015-03-16
出版日期:
2015-07-20
发布日期:
2015-08-11
作者简介:
作者简介:刘焱序(1988-), 男, 陕西西安人, 博士研究生, 研究方向为综合自然地理与景观生态。E-mail:
基金资助:
Yanxu LIU(), Yanglin WANG(
), Jian PENG, Tian ZHANG, Hai WEI
Received:
2014-08-25
Revised:
2015-03-16
Online:
2015-07-20
Published:
2015-08-11
Supported by:
摘要:
本研究以城市社会—生态系统为风险评价对象,引入生态适应性循环三维框架,将景观生态风险评价指标从单一的景观指数层面扩展至“潜力—连通度—恢复力”三维准则,并以深圳市为研究区,基于有序加权平均(OWA)算法对评价结果进行情景设置。研究结果显示,评价中干扰指标主要影响风险评价结果属性值域,而风险空间格局则受暴露指标制约;深圳全市景观生态风险整体呈现“西高东低”的分布格局,城市新建成区风险最高,大鹏半岛风险最低,羊台山与笔架山公园则是城区内部的相对风险低值区;基于OWA方法设置情景偏好,绘制“忽视”、“正常”及“重视”三种风险情景下的城市景观生态风险图。本研究基于生态适应性循环理念集成社会—生态系统时空动态干扰与暴露指标表征城市景观生态风险,并通过OWA方法变换主观偏好、降低评价不确定性,可以满足不同发展思路下的城市开发布局需求,从而为城市景观发展空间权衡提供决策支持。
刘焱序, 王仰麟, 彭建, 张甜, 魏海. 基于生态适应性循环三维框架的城市景观生态风险评价[J]. 地理学报, 2015, 70(7): 1052-1067.
Yanxu LIU, Yanglin WANG, Jian PENG, Tian ZHANG, Hai WEI. Urban landscape ecological risk assessment based on the 3D framework of adaptive cycle[J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2015, 70(7): 1052-1067.
表1
基于“潜力—连通度—恢复力”的城市景观生态风险评价指标体系"
准则(权重) | 风险 | 指标(权重) | 内涵 | 归一化 |
---|---|---|---|---|
潜力(0.413) | 暴露 | 坡度(0.209) | 滑坡等地质灾害 | 正向 |
土地利用类型(0.112) | 人类活动方式 | 正向 | ||
植被盖度(0.223) | 绿色植被空间分布 | 反向 | ||
干扰 | 降雨侵蚀力(0.056) | 潜在水土流失威胁 | 正向 | |
辐射亮温(0.132) | 地表热环境影响 | 正向 | ||
夜间灯光强度(0.268) | 经济社会发展情况 | 正向 | ||
连通度(0.327) | 暴露 | Shannon多样性(0.110) | 景观类型空间变异性 | 反向 |
景观连通重要性(0.322) | 生态用地连通程度 | 反向 | ||
干扰 | 建设用地距离(0.212) | 城市开发对周边的干扰 | 反向 | |
景观生态邻接系数(0.356) | 景观类型间的增益效果 | 正向 | ||
恢复力(0.260) | 暴露 | 植被盖度变化趋势(0.667) | 绿色植被空间恢复程度 | 反向 |
干扰 | 夜间灯光强度变化趋势(0.333) | 社会经济发展程度 | 正向 |
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