地理学报 ›› 2020, Vol. 75 ›› Issue (5): 961-974.doi: 10.11821/dlxb202005006
金凯1,2, 王飞1,3,4(), 韩剑桥1,3, 史尚渝3,5, 丁文斌1
收稿日期:
2019-09-18
修回日期:
2020-03-03
出版日期:
2020-05-25
发布日期:
2020-07-25
通讯作者:
王飞
作者简介:
金凯(1988-), 男, 山东平邑人, 博士, 讲师, 主要从事土地利用/覆被变化及其生态效应研究。E-mail: jinkai- 2014@outlook.com; jinkai@qau.edu.cn
基金资助:
JIN Kai1,2, WANG Fei1,3,4(), HAN Jianqiao1,3, SHI Shangyu3,5, DING Wenbin1
Received:
2019-09-18
Revised:
2020-03-03
Online:
2020-05-25
Published:
2020-07-25
Contact:
WANG Fei
Supported by:
摘要:
基于中国603个气象站的地表气温和降水观测资料以及GIMMS NDVI3g数据,采用变化趋势分析和多元回归残差分析等方法研究了1982—2015年中国植被NDVI变化特征及其主要驱动因素(即气候变化和人类活动)的相应贡献。结果表明:① 1982—2015年中国植被恢复明显,在选择的32个省级行政区中,山西、陕西和重庆的生长季NDVI增加最快,仅上海生长季NDVI呈减小趋势。② 气候变化和人类活动的共同作用是中国植被NDVI呈现整体快速增加和巨大空间差异的主要原因,其中气候变化对各省生长季NDVI变化的影响在-0.01×10 -3~1.05×10 -3 a -1之间,而人类活动的影响在-0.32×10 -3~1.77×10 -3 a -1之间。③ 气候变化和人类活动分别对中国近34年来植被NDVI的增加贡献了40%和60%;人类活动贡献率超过80%的区域主要集中在黄土高原中部、华北平原以及中国东北和西南等地;人类活动贡献率大于50%的省份有22个,其中贡献率最大的3个地区为上海、黑龙江和云南。研究结果建议应更加重视人类活动在植被恢复中的作用。
金凯, 王飞, 韩剑桥, 史尚渝, 丁文斌. 1982—2015年中国气候变化和人类活动对植被NDVI变化的影响[J]. 地理学报, 2020, 75(5): 961-974.
JIN Kai, WANG Fei, HAN Jianqiao, SHI Shangyu, DING Wenbin. Contribution of climatic change and human activities to vegetation NDVI change over China during 1982-2015[J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2020, 75(5): 961-974.
表3
1982—2015年中国32个省级行政区生长季NDVI平均变化趋势及其驱动因素的影响(10-3 a-1)"
地区 | slope (NDVIobs)a | 对植被恢复的作用 | 驱动力 | 地区 | slope(NDVIobs)a | 对植被恢复的作用 | 驱动力 | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CCb | HAc | CCb | HAc | |||||||
上海 | -0.33 | 基本无影响 | 轻微抑制 | CC & HA | 海南 | 1.18 | 轻微促进 | 轻微促进 | CC & HA | |
西藏 | 0.04 | 基本无影响 | 基本无影响 | CC | 甘肃 | 1.39 | 轻微促进 | 轻微促进 | CC & HA | |
吉林 | 0.26 | 基本无影响 | 基本无影响 | CC & HA | 河南 | 1.41 | 轻微促进 | 轻微促进 | CC & HA | |
黑龙江 | 0.44 | 基本无影响 | 轻微促进 | CC & HA | 湖北 | 1.42 | 轻微促进 | 轻微促进 | CC & HA | |
青海 | 0.47 | 轻微促进 | 基本无影响 | CC & HA | 湖南 | 1.43 | 轻微促进 | 轻微促进 | CC & HA | |
四川 | 0.51 | 轻微促进 | 基本无影响 | CC & HA | 江西 | 1.46 | 轻微促进 | 轻微促进 | CC & HA | |
内蒙古 | 0.55 | 基本无影响 | 轻微促进 | CC & HA | 贵州 | 1.54 | 轻微促进 | 中度促进 | CC & HA | |
云南 | 0.64 | 基本无影响 | 轻微促进 | CC & HA | 宁夏 | 1.55 | 轻微促进 | 轻微促进 | CC & HA | |
浙江 | 0.68 | 轻微促进 | 基本无影响 | CC & HA | 安徽 | 1.58 | 轻微促进 | 轻微促进 | CC & HA | |
新疆 | 0.7 | 轻微促进 | 轻微促进 | CC & HA | 广西 | 1.62 | 轻微促进 | 中度促进 | CC & HA | |
台湾 | 0.83 | 轻微促进 | 轻微促进 | CC & HA | 北京 | 1.7 | 轻微促进 | 中度促进 | CC & HA | |
天津 | 0.85 | 轻微促进 | 轻微促进 | CC & HA | 山东 | 1.74 | 轻微促进 | 中度促进 | CC & HA | |
广东 | 0.9 | 基本无影响 | 轻微促进 | CC & HA | 河北 | 1.78 | 轻微促进 | 中度促进 | CC & HA | |
福建 | 0.91 | 轻微促进 | 轻微促进 | CC & HA | 重庆 | 2.16 | 中度促进 | 中度促进 | CC & HA | |
江苏 | 1 | 轻微促进 | 轻微促进 | CC & HA | 陕西 | 2.24 | 轻微促进 | 中度促进 | CC & HA | |
辽宁 | 1.1 | 基本无影响 | 轻微促进 | CC & HA | 山西 | 2.71 | 轻微促进 | 中度促进 | CC & HA |
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