地理学报 ›› 2019, Vol. 74 ›› Issue (12): 2437-2454.doi: 10.11821/dlxb201912002
樊杰1,2, 王亚飞1,2, 梁博1,2
收稿日期:
2019-11-20
修回日期:
2019-12-03
出版日期:
2019-12-25
发布日期:
2019-12-25
作者简介:
樊杰(1961-), 男, 陕西西安人, 研究员, 博士生导师, 中国地理学会会员(S110005375M), 主要从事经济地理学与区域综合研究。E-mail:fanj@igsnrr.ac.cn
基金资助:
FAN Jie1,2, WANG Yafei1,2, LIANG Bo1,2
Received:
2019-11-20
Revised:
2019-12-03
Published:
2019-12-25
Online:
2019-12-25
Supported by:
摘要:
2018年底中国人均GDP达到64520元(将近10000美元)。世界各国发展历程和区域发展差距倒“U”字型曲线表明,中国区域发展格局演变将步入从区域间经济发展差距持续扩大转向缩小的拐点区段。本文讨论了1978年以来拐点发生前40年间中国区域发展格局演变过程,① 处于发展上游(前8位最发达的省区)和下游(后8位欠发达省区)省区人均GDP的差距从1978年的407元增加到2018年的53817元;② 城市化和经济发展的重心在外向型经济、非公有经济的拉动下,呈顺时针方向发生旋转,中国东南地区成为经济加速集聚的区域;③ 中国区域发展格局形成以京津冀、长三角、珠三角、成渝地区四大核心区域为顶点、相邻区域的连线为边界合围成的菱形结构,其GDP占全国比重稳定在75%左右。2020年中国区域发展格局应进入演变的拐点,一方面表现为区域经济差距的缩小,另一方面则是从非高质量的区域发展向高质量区域发展的转变。区域高质量发展是在经济效益持续增长过程中,生态效益和社会效益将相向基本同步的增长过程,并呈现出因地域功能不同而分异的区域高质量发展模式。未来30年,按照促进区域均衡(协调)发展和高质量发展的双重目标要求,应把重点城市化地区、相对欠发达地区、重要安全保障区等三类区域以及区域间互动关系等为调控和优化中国区域发展格局的重点,而建立以主体功能区划—战略—规划—制度为统领的空间治理体系,将成为调控和优化区域发展格局的基本保障。
樊杰, 王亚飞, 梁博. 中国区域发展格局演变过程与调控[J]. 地理学报, 2019, 74(12): 2437-2454.
FAN Jie, WANG Yafei, LIANG Bo. The evolution process and regulation of China's regional development pattern[J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2019, 74(12): 2437-2454.
[1] | Lu Dadao. Regional Development and Its Spatial Structure. Beijing: Science Press, 1995. |
[ 陆大道 . 区域发展及其空间结构. 北京: 科学出版社, 1995.] | |
[2] |
Fu Bojie . Geography: From knowledge, science to decision making support. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2017,72(11):1923-1932.
doi: 10.11821/dlxb201711001 |
[ 傅伯杰 . 地理学:从知识、科学到决策. 地理学报, 2017,72(11):1923-1932.]
doi: 10.11821/dlxb201711001 |
|
[3] | Fan Jie . Comprehensiveness of geography and integrated research on regional development. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2004,59(Suppl.):33-40. |
[ 樊杰 . 地理学的综合性与区域发展的集成研究. 地理学报, 2004,59(增刊):33-40.] | |
[4] |
Lu Dadao . The changing humanistic and economic geography in china. Scientia Geographica Sinica, 2017,37(5):641-650.
doi: 10.13249/j.cnki.sgs.2017.05.001 |
[ 陆大道 . 变化发展中的中国人文与经济地理学. 地理科学, 2017,37(5):641-650.]
