地理学报 ›› 2019, Vol. 74 ›› Issue (10): 2062-2077.doi: 10.11821/dlxb201910008
樊新刚1,2,仲俊涛3,杨美玲4,文琦4,马振宁4,米文宝4()
收稿日期:
2018-06-11
修回日期:
2019-05-05
出版日期:
2019-10-25
发布日期:
2019-10-29
通讯作者:
米文宝
E-mail:miwbao@nxu.edu.cn
作者简介:
樊新刚(1978-), 男, 宁夏石嘴山人, 博士, 副教授, 中国地理学会会员(S110012596M), 主要从事生态经济、区域可持续发展等研究。E-mail: fanxg@nxu.edu.cn
基金资助:
FAN Xingang1,2,ZHONG Juntao3,YANG Meiling4,WEN Qi4,MA Zhenning4,MI Wenbao4()
Received:
2018-06-11
Revised:
2019-05-05
Online:
2019-10-25
Published:
2019-10-29
Contact:
MI Wenbao
E-mail:miwbao@nxu.edu.cn
Supported by:
摘要:
可持续发展能力评价方法是识别人地协同规律、支撑科学决策的重要工具和热点需求。通过文献回顾与理论分析框架构建,耦合能值及?方法,提出自组织能力指数(SO)、生态压力指数(EP)、可持续发展能力指数(SC)构成的,基于热力学理论的可持续发展能力分析模型,利用文献荟萃法筛选17个典型发达国家1985年状态值计算SO与EP阈值,划分了4个阶段。利用中美两国1985-2015年特征对比验证,结果显示:① 2005年以前中国属“低自组织能力、低生态压力”阶段,之后进入“低自组织能力、高生态压力”阶段,存在低生态效率、规模扩张驱动特征;美国一直属“高自组织能力、高生态压力”阶段,存在高生态效率驱动、经济与生态脱钩特征,与全球生态足迹网络和世界自然基金会等的研究结果一致,模型具有较好适应性和可靠性。② 模型利用“获得?量/输入能值量”表达经济社会生态效率、“经济社会?损耗量/生态系统年产?量”表达生态压力,连接了经济社会对生态基底的熵化路径,可识别区域所处可持续发展阶段、分析水平变化和驱动因素。③ 模型以人类与生态并重的视角,从深度上反映经济社会的生态效率、从广度上评价生态空间被占用比例,具有宏观规模与微观效率分析相结合的优势,是对经典方法的补充。
樊新刚, 仲俊涛, 杨美玲, 文琦, 马振宁, 米文宝. 区域可持续发展能力的能值与㶲耦合分析模型构建[J]. 地理学报, 2019, 74(10): 2062-2077.
FAN Xingang, ZHONG Juntao, YANG Meiling, WEN Qi, MA Zhenning, MI Wenbao. Construction of an emergy and exergy coupling model for the analysis of regional sustainable development capability[J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2019, 74(10): 2062-2077.
表1
1985年典型发达国家的自组织能力指数(SO)与生态压力指数(EP)值"
序号 | 国家 | SO (j·sej-1) | 能值输入量(sej) | ?输出量 (j) | ?损耗量 (j) | 年生态产?量 (j) | EP (无量纲) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 日本 | 1.39×10-6 | 2.73×1024 | 3.78×1018 | 1.42×1019 | 2.75×1022 | 5.18×10-4 |
2 | 美国 | 3.83×10-6 | 1.29×1025 | 4.95×1019 | 2.42×1020 | 3.70×1023 | 6.53×10-4 |
3 | 英国 | 9.04×10-7 | 1.28×1024 | 1.15×1018 | 5.33×1018 | 5.43×1021 | 9.81×10-4 |
4 | 瑞典 | 8.91×10-7 | 3.25×1023 | 2.89×1017 | 1.16×1018 | 3.07×1022 | 3.77×10-5 |
5 | 加拿大* | 2.54×10-6 | 7.99×1023 | 2.03×1018 | 6.43×1018 | 3.78×1023 | 1.70×10-5 |
6 | 法国 | 8.20×10-7 | 1.32×1024 | 1.09×1018 | 5.23×1018 | 2.28×1022 | 2.29×10-4 |
7 | 德国 | 1.06×10-6 | 1.95×1024 | 2.07×1018 | 8.95×1018 | 1.08×1022 | 8.26×10-4 |
8 | 意大利 | 6.26×10-7 | 1.36×1024 | 8.51×1017 | 3.96×1018 | 1.21×1022 | 3.27×10-4 |
9 | 丹麦 | 4.36×10-7 | 2.32×1023 | 1.01×1017 | 5.39×1017 | 1.65×1021 | 3.27×10-4 |
10 | 西班牙 | 6.81×10-7 | 6.97×1023 | 4.75×1017 | 1.85×1018 | 2.46×1022 | 7.54×10-5 |
11 | 荷兰 | 8.13×10-7 | 4.45×1023 | 3.62×1017 | 1.64×1018 | 7.72×1020 | 2.12×10-3 |
12 | 奥地利 | 5.19×10-7 | 2.94×1023 | 1.52×1017 | 7.10×1017 | 3.99×1021 | 1.78×10-4 |
13 | 比利时 | 8.01×10-7 | 3.38×1023 | 2.71×1017 | 1.09×1018 | 1.05×1021 | 1.04×10-3 |
14 | 芬兰 | 7.72×10-7 | 2.21×1023 | 1.71×1017 | 6.52×1017 | 2.70×1022 | 2.41×10-5 |
15 | 希腊 | 3.66×10-7 | 2.94×1023 | 1.08×1017 | 5.05×1017 | 4.41×1021 | 1.15×10-4 |
16 | 卢森堡 | 2.26×10-7 | 1.27×1023 | 2.87×1016 | 8.36×1016 | 1.89×1020 | 4.42×10-4 |
17 | 葡萄牙 | 3.27×10-7 | 2.33×1023 | 7.63×1016 | 3.67×1017 | 5.29×1021 | 6.94×10-5 |
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