地理学报 ›› 2019, Vol. 74 ›› Issue (10): 2045-2061.doi: 10.11821/dlxb201910007
收稿日期:
2018-06-03
修回日期:
2019-05-19
出版日期:
2019-10-25
发布日期:
2019-10-29
作者简介:
胡志强(1988-), 男, 江苏连云港人, 博士, 讲师, 硕士生导师, 中国地理学会会员(S110012623M), 研究方向为经济地理与区域发展。E-mail: whhuzhiqiang@163.com
基金资助:
HU Zhiqiang1,2,MIAO Changhong1,2(),YUAN Feng3
Received:
2018-06-03
Revised:
2019-05-19
Published:
2019-10-25
Online:
2019-10-29
Supported by:
摘要:
集聚外部性是集聚影响工业污染排放的重要机制,不同的集聚空间组织型式具有不同的污染排放行为和减排效果。以中国285个地市工业SO2排放为例,依据集聚经济理论,将集聚空间组织型式细分为集聚密度、企业地理临近度、专业化、多样性、相关多样性、非相关多样性等不同类型,在系统分析工业SO2排放与集聚空间格局的基础上,通过构建计量经济模型,考察了不同集聚空间组织型式对工业SO2排放强度的影响。结果表明:① 工业SO2排放强度与工业集聚密度在空间上具有非对称性,污染排放强度西高东低,工业集聚密度、企业地理临近、多样性、相关和非相关多样性为东中高西部低;② 工业集聚对工业SO2排放强度的影响存在空间溢出效应,相邻地区集聚密度、多样性和相关多样性水平的上升有利于本区域工业污染排放强度的下降,但专业化水平的上升则会提升本区域的工业污染排放强度;③ 提高集聚密度、引导企业集中布局有利于工业SO2排放强度下降,多样且关联的产业组织结构有利于污染减排,而专业化和非关联产业的集中会提高污染排放强度;④ 集聚型式对工业SO2排放强度的影响存在区域和城市规模上的异质性,集聚密度、企业地理临近、多样性和相关多样性对中西部污染减排的作用比东部明显,专业化和非相关多样性不利于东中部地区的污染减排;城区人口规模20万以下的小城市提高集聚密度、减少多样性特别是非相关多样性更有利于污染减排;城区人口规模20~50万的小城市和50~100万的中等城市,提高企业的地理接近度和多样性水平特别是相关多样性水平,有利于其降低污染排放强度;城区人口规模在100万以上的大城市,提高集聚密度和产业多样性水平在一定程度上有利于其污染减排,但其减排效果因拥挤效应而明显下降;⑤ 进一步降低工业SO2排放强度,需要走集聚化道路,坚持提高集聚密度,因地制宜引导企业集中布局,着力提高产业在关联基础上的多样性水平,加强区域间联防联控,重视区域间的产业联系与环保合作。
胡志强, 苗长虹, 袁丰. 集聚空间组织型式对中国地市尺度工业SO2排放的影响[J]. 地理学报, 2019, 74(10): 2045-2061.
HU Zhiqiang, MIAO Changhong, YUAN Feng. Impact of industrial spatial and organizational agglomeration patterns on industrial SO2 emissions of prefecture-level cities in China[J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2019, 74(10): 2045-2061.
表1
不同集聚型式与工业SO2排放强度关系的回归结果(全国层面)
模型1 | 模型2 | 模型3 | 模型4 | |
---|---|---|---|---|
ρ/λ | 0.536*** (0.016) | 0.565*** (0.016) | 0.497*** (0.017) | 0.506*** (0.017) |
dens | -0.064** (0.026) | |||
pro | -0.036*** (0.012) | |||
rzi | 0.003 (0.002) | |||
rdi | -0.622*** (0.100) | |||
rv | -0.456*** (0.090) | |||
uv | 0.458*** (0.117) | |||
pop | -1.538*** (0.227) | -1.799*** (0.223) | -1.474*** (0.222) | -1.573*** (0.221) |
sstr | 0.273** (0.119) | 0.290** (0.120) | 0.102 (0.120) | 0.052 (0.123) |
open | -0.261 (0.735) | 0.938 (0.723) | 1.635** (0.715) | 1.428** (0.716) |
tec | -5.294*** (1.508) | -11.141*** (1.380) | -8.557*** (1.369) | -10.118*** (1.358) |
er | -0.034** (0.015) | -0.040*** (0.015) | -0.033** (0.015) | 0.041*** (0.015) |
W×dens | -0.245*** (0.045) | |||
W×pro | 0.021 (0.020) | |||
W×rzi | 0.007** (0.004) | |||
W×rdi | -1.079*** (0.172) | |||
W×rv | -1.420*** (0.159) | |||
W×uv | 0.323 (0.213) | |||
R2 | 0.322 | 0.308 | 0.368 | 0.377 |
Lli | -2579.101 | -2608.052 | -2539.161 | -2545.846 |
估计方法 | 固定效应 | 固定效应 | 固定效应 | 固定效应 |
表2
地理集聚密度和企业地理临近对工业SO2排放强度影响的分区域回归结果
东部 | 中部 | 西部 | 东部 | 中部 | 西部 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