doi: 10.13249/j.cnki.sgs.2017.05.001 |
|
[5] | Fan Jie . The progress and characteristics of Chinese human geography over the past 70 years. Scientia Sinica Terrae, 2019,49(11):1697-1719. |
[ 樊杰 . 中国人文地理学70年创新发展与学术特色. 中国科学: 地球科学, 2019,49(11):1697-1719. | |
[6] |
Li Xiaojian, Fan Xinsheng, Luo Qing . The development of Chinese economic geography: A review on papers published in Acta Geographica Sinica from 1934 to 2013. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2014,69(8):1093-1108.
doi: 10.11821/dlxb201408006 |
[ 李小建, 樊新生, 罗庆 . 从《地理学报》看80年的中国经济地理学发展. 地理学报, 2014,69(8):1093-1108.]
doi: 10.11821/dlxb201408006 |
|
[7] |
Fan Jie, Zhou Kan, Sun Wei , et al. Scientific values and research innovations of human-economic geography in construction of ecological civilization. Progress in Geography, 2013,32(2):147-160.
doi: 10.3724/SP.J.1033.2013.00147 |
[ 樊杰, 周侃, 孙威 , 等. 人文—经济地理学在生态文明建设中的学科价值与学术创新. 地理科学进展, 2013,32(2):147-160.]
doi: 10.3724/SP.J.1033.2013.00147 |
|
[8] | Lu Dadao, Fan Jie . The rise and effects of regional sustainable development studies in China. Bulletin of the Chinese Academy of Sciences, 2012,27(3):290-300, 319. |
[ 陆大道, 樊杰 . 区域可持续发展研究的兴起与作用. 中国科学院院刊, 2012,27(3):290-300, 319.] | |
[9] | Fan Jie , Spatial organization pathway for territorial function-structure: Discussion on implementation of major function strategy in territorial spatial planning. Geographical Research, 2019,38(1):2373-2387. |
[ 樊杰 . 论地域功能—结构的空间组织途径: 对国土空间规划实施主体功能区战略的讨论. 地理研究, 2019,38(1):2373-2387.] | |
[10] |
Fan Jie . Frontier approach of the sustainable process and pattern of human-environment system. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2014,69(8):1060-1068.
doi: 10.11821/dlxb201408003 |
[ 樊杰 . 人地系统可持续过程、格局的前沿探索. 地理学报, 2014,69(8):1060-1068.]
doi: 10.11821/dlxb201408003 |
|
[11] | Fan Jie, Wang Yafei, Wang Chuangsheng , et al. Reshaping the sustainable geographical pattern: A major function zoning model and its applications in China. Earth's Future, 2019,7(1):25-42. |
[12] |
Qi Yuanjing, Yang Yu, Jin Fengjun . China's economic development stage and its patio-temporal evolution: A prefectural-level analysis. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2013,68(4):517-531.
doi: 10.11821/xb201304007 |
[ 齐元静, 杨宇, 金凤君 . 中国经济发展阶段及其时空格局演变特征. 地理学报, 2013,68(4):517-531.]
doi: 10.11821/xb201304007 |
|
[13] |
Jin Cheng, Lu Yuqi . Evolvement of spatial pattern of economy in Jiangsu Province at county level. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2009,64(6):713-724.
doi: 10.11821/xb200906008 |
[ 靳诚, 陆玉麒 . 基于县域单元的江苏省经济空间格局演化. 地理学报, 2009,64(6):713-724.]
doi: 10.11821/xb200906008 |
|
[14] |
Liu Yong . A study on zoning "new three macro-regional development zones" of regional economy of China. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2005,60(3):361-370.
doi: 10.11821/xb200503002 |
[ 刘勇 . 中国新三大地带宏观区域格局的划分. 地理学报, 2005,60(3):361-370.]
doi: 10.11821/xb200503002 |
|
[15] |
Chen Mingxing, Lu Dadao, Zhang Hua . Comprehensive evaluation and the driving factors of China's urbanization. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2009,64(4):387-398.
doi: 10.11821/xb200904001 |
[ 陈明星, 陆大道, 张华 . 中国城市化水平的综合测度及其动力因子分析. 地理学报, 2009,64(4):387-398.]
