水—粮食—能源纽带关系研究进展与展望

doi:10.11821/dlxb202107002

地理学报 ›› 2021, Vol. 76 ›› Issue (7): 1591-1604.doi: 10.11821/dlxb202107002

水—粮食—能源纽带关系研究进展与展望

林志慧¹(), 刘宪锋¹^,²(), 陈瑛¹, 傅伯杰²

1.陕西师范大学地理科学与旅游学院,西安 710119
2.中国科学院生态环境研究中心,北京 100085

收稿日期:2020-04-03 修回日期:2020-10-12 出版日期:2021-07-25 发布日期:2021-09-25
通讯作者: 刘宪锋(1986-), 男, 黑龙江人, 副教授, 硕士生导师, 中国地理学会会员(S110001618M), 主要从事气候变化与生态水文研究。E-mail: liuxianfeng7987@163.com
作者简介:林志慧(1988-), 女, 黑龙江人, 博士生, 中国地理学会会员(S110014964M), 主要从事旅游经济与人地耦合研究。E-mail: huihui7987@163.com
基金资助:
国家自然科学基金项目(41991230);国家自然科学基金项目(41801333);陕西省自然科学基金项目(2020JQ-417);陕西省社会科学基金项目(2020D039);中央高校基本科研业务费专项(GK201901009);中央高校基本科研业务费专项(GK202003068)

Water-food-energy nexus: Progress, challenges and prospect

LIN Zhihui¹(), LIU Xianfeng¹^,²(), CHEN Ying¹, FU Bojie²

1. School of Geography and Tourism, Shaanxi Normal University, Xi'an 710119, China
2. Research Center for Eco-Environmental Sciences, CAS, Beijing 100085, China

Received:2020-04-03 Revised:2020-10-12 Published:2021-07-25 Online:2021-09-25
Supported by:
National Natural Science Foundation of China(41991230);National Natural Science Foundation of China(41801333);Natural Science Foundation of Shaanxi Province(2020JQ-417);Social Science Foundation of Shaanxi Province(2020D039);Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities(GK201901009);Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities(GK202003068)

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

水—粮食—能源纽带关系是实现社会经济可持续发展的重要支撑与关键途径。本文系统梳理了纽带关系的概念内涵,回顾了纽带关系的近今进展,发现当前学界对纽带关系的概念内涵和研究框架尚未达成较为一致的认识。在评估方法上,可归纳为基于关键过程视角的评估、基于系统整体视角的评估以及耦合纽带系统内外部要素的综合评估,呈现出由传统部门研究范式到自然科学和社会科学交叉的人地系统耦合研究范式的转变。文献计量分析表明,2000—2019年纽带关系研究发文量呈指数增长,且2015年之后增加尤为显著。在学科分布上,环境科学、食品科学和营养学是研究纽带关系的主要学科,未来应加强地理学的综合性和系统性思维在纽带关系研究中的应用。通过文献回顾发现,当前研究对纽带系统的互馈关系及其演化特征缺乏定量化理解,建议未来应重点关注以下五个前沿议题,即建立纽带关系多源信息数据库、揭示纽带关系耦合系统互馈机理、发展纽带关系耦合系统过程模型、搭建纽带关系耦合系统决策平台以及促进纽带关系多部门协同合作,旨在通过系统治理和科学管控,实现纽带关系系统协同可持续发展。

关键词: 纽带关系, 粮食安全, 水安全, 能源安全, 可持续发展, 人地耦合

Abstract:

The water-food-energy nexus (WFE) plays a key role in achieving sustainable development. In this study, we systematically analyzed the concept of the WFE nexus and review its recent progress. We found that the academic communities have not reached a unanimous understanding of the concept of the WFE nexus and research framework. The evaluation methodology of the WFE nexus presents a transition from the traditional sectoral research paradigm to the human-environment system paradigm that considers the intersection of natural science and social science. These methods can also be grouped into three categories: an evaluation based on a critical process, an evaluation based on the whole system, and a comprehensive evaluation that involves coupling the internal and external elements of the WFE nexus. A bibliometric analysis shows that the number of research papers concerning the WFE nexus increased exponentially during 2000 to 2019, and the increase was particularly significant after 2015. Environmental science, food science, and nutrition science are the three main disciplines in WFE nexus research. More important, we need to strengthen the application of geography thinking, that is, comprehensive and systematic thinking, to study the WFE nexus in the future. Based on the literature review, we found that existing research lacked a quantitative understanding of the mutual feedback among the WFE nexus and its evolution. Therefore, we suggest the following five priority areas for future research: establishing a multi-source database of the WFE nexus, revealing the mutual feedback mechanism of the WFE nexus, developing a coupling model of the WFE nexus, establishing a decision-making platform for the WFE nexus, and promoting the collaboration of multiple sectors related to the WFE nexus. This will help to achieve a synergetic sustainable development of the WFE nexus through system governance and scientific management.

Key words: nexus, food security, water security, energy security, sustainable development, coupled human-environment system

林志慧, 刘宪锋, 陈瑛, 傅伯杰. 水—粮食—能源纽带关系研究进展与展望[J]. 地理学报, 2021, 76(7): 1591-1604.

LIN Zhihui, LIU Xianfeng, CHEN Ying, FU Bojie. Water-food-energy nexus: Progress, challenges and prospect[J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2021, 76(7): 1591-1604.

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类别	方法	用途	文献
纽带系统关键过程分析	LEAP	基于情景分析的自下而上的能源—环境核算工具	[14]
	WEAP	SEI开发的用于水资源模拟评估、规划预测及优化配置的模型	[59]
	SWAT	主要用于模拟和预测径流、土壤水和地下水等水资源优化配置分析	[60]
	一般均衡模型	着眼于整个经济的商品和生产要素的价格及供求量决定分析方法。	[61]
	虚拟水	用于定量刻画粮食或能源流动过程中所包含的虚拟水的流动	[25]
纽带系统整体分析	指标体系法	采用指标和权重测度纽带关系系统的可持续发展能力和适应性	[12]
	生命周期评价	该方法主要用于评估产品生命周期中的输入、输入和潜在环境影响	[62]
	投入产出分析	用于研究国民经济各部门间平衡关系,推断某一部门产销对其他部门的影响	[63]
	社会网络分析	以要素作为节点、以关系作为边,建立网络分析纽带关系关联性	[64]
纽带系统与外部因素综合分析	CLEWs	用于分析气候、土地、能源和水等资源及其与社会经济发展关系的集成模型	[50]
	WEFO	以生产成本、社会经济需求和环境约束为条件,模拟纽带关系的需求	[52]
	LIPSON	以生产成本、社会经济需求和环境约束为条件,模拟纽带关系的需求	[53]
	WEF Nexus 2.0	用于在线核算纽带关系及其与外部环境之间的关系的公共平台	[51]
	WEFSiM	用于定量刻画水—能源—粮食模拟和优化分析的工具	[54]
	MuSIASEM	用于定量分析多尺度水资源利用引起的社会—生态系统的响应特征	[65]
	系统动力学模型	主要用于分析和模拟复杂反馈系统的计算机仿真方法	[19]
	多部门系统分析	用于研究部门间的协同作用和物质能量的流动,提出不同配置方案	[66]

水—粮食—能源纽带关系研究进展与展望

Water-food-energy nexus: Progress, challenges and prospect

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