粤港澳大湾区生态系统服务价值的时空演化及其影响机制

doi:10.11821/dlxb202111014

地理学报 ›› 2021, Vol. 76 ›› Issue (11): 2797-2813.doi: 10.11821/dlxb202111014

粤港澳大湾区生态系统服务价值的时空演化及其影响机制

刘志涛¹^,³(), 王少剑²(), 方创琳¹^,³

1.中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所,北京 100101
2.中山大学地理科学与规划学院广东省城市化与地理环境空间模拟重点实验室,广州 510275
3.中国科学院大学资源与环境学院,北京 100049

收稿日期:2020-07-29 修回日期:2021-04-24 出版日期:2021-11-25 发布日期:2022-01-25
通讯作者: 王少剑(1986-), 男, 河南驻马店人, 博士, 副教授, 博士生导师, 中国地理学会会员(S110011019M), 研究方向为城市地理、城市与区域规划。E-mail: 1987wangshaojian@163.com
作者简介:刘志涛(1997-), 男, 黑龙江黑河人, 博士, 中国地理学会会员(S110015667M), 研究方向为城市地理、城镇化及其生态环境效应。E-mail: liuzhitao20@mails.ucas.ac.cn
基金资助:
教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金项目(21YJAZH087)

Spatiotemporal evolution and influencing mechanism of ecosystem service value in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area

LIU Zhitao¹^,³(), WANG Shaojian²(), FANG Chuanglin¹^,³

1. Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, CAS, Beijing 100101, China
2. Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Urbanization and Geo-simulation, School of Geographical Sciences and Planning, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou 510275, China
3. School of Resources and Environment, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China

Received:2020-07-29 Revised:2021-04-24 Published:2021-11-25 Online:2022-01-25
Supported by:
Ministry of Education Research in the Humanities and Social Sciences Planning Fund(21YJAZH087)

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

生态系统服务是生态要素、结构、功能和产品造福于人类社会的媒介和通道。根据生态系统服务价值（ESV）及其影响机制调节人类社会对生态系统的利用强度和保护方式,对于实现人地和谐的可持续发展目标具有重要意义。本文以粤港澳大湾区作为研究对象,依托遥感数据修订ESV核算结果,更加准确地揭示2000—2015年粤港澳大湾区ESV的时空演变特征,并引入面板分位数回归深入探索生态系统服务影响因素的分段效应,增加对生态系统服务影响机制的认识。结果显示：① 2000—2015年粤港澳大湾区ESV减速下降,下降区域主要分布在粤港澳大湾区中部和珠江入海口两岸等城市快速扩张区。② 在城市交界处,土地利用变化会带来更为强烈的ESV变化。③ 在ESV水平不同的区域,影响因素具有不同的影响效果。用地完整度仅在ESV的低值区可以促进生态系统服务能力提升。气温对生态系统服务能力的正向作用随ESV的提高而增强,经济密度对生态系统服务能力的负向作用随ESV的提高而减弱,二者均会导致ESV高值区与低值区间的差距增大,形成“自然马太效应”。

关键词: 生态系统服务, 时空演变, 影响机制, 面板分位数回归, 粤港澳大湾区

Abstract:

Ecosystem services are the media and channels through which ecological elements, structures, functions and products benefit human society. Regulating the utilization intensity and protection methods of the human society on the ecosystem according to the ecosystem service value (ESV) and its influencing mechanism is of great significance for achieving the sustainable development goals of harmony between man and land. This paper takes the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area (GBA) as the research object and revises the ESV accounting results based on remote sensing data to more accurately reveal the spatiotemporal evolution characteristics of ESV in the GBA from 2000 to 2015. And, panel quantile regression is implemented to deeply probe the segmentation effects of the factors affecting ecosystem services and to increase the understanding of the influencing mechanism of ecosystem services. The main results are as follows: (1) In the GBA, the value of regulation services accounts for the highest proportion among the four ecosystem sub-services. From 2000 to 2015, the total ESV declined with a decreasing rate, and the values of leading ecosystem service and hydrologic regulation service had the similar variation trend. The decline areas were mainly distributed in the central part of the GBA and areas along the Pearl River Estuary. (2) Elastic index, indicating response of ESV to land use change, reached the peak (1.08) between 2010 and 2015. Changes in land use types per unit area induced greater ESV declines. The spatial distribution of elastic index showed that land use changes brought about more intense ESV variations at the junction of cities from 2000 to 2015. (3) In areas with different ESV levels, influencing factors have different effects. Land use integrity can only promote ecosystem service capabilities in low-ESV areas. The positive effect of temperature on ecosystem service capacity increase with the increase of ESV, which is self-reinforcement of ecosystem. Moreover, the negative effect of economic density on ecosystem service capacity decreases with the increase of ESV, which is self-protection of ecosystem. Combination of the self-reinforcement and self-protection will lead to the ESV gap between the high- and low-ESV areas, and induce the "natural Matthew effect".