dens | -0.163*** (0.025) | -0.941*** (0.096) | -2.275*** (0.260) | |||
pro | 0.054** (0.025) | -0.074*** (0.022) | -0.061** (0.024) | |||
pop | -0.302 (0.344) | -2.005*** (0.460) | -1.468** (0.648) | -0.926*** (0.336) | -3.235*** (0.461) | -3.638*** (0.638) |
sstr | 1.093*** (0.271) | 1.088*** (0.222) | -0.023 (0.234) | 1.173*** (0.276) | 1.157*** (0.231) | 0.277 (0.241) |
open | -1.161 (0.998) | -0.909 (1.972) | 4.120** (1.906) | -0.649 (1.014) | -1.339 (2.052) | 0.668 (1.938) |
tec | -16.815*** (1.993) | -0.111 (2.476) | -54.787*** (7.370) | -21.836*** (1.858) | -12.005*** (2.442) | -77.033*** (7.172) |
er | -0.708*** (0.072) | -1.453*** (0.098) | 0.008 (0.021) | -0.713*** (0.074) | -1.722*** (0.098) | -0.004 (0.022) |
c | 5.478*** (2.126) | 15.878*** (2.640) | 12.613*** (3.304) | 8.686*** (2.112) | 23.717*** (2.658) | 24.216*** (3.299) |
R2 | 0.369 | 0.467 | 0.314 | 0.344 | 0.423 | 0.258 |
估计方法 | 固定效应 | 固定效应 | 固定效应 | 固定效应 | 固定效应 | 固定效应 |
表3
专业化、多样性、相关(非相关)多样性对工业SO2排放强度影响的分区域回归结果
东部 | 中部 | 西部 | 东部 | 中部 | 西部 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
rzi | 0.012** (0.005) | 0.015*** (0.004) | 0.002 (0.004) | |||
rdi | -0.545*** (0.149) | -1.380*** (0.167) | -1.772*** (0.292) | |||
rv | -0.446*** (0.145) | -1.195*** (0.159) | -0.872*** (0.197) | |||
uv | 0.485* (0.242) | 0.741*** (0.211) | 0.304 (0.246) | |||
pop | -0.948*** (0.332) | -2.507*** (0.446) | -3.093*** (0.624) | -0.339*** (0.088) | -3.072*** (0.452) | -3.020*** (0.635) |
sstr | 1.076*** (0.276) | 0.701*** (0.227) | 0.170 (0.237) | 1.093*** (0.242) | 0.525** (0.244) | 0.095 (0.243) |
open | -0.343 (1.006) | 0.004 (1.965) | 1.710 (1.912) | -0.944 (0.906) | -0.355 (2.016) | 0.979** (1.931) |
tec | -21.942*** (1.833) | -6.600*** (2.276) | -71.874*** (7.099) | -23.996*** (1.728) | -10.613*** (2.321) | -77.865*** (7.118) |
er | -0.689*** (0.073) | -1.522*** (0.096) | -0.003 (0.022) | -0.702*** (0.072) | -1.627*** (0.097) | 0.001 (0.022) |
c | 9.993*** (2.065) | 20.060*** (2.547) | 22.424*** (3.186) | 5.820*** (0.635) | 22.938*** (2.595) | 21.146*** (3.238) |
R2 | 0.356 | 0.474 | 0.286 | 0.346 | 0.447 | 0.270 |
估计方法 | 固定效应 | 固定效应 | 固定效应 | 随机效应 | 固定效应 | 固定效应 |
表4
集聚型式对工业SO2排放强度影响的分城市规模回归结果
小城市Ⅰ型 | 小城市Ⅱ型 | 中等城市 | 大城市 | |
---|---|---|---|---|
dens | -5.386*** (1.274) | -0.580*** (0.120) | -0.965*** (0.094) | -0.132*** (0.020) |
pro | 0.008 (0.048) | -0.062*** (0.023) | -0.072** (0.023) | 0.032 (0.022) |
rzi | 0.009 (0.006) | 0.009** (0.004) | 0.013** (0.005) | 0.005 (0.007) |
rdi | 2.016*** (0.604) | -1.483*** (0.234) | -1.720*** (0.176) | -0.416*** (0.132) |
rv | -0.175 (0.309) | -0.813*** (0.177) | -1.674*** (0.173) | -0.105 (0.190) |
uv | 1.415*** (0.314) | 0.153 (0.250) | 0.208 (0.257) | 0.032 (0.295) |
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