经济发展对碳排放的影响

doi:10.11821/xb200304019

地理学报 ›› 2003, Vol. 58 ›› Issue (4): 629-637.doi: 10.11821/xb200304019

经济发展对碳排放的影响

张雷

中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所，北京 100101

收稿日期:2002-09-25 修回日期:2003-02-25 出版日期:2003-07-25 发布日期:2003-07-25
作者简介:张雷 (1951-), 男, 北京人, 研究员、博导。E-mail: zhangl@igsnrr.ac.cn
基金资助:
中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所创新主干项目 (CXIOG-EO1-05-04)

Economic Development and Its Bearing on CO₂ Emissions

ZHANG Lei

Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Beijing 100101, China

Received:2002-09-25 Revised:2003-02-25 Online:2003-07-25 Published:2003-07-25
Supported by:
Knowledge Innovation Project of IGSNRR, CAS, No.CXIOG-EO1-05-04

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

探讨国家经济发展对碳排放的影响，采用具体评价模式对发达国家和发展中国家长期发展的对比研究。结果表明：第一，经济结构多元化的发展导致国家能源消费需求增长的减缓；第二，能源消费结构的多元化发展则导致国家碳排放水平的下降；第三，经济和能源消费的两者结构多元化的演进最终促使国家发展完成从高碳燃料为主向低碳为主的转变。

关键词: 经济发展, 能源消费, 结构多元化, 碳排放

Abstract:

Greenhouse-gas (GHG) emissions in China have aroused much interest, and not least in recent evidence of their reduction although the country is not subject to any emissions reduction target under the Kyoto Protocol's first emission control period. Our intent is to place that reduction in a larger context, that of the process of industrialization. A lengthy time perspective is combined with a cross-sectional approach--China plus five other countries--and addressed through two general models. The findings are salutary. First, they suggest that a diversified economic structure is consistent with diminished intensity in energy use. Secondly, and the obverse of the first, they imply that a diversified energy structure promotes reductions in CO₂ emissions. Finally, one is led inevitably to the conclusion that, together, the findings point to a path for countries to transform their economies while at the same time undertaking to drastically moderate their energy use, switching from a pattern of heavy carbon emissions to one in which lighter carbon emissions prevail. The implications of such findings for environmental management are enormous.

Key words: economic development, energy use, structural diversification, CO₂ emissions

张雷. 经济发展对碳排放的影响[J]. 地理学报, 2003, 58(4): 629-637.

ZHANG Lei. Economic Development and Its Bearing on CO₂ Emissions[J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2003, 58(4): 629-637.

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经济发展对碳排放的影响

Economic Development and Its Bearing on CO₂ Emissions

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经济发展对碳排放的影响

Economic Development and Its Bearing on CO2 Emissions

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Economic Development and Its Bearing on CO₂ Emissions