Key words: ecosystem services, spatiotemporal evolution, influencing mechanism, panel quantile regression, Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area

刘志涛, 王少剑, 方创琳. 粤港澳大湾区生态系统服务价值的时空演化及其影响机制[J]. 地理学报, 2021, 76(11): 2797-2813.

LIU Zhitao, WANG Shaojian, FANG Chuanglin. Spatiotemporal evolution and influencing mechanism of ecosystem service value in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area[J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2021, 76(11): 2797-2813.

图/表 9

图1

表1

图2

图3

图4

图5

图6

表2

图7

参考文献 66

[1]	Costanza R, de Groot R, Sutton P, et al. Changes in the global value of ecosystem services. Global Environmental Change, 2014, 26:152-158. doi: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2014.04.002
[2]	Costanza R, d'Arge R, de Groot R, et al. The value of the world's ecosystem services and natural capital. Nature, 1997, 387(6630):253-260. doi: 10.1038/387253a0
[3]	Millennium Ecosystem Assessment. Ecosystems and Human Well-Being: Synthesis. Washington, DC: Island Press, 2005.
[4]	Guan Qingchun, Hao Jinmin, Shi Xuejie, et al. Study on the changes of ecological land and ecosystem service value in China. Journal of Natural Resources, 2018, 33(2):195-207.
	[管青春, 郝晋珉, 石雪洁, 等. 中国生态用地及生态系统服务价值变化研究. 自然资源学报, 2018, 33(2):195-207.]
[5]	Qu Lulu, Liu Yansui, Zhou Yang, et al. Spatio-temporal evolution of ecologically-sustainable land use in the Luoxiao mountains and responses of its ecosystem services: A case study of Jinggangshan City in Jiangxi Province. Acta Ecologica Sinica, 2019, 39(10):3468-3481.
	[璩路路, 刘彦随, 周扬, 等. 罗霄山区生态用地时空演变及其生态系统服务功能的响应: 以井冈山为例. 生态学报, 2019, 39(10):3468-3481.]
[6]	Huang Muyi, Fang Bin, Yue Wenze, et al. Spatial differentiation of ecosystem service values and its geographical detection in Chaohu Basin during 1995-2017. Geographical Research, 2019, 38(11):2790-2803.
	[黄木易, 方斌, 岳文泽, 等. 近20a来巢湖流域生态服务价值空间分异机制的地理探测. 地理研究, 2019, 38(11):2790-2803.]
[7]	Li Shuangcheng. Reflections on ecosystem service research. Landscape Architecture Frontiers, 2019, 7(1):82-87. doi: 10.15302/J-LAF-20190107
	[李双成. 生态系统服务研究思辨. 景观设计学, 2019, 7(1):82-87.]
[8]	Crossman N D, Bryan B A. Identifying cost-effective hotspots for restoring natural capital and enhancing landscape multi-functionality. Ecological Economics, 2009, 68:654-668. doi: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2008.05.003
[9]	Crossman N D, Bryan B A, Summers D M. Carbon payments and low-cost conservation. Conservation Biology, 2011, 25:835-845. doi: 10.1111/j.1523-1739.2011.01649.x pmid: 21507060
[10]	de Groot R, Brander L, van der Ploeg S, et al. Global estimates of the value of ecosystems and their services in monetary units. Ecosystem Services, 2012, 1(1):50-61. doi: 10.1016/j.ecoser.2012.07.005
[11]	Xie Gaodi, Zhen Lin, Lu Chunxia, et al. Expert knowledge based valuation method of ecosystem services in China. Journal of Natural Resources, 2008, 23(5):911-919.
	[谢高地, 甄霖, 鲁春霞, 等. 一个基于专家知识的生态系统服务价值化方法. 自然资源学报, 2008, 23(5):911-919.]
[12]	Xie Gaodi, Lu Chunxia, Leng Yunfa, et al. Ecological assets valuation of the Tibetan Plateau. Journal of Natural Resources, 2003, 18(2):189-196.
	[谢高地, 鲁春霞, 冷允法, 等. 青藏高原生态资产的价值评估. 自然资源学报, 2003, 18(2):189-196.]
[13]	Huang Muyi, Yue Wenze, Fang Bin, et al. Scale response characteristics and geographic exploration mechanism of spatial differentiation of ecosystem service values in Dabie Mountain area, central China from 1970 to 2015. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2019, 74(9):1904-1920.