doi: 10.11821/xb200904001 |
|
[16] | Zhang Xiaoxu, Feng Zongxian . Spatial correlation and regional convergence in per-capita GDP in China: 1978-2003. China Economic Quarterly, 2008,7(2):399-417. |
[ 张晓旭, 冯宗宪 . 中国人均GDP 的空间相关与地区收敛: 1978-2003. 经济学, 2008,7(2):399-417.] | |
[17] |
Hong Guozhi, Hu Huaying, Li Xun . Analysis of regional growth convergence with spatial econometrics in China. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2010,65(12):1548-1558.
doi: 10.11821/xb201012010 |
[ 洪国志, 胡华颖, 李郇 . 中国区域经济发展收敛的空间计量分析. 地理学报, 2010,65(12):1548-1558.]
doi: 10.11821/xb201012010 |
|
[18] |
Chen Dong, Fan Jie . Interregional capital flows and regional development gap: Analysis of the inter-bank credit flows. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2011,66(6):723-731.
doi: 10.11821/xb201106001 |
[ 陈东, 樊杰 . 区际资本流动与区域发展差距: 对中国银行间信贷资本流动的分析. 地理学报, 2011,66(6):723-731.]
doi: 10.11821/xb201106001 |
|
[19] |
Li Jingjing, Miao Changhong . Impact of population flow on regional economic disparities in the Yangtze River economic belt. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2017,72(2):197-212.
doi: 10.11821/dlxb201702002 |
[ 李晶晶, 苗长虹 . 长江经济带人口流动对区域经济差异的影响. 地理学报, 2017,72(2):197-212.]
doi: 10.11821/dlxb201702002 |
|
[20] |
Shi Minjun, Jin Fengjun, Li Na , et al. Interregional economic linkage and regional development driving forces based on an interregional input-output analysis of China. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2006,61(6):593-603.
doi: 10.11821/xb200606003 |
[ 石敏俊, 金凤君, 李娜 , 等. 中国地区间经济联系与区域发展驱动力分析. 地理学报, 2006,61(6):593-603.]
doi: 10.11821/xb200606003 |
|
[21] |
Li Guosheng, Guo Zhaocheng, Liao Heping . Methods to evaluate the impacts of physio-geographical pattern on spatio-temporal disparity of regional development. Journal of Geographical Sciences, 2008,18(2):225-236.
doi: 10.1007/s11442-008-0225-z |
[22] |
Fan Jie, Tao Anjun, Lv Chen . The coupling mechanism of the centroids of economic gravity and population gravity and its effect on the regional gap in China. Progress in Geography, 2010,29(1):87-95.
doi: 10.11820/dlkxjz.2010.01.012 |
[ 樊杰, 陶岸君, 吕晨 . 中国经济与人口重心的耦合态势及其对区域发展的影响. 地理科学进展, 2010,29(1):87-95.]
doi: 10.11820/dlkxjz.2010.01.012 |
|
[23] |
Li Na, Shi Minjun, Yuan Yongna . Impacts of carbon tax policy on regional development in China: A dynamic simulation based on a multi-regional CGE mode. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2010,65(12):1569-1580.
doi: 10.11821/xb201012012 |
[ 李娜, 石敏俊, 袁永娜 . 低碳经济政策对区域发展格局演进的影响: 基于动态多区域CGE模型的模拟分析. 地理学报, 2010,65(12):1569-1580.]
doi: 10.11821/xb201012012 |
|
[24] |
Liao Zhijie, Liu Yue . Comprehensive indexes and spatial distribution characteristics of the regional sustainable development of China. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2000,67(2):139-150.
doi: 10.11821/xb200002002 |
[ 廖志杰, 刘岳 . 中国区域可持续发展水平及其空间分布特征. 地理学报, 2000,67(2):139-150.]
doi: 10.11821/xb200002002 |
|
[25] |
Fan Xingang, Zhong Juntao, Yang Meiling , et al. Construction of an emergy and exergy coupling model for the analysis of regional sustainable development capability. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2019,74(10):2062-2077.
