地理学报 ›› 2016, Vol. 71 ›› Issue (10): 1731-1740.doi: 10.11821/dlxb201610006
收稿日期:
2015-12-22
修回日期:
2016-05-09
出版日期:
2016-11-28
发布日期:
2016-11-28
作者简介:
作者简介:牛方曲(1979-), 男, 安徽淮南人, 博士, 助理研究员, 中国地理学会会员(S110010701M), 主要研究方向为城市与区域可持续发展模拟与分析。E-mail:
基金资助:
NIU Fangqu1, LIU Weidong1, FENG Jianxi2()
Received:
2015-12-22
Revised:
2016-05-09
Published:
2016-11-28
Online:
2016-11-28
摘要:
目前关于城市住房价格异质性和影响因素研究多侧重于空间位置分析,从城市系统角度刻画住房价格分异现象有待进一步探索。根据“土地利用—交通相互作用理论”,城市空间的发展过程是各类活动通过交通相互作用的过程,本文构建了交通可达性模型,综合全市经济活动空间分布和交通网络评价城市区位条件,并以北京为例,从就业、教育、消费、医疗服务等各方面评价了城市区位条件,在此基础上依据家庭成员结构,模拟分析了家庭区位需求对住房价格的影响。案例研究表明,本模型对房价的模拟可以在全市范围内达到很好的效果;家庭的区位选择决定着住房价格的空间格局;各类活动中就业对北京市房价分布影响最为显著,其次是消费、教育,而医疗服务对住房价格影响相对较弱。此外,本文所提出的模型系统阐述了城市经济活动分布格局对住房价格的影响,经济活动分布发生变化时模拟结果随之变化,因此,本模型可以进一步拓展用于“以业带人”政策实验,模拟分析疏散各类经济活动后住房价格的变化,也为城市房价及土地市场分析研究提供模型方法上的参考。
牛方曲, 刘卫东, 冯建喜. 基于家庭区位需求的城市住房价格模拟分析[J]. 地理学报, 2016, 71(10): 1731-1740.
NIU Fangqu,LIU Weidong,FENG Jianxi. Modeling urban housing price: The perspective of household activity demand[J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2016, 71(10): 1731-1740.
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