	[黄木易, 岳文泽, 方斌, 等. 1970—2015年大别山区生态服务价值尺度响应特征及地理探测机制. 地理学报, 2019, 74(9):1904-1920.]
[14]	Chen Duanlv, Chen Zhefu, Peng Baofa. Spatial differentiation and coupling effect between land ecosystem services value and economic development: A case study of West Dongting Lake area. Geographical Research, 2018, 37(9):1692-1703.
	[陈端吕, 陈哲夫, 彭保发. 土地利用生态服务价值与经济发展的协调及空间分异: 以西洞庭湖区为例. 地理研究, 2018, 37(9):1692-1703.]
[15]	Liu Guilin, Zhang Luocheng, Zhang Qian. Spatial and temporal dynamics of land use and its influence on ecosystem service value in Yangtze River Delta. Acta Ecologica Sinica, 2014, 34(12):3311-3319.
	[刘桂林, 张落成, 张倩. 长三角地区土地利用时空变化对生态系统服务价值的影响. 生态学报, 2014, 34(12):3311-3319.]
[16]	Bello F, Lavorel S, Díaz S, et al. Towards an assessment of multiple ecosystem processes and services via functional traits. Biodiversity and Conservation, 2010, 19(10):2873-2893. doi: 10.1007/s10531-010-9850-9
[17]	Gamfeldt L, Snäll T, Bagchi R, et al. Higher levels of multiple ecosystem services are found in forests with more tree species. Nature Communications, 2013, 4:1340. DOI: 10.1038/ncomms2328. doi: 10.1038/ncomms2328 pmid: 23299890
[18]	Engelhardt K A M, Ritchie M E. Effects of macrophyte species richness on wetland ecosystem functioning and services. Nature, 2001, 411(6838):687-689. doi: 10.1038/35079573
[19]	Braun D, Jong R D, Schaepman M E, et al. Ecosystem service change caused by climatological and non‐climatological drivers: A Swiss case study. Ecological Applications, 2019, 29(4):e1901. DOI: 10.1002/eap.1901. doi: 10.1002/eap.1901
[20]	Wang H, Zhou S L, Li X B, et al. The influence of climate change and human activities on ecosystem service value. Ecological Engineering, 2016, 87:224-239. doi: 10.1016/j.ecoleng.2015.11.027
[21]	Prather C M, Pelini S L, Laws A, et al. Invertebrates, ecosystem services and climate change. Biological Reviews, 2013, 88(2):327-348. doi: 10.1111/brv.2013.88.issue-2
[22]	Milne E, Banwart S A, Noellemeyer E, et al. Soil carbon, multiple benefits. Environmental Development, 2015, 13:33-38. doi: 10.1016/j.envdev.2014.11.005
[23]	Wang Y Q, Shao M A, Liu Z P. Vertical distribution and influencing factors of soil water content within 21-m profile on the Chinese Loess Plateau. Geoderma, 2013, 193-194:300-310. doi: 10.1016/j.geoderma.2012.10.011
[24]	Zhu M, He W, Zhang Q, et al. Spatial and temporal characteristics of soil conservation service in the area of the upper and middle of the Yellow River, China. Heliyon, 2019, 5(12):e2985. DOI: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2019.e02985. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2019.e02985
[25]	Shoko C, Mutanga O, Dube T. Remotely sensed C3 and C4 grass species aboveground biomass variability in response to seasonal climate and topography. African Journal of Ecology, 2019, 57(4):477-489. doi: 10.1111/aje.v57.4
[26]	Han H Q, Dong Y X. Assessing and mapping of multiple ecosystem services in Guizhou Province, China. Tropical Ecology, 2017, 58(2):331-346.
[27]	Muñoz J D, Steibel J P, Snapp S, et al. Cover crop effect on corn growth and yield as influenced by topography. Agriculture, Ecosystems & Environment, 2014, 189:229-239. doi: 10.1016/j.agee.2014.03.045
[28]	Fu Bojie, Zhang Liwei. Land-use change and ecosystem services: Concepts, methods and progress. Progress in Geography, 2014, 33(4):441-446. doi: 10.11820/dlkxjz.2014.04.001