doi: 10.11821/dlxb201910008 |
[ 樊新刚, 仲俊涛, 杨美玲 , 等. 区域可持续发展能力的能值与㶲耦合分析模型构建. 地理学报, 2019,74(10):2062-2077.]
doi: 10.11821/dlxb201910008 |
|
[26] |
Li Yurui, Wang Jing, Liu Yansui , et al. Spatial pattern and influencing factors of the coordination development of industrialization, informatization, urbanization and agricultural modernization in China: A prefecture level exploratory spatial data analysis. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2014,69(2):199-212.
doi: 10.11821/dlxb201402005 |
[ 李裕瑞, 王婧, 刘彦随 , 等. 中国“四化”协调发展的区域格局及其影响因素. 地理学报, 2014,69(2):199-212.]
doi: 10.11821/dlxb201402005 |
|
[27] | Washington, Report 2009: Reshaping Economic Geography. Washington, DC: The World Bank, 2009. |
[28] | Fan Jie . A resear ch on the impor tance and significance of major function oriented zoning based upon the analysis on the restr ictive factor s of regional coordinative development. Bulletin of the Chinese Academy of Sciences, 2007,22(3):194-201. |
[ 樊杰 . 解析我国区域协调发展的制约因素探究全国主体功能区规划的重要作用. 中国科学院院刊, 2007,22(3):194-201.] | |
[29] |
Fan Jie . The scientific foundation of Major Function Oriented Zoning in China. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2007,62(4):339-350.
doi: 10.11821/xb200704001 |
[ 樊杰 . 我国主体功能区划的科学基础. 地理学报, 2007,62(4):339-350.]
doi: 10.11821/xb200704001 |
|
[30] | United Nations Sustainable Development Solutions Network (UNSDSN), SDG Index and Dashboards Report 2018[EB/OL]. http://sdgindex.org/reports/2018/?from=singlemessage&isappinstalled=0. |
[31] | Fan Jie, Wang Yafei, Tang Qing , et al. Academic thought and technical progress of monitoring and early-warning of the national resources and environment carrying capaciity (2014). Scientia Geographica Sinica, 2015,35(1):1-10. |
[ 樊杰, 王亚飞, 汤青 , 等. 全国资源环境承载能力监测预警(2014版)学术思路与总体技术流程. 地理科学, 2015,35(1):1-10.] | |
[32] | Fan Jie, Wang Yafei, Ouyang Zhiyun , et al. Risk forewarning of regional development sustainability based on a natural resources and environmental carrying index in China. Earth's Future, 2017,5(2):196-213 |
[33] | Gao Peiyong . Comprehending, grasping, and promoting high-quality economic development. Economic Perspective, 2019(8):3-9. |
[ 高培勇 . 理解、把握和推动经济高质量发展. 经济学动态, 2019(8):3-9.] | |
[34] |
Fan Jie, Wang Yafei , Pattern evolution of China's economic geography in the past 40 years and regional coordinated development in the new era. Economic Geography, 2019,39(1):1-7.
doi: 10.2307/142491 |
[ 樊杰, 王亚飞 . 40年来中国经济地理格局变化及新时代区域协调发展. 经济地理, 2019,39(1):1-7.]
doi: 10.2307/142491 |
|
[35] | Clark W C . Sustainability science: A room of its own. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2007,104(6):1737-1738. |
[36] | Kates R W . What kind of a science is sustainability science? Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2011,108(49):19449-19450. |
[37] |
Fan Jie . "Territorial System of Human-environment Interaction": A theoretical cornerstone for comprehensive research on formation and evolution of the geographical pattern. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2018,73(4):597-607.
doi: 10.11821/dlxb201804001 |
[ 樊杰 . “人地关系地域系统”是综合研究地理格局形成与演变规律的理论基石. 地理学报, 2018,73(4):597-607.]
doi: 10.11821/dlxb201804001 |
|
[38] | Wang Yafei, Fan Jie, Zhou Kan . Territorial function optimization regionalization based on the integration of "Double Evaluation". Geographical Research, 2019,38(10):2415-2429. |
[ 王亚飞, 樊杰, 周侃 . 基于“双评价”集成的国土空间地域功能优化分区. 地理研究, 2019,38(10):2415-2429.] | |
[39] |
Fan Jie . Draft of major function oriented zoning of China. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2015,70(2):186-201.
