地理学报

地理学报 ›› 1965, Vol. 31 ›› Issue (2): 85-99.doi: 10.11821/xb196502001

• 论文 •    下一篇

长江下游地区夏季旱涝演变趋势的研究

蒋德隆, 严济远   

  1. 上海中心气象台
  • 出版日期:1965-04-15 发布日期:1965-04-15
  • 基金资助:

ON THE TRENDS OF SUMMER-TIME DROUGHTS AND EXCESSIVE RAINFALL IN THE LOWER YANTZE REGION

CHIANG TE-LUNG, NIEN TSE-YUAN   

  1. Shanghai Meteorological Observatory
  • Online:1965-04-15 Published:1965-04-15

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被引次数

40

摘要： 夏季旱涝的演变规律,近年来已为许多气候工作者所注意。

关键词:

Abstract: Based on a chronicle list of droughts, excessive rainfalls and floods (903 B.C.-1909 A.D. ) complied from the materials in classics, chronicles and annals, along with the meteorological records of Shanghai (1875-1962 )，the historical trends of droughts and excessive rainfalls in the Lower Yantze are studied. Using certain intensity cri- terions, the events are classified and return periods are analysed. It appears that there may exist some kind of thousand-year cycles, each with three intervals of different charac- teristics, which show fairly good correspondence with the solar activities. An outlook of the trend in the coming 30-years is made, tentatively.