	[傅伯杰, 张立伟. 土地利用变化与生态系统服务:概念、方法与进展. 地理科学进展, 2014, 33(4):441-446.]
[29]	Wang Yahui, Dai Erfu, Ma Liang, et al. Spatiotemporal and influencing factors analysis of water yield in the Hengduan Mountain region. Journal of Natural Resources, 2020, 35(2):371-386. doi: 10.31497/zrzyxb.20200210
	[王亚慧, 戴尔阜, 马良, 等. 横断山区产水量时空分布格局及影响因素研究. 自然资源学报, 2020, 35(2):371-386.]
[30]	Zhao Zhigang, Yu De, Han Chengyun, et al. Ecosystem services value prediction and driving forces in the Poyang Lake Eco-economic Zone. Acta Ecological Sinica, 2017, 37(24):8411-8421.
	[赵志刚, 余德, 韩成云, 等. 鄱阳湖生态经济区生态系统服务价值预测与驱动力. 生态学报, 2017, 37(24):8411-8421.]
[31]	Gong Shihan, Xiao Yang, Zheng Hua, et al. Spatial patterns of ecosystem water conservation in China and its impact factors analysis. Acta Ecologica Sinica, 2017, 37(7):2455-2462.
	[龚诗涵, 肖洋, 郑华, 等. 中国生态系统水源涵养空间特征及其影响因素. 生态学报, 2017, 37(7):2455-2462.]
[32]	Sun Binfeng, Zhao Hong, Lu Fei, et al. Spatial and temporal patterns of carbon sequestration in the Northeastern Forest Regions and its impact factors analysis. Acta Ecologica Sinica, 2018, 38(14):4975-4983.
	[孙滨峰, 赵红, 逯非, 等. 东北森林带森林生态系统固碳服务空间特征及其影响因素. 生态学报, 2018, 38(14):4975-4983.]
[33]	Chen Shanshan, Liu Kang, Bao Yubin, et al. Spatial pattern and influencing factors of water conservation service function in Shangluo City. Scientia Geographica Sinica, 2016, 36(10):1546-1554. doi: 10.13249/j.cnki.sgs.2016.10.012
	[陈姗姗, 刘康, 包玉斌, 等. 商洛市水源涵养服务功能空间格局与影响因素. 地理科学, 2016, 36(10):1546-1554.]
[34]	Dai Erfu, Wang Yahui. Spatial heterogeneity and driving mechanisms of water yield service in the Hengduan Mountain region. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2020, 75(3):607-619. doi: 10.11821/dlxb202003012
	[戴尔阜, 王亚慧. 横断山区产水服务空间异质性及归因分析. 地理学报, 2020, 75(3):607-619.]
[35]	Hou Wenjuan, Gao Jiangbo, Dai Erfu, et al. The runoff generation simulation and its spatial variation analysis in Sanchahe basin as the south source of Wujiang. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2018, 73(7):1268-1282. doi: 10.11821/dlxb201807007
	[侯文娟, 高江波, 戴尔阜, 等. 基于SWAT模型模拟乌江三岔河生态系统产流服务及其空间变异. 地理学报, 2018, 73(7):1268-1282.]
[36]	Chen Qiang. Advanced Econometrics and Stata Application. Beijing: Higher Education Press, 2014.
	[陈强. 高级计量经济学及Stata应用. 北京: 高等教育出版社, 2014.]
[37]	You Huiming, Han Jianliang, Pan Dezhuo, et al. Dynamic evaluation and driving forces of ecosystem services in Quanzhou Bay estuary wetland, China. Chinese Journal of Applied Ecology, 2019, 30(12):4286-4292. doi: 10.13287/j.1001-9332.201912.040 pmid: 31840475
	[游惠明, 韩建亮, 潘德灼, 等. 泉州湾河口湿地生态系统服务价值的动态评价及驱动力分析. 应用生态学报, 2019, 30(12):4286-4292.] pmid: 31840475
[38]	Deng Chuxiong, Zhong Xiaolong, Xie Binggeng, et al. Spatial and temporal changes of land ecosystem service value in Dongting Lake area in 1995-2015. Geographical Research, 2019, 38(4):844-855. doi: 10.11821/dlyj020170999
	[邓楚雄, 钟小龙, 谢炳庚, 等. 洞庭湖区土地生态系统的服务价值时空变化. 地理研究, 2019, 38(4):844-855.]
[39]	Xiang Chen, Yan Lijiao, Han Yicai, et al. Evaluation of ecosystem services of the Thousand-Island Lake, Zhejiang, China. Chinese Journal of Applied Ecology, 2019, 30(11):3875-3884. doi: 10.13287/j.1001-9332.201911.031 pmid: 31833701
	[相晨, 严力蛟, 韩轶才, 等. 千岛湖生态系统服务价值评估. 应用生态学报, 2019, 30(11):3875-3884.] pmid: 31833701
[40]	Cui Lijuan, Pang Bingliang, Li Wei, et al. Evaluation of ecosystem services in the Zhalong wetland. Acta Ecologica Sinica, 2016, 36(3):828-836.
	[崔丽娟, 庞丙亮, 李伟, 等. 扎龙湿地生态系统服务价值评价. 生态学报, 2016, 36(3):828-836.]
