中国与南美洲国家地缘经济联系强度及其影响因素

doi:10.11821/dlxb202010003

地理学报 ›› 2020, Vol. 75 ›› Issue (10): 2061-2075.doi: 10.11821/dlxb202010003

• 地缘环境与“一带一路” • 上一篇下一篇

中国与南美洲国家地缘经济联系强度及其影响因素

党琴¹(), 胡伟², 葛岳静¹^,³(), 丁时洪⁴, 冶莉¹, 王淑芳⁵

1.北京师范大学地理科学学部,北京 100875
2.浙江师范大学地理与环境科学学院,金华 321004
3.高原科学与可持续发展研究院,西宁 810008
4.东北师范大学地理科学学院,长春 130024
5.天津师范大学地理与环境科学学院,天津 300387

收稿日期:2019-10-02 修回日期:2020-05-25 出版日期:2020-10-25 发布日期:2020-12-25
作者简介:党琴(1995-), 女, 四川遂宁人, 硕士生, 研究方向为全球化与地缘环境研究。E-mail: dangq@mail.bnu.edu.cn
基金资助:
国家自然科学基金项目(41871128);国家自然科学基金项目(41701133);国家社会科学基金项目(16ZDA041);天津师范大学博士基金项目(52XB1901)

Geo-economic linkages intensity and its influencing factors between China and South American countries

DANG Qin¹(), HU Wei², GE Yuejing¹^,³(), DING Shihong⁴, YE Li¹, WANG Shufang⁵

1. Faculty of Geographical Science, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China
2. College of Geography and Environmental Sciences, Zhejiang Normal University, Jinhua 321004, Zhejiang, China
3. Academy of Plateau Science and Sustainability, BNU-Qinghai, Xining 810008, China
4. School of Geographical Sciences, Northeast Normal University, Changchun 130024, China
5. School of Geographic and Environmental Sciences, Tianjin Normal University, Tianjin 300387, China

Received:2019-10-02 Revised:2020-05-25 Published:2020-10-25 Online:2020-12-25
Supported by:
National Natural Science Foundation of China(41871128);National Natural Science Foundation of China(41701133);National Social Science Foundation of China(16ZDA041);Tianjin Normal University Doctoral Fund(52XB1901)

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

南美洲作为“一带一路”倡议国际合作的拓展方向区,对于提升中国地缘经济地位和拓宽中国地缘经济空间具有重要的意义。基于贸易、投资、旅游、交通和政治,本文建立多维度的地缘经济联系指标体系,运用灰色关联TOPSIS法和地理加权回归模型,解析中国与南美洲国家地缘经济联系强度的重要特征。结果表明：① 2006—2015年中国与南美洲国家的地缘经济要素流整体呈增长趋势。② 中国与南美洲国家地缘经济要素联系发展不平衡,交通联系强度高于政治、旅游、投资和贸易。③ 中国与南美洲国家地缘经济联系强度偏低,且差异显著。④ 中国与南美洲国家地缘经济联系强度提升缓慢,空间格局年际变化不大。⑤ 国内生产总值、人口规模、合作戈登斯坦因子是重要的地缘经济联系强度影响因子。市场是中国与南美洲国家地缘经济联系强度最重要的驱动力,资源禀赋对中国与南美洲国家地缘经济联系强度作用有限,地缘政治对中国与南美洲国家地缘经济联系强度作用显著。

关键词: 地缘经济, 联系强度, 灰色关联TOPSIS, 地理加权回归, 中国, 南美洲

Abstract:

As an expansion area of international cooperation under the Belt and Road Initiative, South America is of great importance for China to enhance geo-economic status and expand geo-economic space. Based on trade, investment, tourism, transportation and politics, this paper establishes a multi-dimensional index system of geo-economic linkages intensity and analyzes the important characteristics of the geo-economic linkages intensity between China and countries in South America by using the gray correlation TOPSIS method and geographically weighted regression model. The results show that: (1) The geo-economic flows between China and South American countries show an overall increasing trend during 2006-2015. (2) China and South American countries have an unbalanced development in geo-economic linkages elements. The geo-economic linkage of transportation is higher than that of politics, tourism, investment and trade. (3) The geo-economic linkages intensity between China and South American countries are at a low level and varies significantly among countries. (4) The geo-economic linkages intensity between China and South American countries is slowly increasing, and the changes in spatial pattern are small year by year. (5) Gross domestic product, population size and cooperative goldenstein factor are the dominant factors influencing the geo-economic linkages intensity between China and countries in South America. Market is the most important driving force for geo-economic linkages intensity between China and countries in South America. Resource endowment has little effect on the geo-economic linkages intensity, while geopolitics has a significant effect on the geo-economic linkages intensity.

Key words: geo-economic, linkages intensity, grey correlation analysis, geographically weighted regression, China, South American countries

党琴, 胡伟, 葛岳静, 丁时洪, 冶莉, 王淑芳. 中国与南美洲国家地缘经济联系强度及其影响因素[J]. 地理学报, 2020, 75(10): 2061-2075.

DANG Qin, HU Wei, GE Yuejing, DING Shihong, YE Li, WANG Shufang. Geo-economic linkages intensity and its influencing factors between China and South American countries[J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2020, 75(10): 2061-2075.

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目标层	要素层	指标层	单位
中国与南美洲国家地缘经济联系强度	贸易	进口额	美元
		进口额比重	%
		出口额	美元
		出口额比重	%
	投资	对外直接投资流量	万美元
		对外直接投资流量比重	%
		对外直接投资存量	万美元
		对外直接投资存量比重	%
	旅游	旅游人数	千人
	旅游	旅游偏好	%
	交通	首都间距离	km
		海运时间	day
		航空时间	hour
		海运连接指数	-
	政治	双边经贸投资文件	-
		领导人互访	-
		戈登斯坦因子	-

影响因素	回归系数	回归系数大小排序
营商便利指数	0.17^*	6
国内生产总值	2.54^*	1
人口规模	1.31^*	2
人均国内生产总值	0.03^*	11
高科技出口比重	0.05^*	10
燃料出口比重	0.10^*	8
自然资源租金总额	0.08^*	9
海运连接指数	0.20^*	5
进口产品集中度指数	-0.06^*	12
出口产品集中度指数	0.32^*	4
贸易开放度指数	0.17^*	7
合作戈登斯坦因子	0.42^*	3
冲突戈登斯坦因子	-0.18^*	13

中国与南美洲国家地缘经济联系强度及其影响因素

Geo-economic linkages intensity and its influencing factors between China and South American countries

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