地理学报 ›› 2020, Vol. 75 ›› Issue (10): 2241-2255.doi: 10.11821/dlxb202010014
收稿日期:
2019-01-04
修回日期:
2020-04-03
出版日期:
2020-10-25
发布日期:
2020-12-25
作者简介:
房艳刚(1979-), 男, 山东曲阜人, 博士, 教授, 博士生导师, 研究方向为人文地理与乡村发展。E-mail: 基金资助:
FANG Yangang1,2,3(), LIU Jianzhi1
Received:
2019-01-04
Revised:
2020-04-03
Online:
2020-10-25
Published:
2020-12-25
Supported by:
摘要:
本文选取2001年、2008年和2015年3期截面数据,综合运用标准差椭圆等空间分析法和非参数检验等数理统计法,对东北地区183个县域粮食产量与农业劳动力变化的耦合模式及其表征的乡村发展类型进行研究。结果表明:① 2001—2015年东北地区总的粮劳变化耦合模式在2008年发生转折,2001—2008年为粮增劳减模式,2008—2015年为粮劳同增模式,这实际上是一种在多因素综合作用下发生的退化。② 县域层面,2008年前后两时段东北地区粮增劳减耦合模式的比例由45.90%下降为37.16%,同时粮减劳增与粮劳同减耦合模式的比例明显上升。从空间格局看,粮劳变化耦合模式转换的差异明显。③ 县域粮劳变化耦合模式可以较好的表征相应的乡村发展类型。县域乡村发展类型实际上具有一定的层级性和结构演进规律。④ 东北地区各县域乡村发展类型所面临的约束和机遇不同,应有针对性的采取差别化的推进策略。
房艳刚, 刘建志. 东北地区县域粮劳变化耦合模式与乡村发展类型[J]. 地理学报, 2020, 75(10): 2241-2255.
FANG Yangang, LIU Jianzhi. Coupled modes of grain yield and agricultural labor changes and rural development types at county level in Northeast China[J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2020, 75(10): 2241-2255.
表1
非参数检验与秩变换分析法结果汇总表"
乡村发展类型 | 变量 | H统计量 | 秩均值 | 变量 | H统计量 | 秩均值 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
外延扩张型 | 乡村非农就业率 | 24.880** | 78.4578c-d- | 城镇建设及工矿用地比例 | 24.641** | 86.7952c-d- |
农业现代化型 | 86.9412d- | 77.2500c-d- | ||||
种养结合型 | 112.8125a+d- | 117.1250a+b+ | ||||
城镇化型 | 154.7273a+b+c+ | 145.4546a+b+ | ||||
外延扩张型 | 人口密度 | 24.766** | 83.8434c+d+ | 地均农业机械总动力 | 6.055 | — |
农业现代化型 | 79.3235c+d+ | |||||
种养结合型 | 120.0625a-b- | |||||
城镇化型 | 150.6364a-b- | |||||
外延扩张型 | 粮食播种面积 年均增长率 | 13.074** | 95.5663d+ | 非农产值比例 | 17.091** | 97.2289b+ |
农业现代化型 | 94.4638d+ | 70.5441a-c-d- | ||||
种养结合型 | 83.6250d+ | 110.0625b+ | ||||
城镇化型 | 41.8333a-b-c- | 118.4546b+ | ||||
外延扩张型 | 经济作物播种 面积比例 | 20.046** | 88.7229c- | 平均夜间灯光指数 | 20.926** | 79.5301c+d+ |
农业现代化型 | 75.8824c-d- | 86.3677c+d+ | ||||
种养结合型 | 134.7500a+b+ | 115.1250a-b- | ||||
城镇化型 | 113.7273b+ | 146.8182a-b- |
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