[41]	Jia Junmei, Luo Wei, Du Tingting, et al. Valuation of changes of ecosystem services of Tai Lake in recent 10 years. Acta Ecologica Sinica, 2015, 35(7):2255-2264.
	[贾军梅, 罗维, 杜婷婷, 等. 近十年太湖生态系统服务功能价值变化评估. 生态学报, 2015, 35(7):2255-2264.]
[42]	He Hao, Pan Yaozhong, Zhu Wenquan, et al. Measurement of terrestrial ecosystem service value in China. Chinese Journal of Applied Ecology, 2005, 16(6):1122-1127. pmid: 16180767
	[何浩, 潘耀忠, 朱文泉, 等. 中国陆地生态系统服务价值测量. 应用生态学报, 2005, 16(6):1122-1127.] pmid: 16180767
[43]	Wang Bing, Lu Shaowei. Evaluation of economic forest ecosystem services in China. Chinese Journal of Applied Ecology, 2009, 20(2):417-425. pmid: 19459385
	[王兵, 鲁绍伟. 中国经济林生态系统服务价值评估. 应用生态学报, 2009, 20(2):417-425.] pmid: 19459385
[44]	Yu Xinxiao, Lu Shaowei, Jin Fang, et al. The assessment of the forest ecosystem services evaluation in China. Acta Ecologica Sinica, 2005, 25(8):2096-2102.
	[余新晓, 鲁绍伟, 靳芳, 等. 中国森林生态系统服务功能价值评估. 生态学报, 2005, 25(8):2096-2102.]
[45]	Xie Gaodi, Zhang Yili, Lu Chunxia, et al. Study on valuation of rangeland ecosystem services of China. Journal of Natural Resources, 2001, 16(1):47-53.
	[谢高地, 张镱锂, 鲁春霞, 等. 中国自然草地生态系统服务价值. 自然资源学报, 2001, 16(1):47-53.]
[46]	Liu Jinya, Wang Dongchuan, Zhang Lihui, et al. Estimation of the ecosystem service value of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei urban agglomeration based on multi-boundary improvement. Acta Ecologica Sinica, 2018, 38(12):4192-4204.
	[刘金雅, 汪东川, 张利辉, 等. 基于多边界改进的京津冀城市群生态系统服务价值估算. 生态学报, 2018, 38(12):4192-4204.]
[47]	Wang Wantong, Sun Ting, Wang Jinxia, et al. Annual dynamic monitoring of regional ecosystem service value based on multi-source remote sensing data: A case of central plains urban agglomeration region. Scientia Geographica Sinica, 2019, 39(4):680-687. doi: 10.13249/j.cnki.sgs.2019.04.018
	[王万同, 孙汀, 王金霞, 等. 基于多源遥感数据的区域生态系统服务价值年际动态监测: 以中原城市群为例. 地理科学, 2019, 39(4):680-687.]
[48]	Cord A F, Bartkowski B, Beckmann M, et al. Towards systematic analyses of ecosystem service trade-offs and synergies: Main concepts, methods and the road ahead. Ecosystem Services, 2017, 28:264-272. doi: 10.1016/j.ecoser.2017.07.012
[49]	Lei Jinrui, Chen Zongzhu, Chen Xiaohua, et al. Spatio-temporal changes of land use and ecosystem services value in Hainan Island from 1980 to 2018. Acta Ecologica Sinica, 2020, 40(14):4760-4773.
	[雷金睿, 陈宗铸, 陈小花, 等. 1980—2018年海南岛土地利用与生态系统服务价值时空变化. 生态学报, 2020, 40(14):4760-4773.]
[50]	Schirpke U, Tscholl S, Tasser E. Spatio-temporal changes in ecosystem service values: Effects of land-use changes from past to future (1860-2100). Journal of Environmental Management, 2020, 272:111068. DOI: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2020.111068. doi: S0301-4797(20)30996-8 pmid: 32854880
[51]	Kusi K K, Khattabi A, Mhammdi N, et al. Prospective evaluation of the impact of land use change on ecosystem services in the Ourika watershed, Morocco. Land Use Policy, 2020, 97:104796. DOI: 10.1016/j.landusepol. 2020.104796. doi: 10.1016/j.landusepol. 2020.104796
[52]	Gomes L C, Bianchi F J J A, Cardoso I M, et al. Land use change drives the spatio-temporal variation of ecosystem services and their interactions along an altitudinal gradient in Brazil. Landscape Ecology, 2020, 35(7):1571-1586. doi: 10.1007/s10980-020-01037-1
[53]	Fu B J, Wang S, Su C H, et al. Linking ecosystem processes and ecosystem services. Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability, 2013, 5(1):4-10. doi: 10.1016/j.cosust.2012.12.002
