地理学报 ›› 2012, Vol. 67 ›› Issue (6): 745-757.doi: 10.11821/xb201206003
黄晓燕1,2, 曹小曙1, 李涛1
收稿日期:
2011-08-24
修回日期:
2012-02-15
出版日期:
2012-06-20
发布日期:
2012-06-20
通讯作者:
曹小曙(1970-), 男, 甘肃人, 博士, 博导, 教授, 中国地理学会会员(S11005157M), 主要从事交通地理与土地利用研究。E-mail: caoxsh@mail.sysu.edu.cn
基金资助:
HUANG Xiaoyan1,2, CAO Xiaoshu1, LI Tao1
Received:
2011-08-24
Revised:
2012-02-15
Online:
2012-06-20
Published:
2012-06-20
Supported by:
摘要: 选取中国235 个地级以上城市为样本,研究了1990-2009 年中国城市私人汽车拥有量演变的时空特征,并选取了9 个解释变量,使用1995-2009 年的面板数据,建立面板数据模型量化各影响因素的贡献率,分析各因素对城市私人汽车拥有量的作用机制。研究结果表明:① 中国城市私人汽车的发展呈现出一定的阶段性特点,并具有明显的空间集聚及区域分异特征;② 中国城市私人汽车发展的空间差异呈先增大后缩小的倒“U”形变动轨迹;2000 年后,中国城市私人汽车发展的空间差异出现了地带间趋异而地带内趋同的现象;③ 经济因素是私人汽车拥有量的决定性因素,私人汽车拥有量随人均收入的发展呈现出“S”形增长,城市化水平对私人汽车拥有量具有显著正效应,但对特大及巨大城市却产生了不显著的负效应;④ 城市空间扩张带来的城市规模增加会导致城市私人交通工具使用需求增大,当城市人口规模达到一定的临界值以上后,城市人口密度的增加能抑制私人汽车拥有量的增加;⑤ 城市公共交通及出租车的服务能力对私人汽车的增长有抑制作用,但并不显著,且随着城市规模的扩大,城市公共交通发展对私人汽车增长的抑制作用逐渐增强。
黄晓燕, 曹小曙, 李涛. 中国城市私人汽车发展的时空特征及影响因素[J]. 地理学报, 2012, 67(6): 745-757.
HUANG Xiaoyan, CAO Xiaoshu, LI Tao. The Spatio-temporal Variations of Urban Private Car Ownership in China and Their Influencing Factors[J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2012, 67(6): 745-757.
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