地理学报 ›› 2016, Vol. 71 ›› Issue (12): 2155-2169.doi: 10.11821/dlxb201612007
收稿日期:
2016-05-16
修回日期:
2016-08-18
出版日期:
2016-12-25
发布日期:
2016-12-26
作者简介:
作者简介:王利伟(1984-), 男, 山东莘县人, 博士, 助理研究员, 研究方向为城镇化与区域发展。E-mail:
基金资助:
Liwei WANG1(), Changchun FENG2
Received:
2016-05-16
Revised:
2016-08-18
Online:
2016-12-25
Published:
2016-12-26
Supported by:
摘要:
针对中西方城市群空间扩展路径研究的争论,以京津冀城市群为例,运用夜间灯光数据,采取扩展强度指数、空间关联模型、多维驱动力分析模型,定量揭示了城市群时空扩展路径及其动力机制。结果表明:① 1992-2012年,京津冀城市群时空扩展呈现以京津唐为核心的中心集聚扩展模式,保定—衡水—石家庄之间的“三角地带”成为城市群空间扩展的冷点区;② 城市群空间扩展虽然已经出现了扩散势头,但向心集聚的惯性作用力依然强大;③ 城市群时空扩展的动力机制表现出以市场力为主要驱动因子的特征,行政力、外向力和内源力对城市群空间扩展的影响作用依次递减,从城市群空间扩展的驱动力演化趋势看,市场力、行政力、外向力的影响呈现上升趋势,而内源力的影响系数则呈现下降趋势。最后,提出降低行政干预、构建市场主导机制、强化内外双向开放、推动产业升级政策建议,促进城市群空间结构持续优化。
王利伟, 冯长春. 转型期京津冀城市群空间扩展格局及其动力机制研究——基于夜间灯光数据方法[J]. 地理学报, 2016, 71(12): 2155-2169.
Liwei WANG, Changchun FENG. Spatial expansion pattern and its driving dynamics of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei metropolitan region: Based on nighttime light data[J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2016, 71(12): 2155-2169.
表2
京津冀城市群空间扩展动力因子的回归分析"
京津冀城市群 | 回归模型 | R2 | F | T统计量值 | 双尾显著性概率(Sig) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
总进程 | Y=0.275X1+0.276X2+0.274X3+0.208X4 | 0.966 | 545.918 | 23.365 | 0.000 |
阶段I | Y=0.262X1+0.259X2+0.192X3+0.236X4 | 0.866 | 58.227 | 7.631 | 0.000 |
阶段II | Y=0.300X1+0.301X2+0.300X3+0.101X4 | 0.927 | 113.708 | 10.663 | 0.000 |
北京 | |||||
总进程 | Y=0.249X1+0.246X2+0.247X3+0.227X4 | 0.939 | 290.110 | 17.033 | 0.000 |
阶段I | Y=0.271X1+0.266X2+0.230X3+0.239X4 | 0.921 | 105.026 | 10.248 | 0.000 |
阶段II | Y=0.235X1+0.234X2+0.231X3+0.211X4 | 0.875 | 63.195 | 7.950 | 0.000 |
天津 | |||||
总进程 | Y=0.257X1+0.257X2+0.257X3+0.229X4 | 0.963 | 499.617 | 22.352 | 0.000 |
阶段I | Y=0.275X1+0.270X2+0.209X3+0.279X4 | 0.965 | 245.264 | 15.661 | 0.000 |
阶段II | Y=0.259X1+0.257X2+0.258X3+0.227X4 | 0.964 | 237.774 | 15.420 | 0.000 |
河北 | |||||
总进程 | Y=0.254X1+0.257X2+0.252X3+0.224X4 | 0.943 | 311.765 | 17.657 | 0.000 |
阶段I | Y=0.243X1+0.238X2+0.157X3+0.235X4 | 0.805 | 37.097 | 6.091 | 0.000 |
阶段II | Y=0.249X1+0.249X2+0.248X3+0.215X4 | 0.921 | 104.688 | 10.232 | 0.000 |
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