[54]	Xiao Han, Ouyang Zhiyun, Zhao Jingzhu, et al. Analysis of landscape spatial structure in Hainan Island. Acta Ecologica Sinica, 2001, 21(1):20-27.
	[肖寒, 欧阳志云, 赵景柱, 等. 海南岛景观空间结构分析. 生态学报, 2001, 21(1):20-27.]
[55]	Xu Lifen, Xu Xuegong, Luo Tao, et al. Services based on land use: A case study of Bohai Rim. Geographical Research, 2012, 31(10):1775-1784.
	[徐丽芬, 许学工, 罗涛, 等. 基于土地利用的生态系统服务价值当量修订方法: 以渤海湾沿岸为例. 地理研究, 2012, 31(10):1775-1784.]
[56]	Yuan S F, Zhu C M, Yang L X, et al. Responses of ecosystem services to urbanization-induced land use changes in ecologically sensitive suburban areas in Hangzhou, China. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 2019, 16(7):1124. DOI: 10.3390/ijerph16071124. doi: 10.3390/ijerph16071124
[57]	Koenker R, Hallock K F. Quantile regression. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 2001, 15(4):143-156. doi: 10.1257/jep.15.4.143
[58]	Luo Ti, Liu Yanfang, Kong Xuesong. System coupling between urbanization and eco-environment: Research progress in China. Tropical Geography, 2014, 34(2):266-274.
	[罗媞, 刘艳芳, 孔雪松. 中国城市化与生态环境系统耦合研究进展. 热带地理, 2014, 34(2):266-274.]
[59]	Wang Xiaoke, Ouyang Zhiyun, Ren Yufen, et al. Perspectives in long-term studies of urban ecosystem. Advances in Earth Science, 2009, 24(8):928-935.
	[王效科, 欧阳志云, 仁玉芬, 等. 城市生态系统长期研究展望. 地球科学进展, 2009, 24(8):928-935.]
[60]	Zhang Qian, Gao Ming, Yang Le, et al. Changes in the spatial structure of ecological land and ecosystem service values in nine key districts of Chongqing City over the past 25 years. Acta Ecologica Sinica, 2017, 37(2):566-575.
	[张骞, 高明, 杨乐, 等. 1988—2013年重庆市主城九区生态用地空间结构及其生态系统服务价值变化. 生态学报, 2017, 37(2):566-575.]
[61]	Tang Xiaolian, Wei Qingquan. Study on effects and countermeasures on urban land management by the circulation of collective-owned construction land: Guangdong as an example. China Land Science, 2006(3):19-23.
	[唐晓莲, 魏清泉. 集体建设用地使用权流转实施后对城市土地管理的影响及对策: 以广东省为例. 中国土地科学, 2006(3):19-23.]
[62]	Guo Chunyang, Gao Shang, Zhou Boyan, et al. Effects of land use change on ecosystem service value in Funiu Mountain based upon a grid square. Acta Ecologica Sinica, 2019, 39(10):3482-3493.
	[郭椿阳, 高尚, 周伯燕, 等. 基于格网的伏牛山区土地利用变化对生态服务价值影响研究. 生态学报, 2019, 39(10):3482-3493.]
[63]	Li Tao, Gan Dexin, Yang Zhijian, et al. Spatial-temporal evolvement of ecosystem service value of Dongting Lake area influenced by changes of land use. Chinese Journal of Applied Ecology, 2016, 27(12):3787-3796. doi: 10.13287/j.1001-9332.201612.031 pmid: 29704335
	[李涛, 甘德欣, 杨知建, 等. 土地利用变化影响下洞庭湖地区生态系统服务价值的时空演变. 应用生态学报, 2016, 27(12):3787-3796.] pmid: 29704335
[64]	Liu Yongqiang, Liao Liuwen, Long Hualou, et al. Effects of land use transitions on ecosystem services value: A case study of Hunan province. Geographical Research, 2015, 34(4):691-700. doi: 10.11821/dlyj201504008
	[刘永强, 廖柳文, 龙花楼, 等. 土地利用转型的生态系统服务价值效应分析: 以湖南省为例. 地理研究, 2015, 34(4):691-700.]
[65]	Zhao Wenwu, Liu Yue, Feng Qiang, et al. Ecosystem services for coupled human and environment systems. Progress in Geography, 2018, 37(1):139-151. doi: 10.18306/dlkxjz.2018.01.015
	[赵文武, 刘月, 冯强, 等. 人地系统耦合框架下的生态系统服务. 地理科学进展, 2018, 37(1):139-151.]
[66]	Long Hualou, Tu Shuangshuang. Rural restructuring: Theory, approach and research prospect. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2017, 72(4):563-576. doi: 10.11821/dlxb201704001
	[龙花楼, 屠爽爽. 论乡村重构. 地理学报, 2017, 72(4):563-576.]