doi: 10.11821/dlxb201502002 |
[ 樊杰 . 中国主体功能区划方案. 地理学报, 2015,70(2):186-201.]
doi: 10.11821/dlxb201502002 |
|
[40] |
Wang Yafei, Fan Jie . Analysis of the core-periphery structure of major function oriented zones in China. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2019,74(4):710-722.
doi: 10.11821/dlxb201904007 |
[ 王亚飞, 樊杰 . 中国主体功能区核心—边缘结构解析. 地理学报, 2019,74(4):710-722.]
doi: 10.11821/dlxb201904007 |
|
[41] | Xi Jinping. Several opinions on perfecting the strategy and system of major function zones. The 38th meeting of the Central Comprehensive Deepening Reform Leading Group, 2017-08-29 http://www.gov.cn/xinwen/2017-08/29/content_5221323.htm. |
[ 习近平 . 关于完善主体功能区战略和制度的若干意见. 中央全面深化改革领导小组第三十八次会议, 2017-08-29. http://www.gov.cn/xinwen/2017-08/29/content_5221323.htm.] |
[1] | 魏石梅, 潘竟虎. 中国地级及以上城市网络结构韧性测度[J]. 地理学报, 2021, 76(6): 1394-1407. |
[2] | 戈大专, 陆玉麒. 面向国土空间规划的乡村空间治理机制与路径[J]. 地理学报, 2021, 76(6): 1422-1437. |
[3] | 杨忍, 潘瑜鑫. 中国县域乡村脆弱性空间特征与形成机制及对策[J]. 地理学报, 2021, 76(6): 1438-1454. |
[4] | 殷江滨, 李尚谦, 姜磊, 程哲, 黄晓燕, 路改改. 中国连片特困地区非农就业增长的时空特征与驱动因素[J]. 地理学报, 2021, 76(6): 1471-1488. |
[5] | 胡畔, 陈波, 史培军. 中国暴雨洪涝灾情时空格局及影响因素[J]. 地理学报, 2021, 76(5): 1148-1162. |
[6] | 黄晓东, 马海涛, 苗长虹. 基于创新企业的中国城市网络联系特征[J]. 地理学报, 2021, 76(4): 835-852. |
[7] | 王录仓, 刘海洋, 刘清. 基于腾讯迁徙大数据的中国城市网络研究[J]. 地理学报, 2021, 76(4): 853-869. |
[8] | 夏兴生, 潘耀忠, 朱秀芳, 张锦水. 中国综合农业分区下的Ångström-Prescott公式系数逐月校正与优选[J]. 地理学报, 2021, 76(4): 888-902. |
[9] | 王淑佳, 孙九霞. 中国传统村落可持续发展评价体系构建与实证[J]. 地理学报, 2021, 76(4): 921-938. |
[10] | 范泽孟. 中国生态过渡带分布的空间识别及情景模拟[J]. 地理学报, 2021, 76(3): 626-644. |
[11] | 徐羽, 李秀彬, 辛良杰. 中国耕地规模化流转租金的分异特征及其影响因素[J]. 地理学报, 2021, 76(3): 753-763. |
[12] | 古恒宇, 沈体雁. 中国高学历人才的空间演化特征及驱动因素[J]. 地理学报, 2021, 76(2): 326-340. |
[13] | 朱晟君, 金文纨. 地方出口产品结构及制度环境与企业出口相关多样化[J]. 地理学报, 2021, 76(2): 398-414. |
[14] | 李钢, 薛淑艳, 马雪瑶, 周俊俊, 徐婷婷, 王皎贝. 中国失踪人口的时空格局演变与形成机制[J]. 地理学报, 2021, 76(2): 310-325. |
[15] | 葛全胜, 朱会义. 两千年来中国自然与人文地理环境变迁及启示[J]. 地理学报, 2021, 76(1): 3-14. |