生态系统服务类型	土地利用类型
生态系统服务类型	森林	草地	农田	水域	未利用地
供给服务	8875	2118	3727	2360	161
调节服务	38075	15820	10323	97039	1394
支持服务	22872	11020	6677	10296	1528
文化服务	5577	2333	456	11905	644

回归类型	变量回归系数及标准误
回归类型	PRE	TEM	POP		GDP	MPI
固定效应回归	-1.47E-06 (1.59E-06)	1.69E-03^*** (5.11E-04)	2.48E-06 (2.58E-06)	-2.92E-06^*** (1.11E-06)		1.49E-02 (1.74E-02)
0.1分位回归	-121.24 (98.43)	84723.41^** (33532.16)	-431.80 (472.47)	-145.72^** (60.14)		1897395.00^** (859333.60)
0.2分位回归	-87.22 (79.58)	87474.14^*** (27111.55)	-252.42 (382.00)	-144.63^*** (48.63)		1612107.00^** (694778.80)
0.3分位回归	-63.99 (68.81)	89352.91^*** (23441.90)	-129.90 (330.35)	-143.88^*** (42.04)		1417254.00^** (600800.40)
0.4分位回归	-40.98 (60.89)	91213.39^*** (20740.32)	-8.58 (292.48)	-143.14^*** (37.20)		1224297.00^** (531790.40)
0.5分位回归	-10.60 (56.55)	93670.10^*** (19251.33)	151.63 (271.84)	-142.16^*** (34.52)		969503.20^** (494041.20)
0.6分位回归	25.10 (61.81)	96557.23^*** (21051.82)	339.91 (297.04)	-141.00^*** (37.75)		670069.60 (539974.70)
0.7分位回归	56.87 (74.11)	99126.38^*** (25245.84)	507.45 (355.97)	-139.98^*** (45.28)		403615.10 (647257.80)
0.8分位回归	91.41 (92.21)	101919.10^*** (31414.65)	689.57 (442.78)	-138.87^** (56.34)		113968.60 (805223.40)
0.9分位回归	134.27 (118.18)	105384.80^*** (40262.84)	915.57 (567.26)	-137.48^* (72.21)		-245464.60 (1031756.00)

粤港澳大湾区生态系统服务价值的时空演化及其影响机制

Spatiotemporal evolution and influencing mechanism of ecosystem service value in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area

RichHTML

PDF (PC)

赞

可视化

摘要/Abstract

引用本文

使用本文

图/表 9

参考文献 66

相关文章 15

Metrics

本文评价

[1]	赵雪雁, 马平易, 李文青, 杜昱璇. 黄土高原生态系统服务供需关系的时空变化[J]. 地理学报, 2021, 76(11): 2780-2796.
[2]	赵艳艳, 张晓平, 陈明星, 高珊珊, 李润奎. 中国城市空气质量的区域差异及归因分析[J]. 地理学报, 2021, 76(11): 2814-2829.
[3]	敖荣军, 常亮. 基于结构方程模型的中国县域人口老龄化影响机制[J]. 地理学报, 2020, 75(8): 1572-1584.
[4]	王少剑, 高爽, 黄永源, 史晨怡. 基于超效率SBM模型的中国城市碳排放绩效时空演变格局及预测[J]. 地理学报, 2020, 75(6): 1316-1330.
[5]	张琨, 吕一河, 傅伯杰, 尹礼唱, 于丹丹. 黄土高原植被覆盖变化对生态系统服务影响及其阈值[J]. 地理学报, 2020, 75(5): 949-960.
[6]	张静静, 朱文博, 朱连奇, 李艳红. 伏牛山地区森林生态系统服务权衡/协同效应多尺度分析[J]. 地理学报, 2020, 75(5): 975-988.
[7]	于贵瑞, 李文华, 邵明安, 张扬建, 王绍强, 牛书丽, 何洪林, 戴尔阜, 李发东, 马泽清. 生态系统科学研究与生态系统管理[J]. 地理学报, 2020, 75(12): 2620-2635.
[8]	余姝辰, 王伦澈, 夏卫平, 余德清, 李长安, 贺秋华. 清末以来洞庭湖区通江湖泊的时空演变[J]. 地理学报, 2020, 75(11): 2346-2361.
[9]	李睿倩, 李永富, 胡恒. 生态系统服务对国土空间规划体系的理论与实践支撑[J]. 地理学报, 2020, 75(11): 2417-2430.
[10]	刘晓琼, 吴泽洲, 刘彦随, 赵新正, 芮旸, 张健. 1960-2015年青海三江源地区降水时空特征[J]. 地理学报, 2019, 74(9): 1803-1820.
[11]	刘立程, 刘春芳, 王川, 李鹏杰. 黄土丘陵区生态系统服务供需匹配研究——以兰州市为例[J]. 地理学报, 2019, 74(9): 1921-1937.
[12]	张行,梁小英,刘迪,史琴琴,陈海. 生态脆弱区社会—生态景观恢复力时空演变及情景模拟[J]. 地理学报, 2019, 74(7): 1450-1466.
[13]	王少剑,黄永源. 中国城市碳排放强度的空间溢出效应及驱动因素[J]. 地理学报, 2019, 74(6): 1131-1148.
[14]	颜俨,姚柳杨,郎亮明,赵敏娟. 基于Meta回归方法的中国内陆河流域生态系统服务价值再评估[J]. 地理学报, 2019, 74(5): 1040-1057.
[15]	陈峰, 李红波, 张安录. 基于生态系统服务的中国陆地生态风险评价[J]. 地理学报, 2019, 74(3): 432-445.