三工河流域山地—绿洲—荒漠系统降水空间变异性研究

doi:10.11821/dlxb201605003

地理学报 ›› 2016, Vol. 71 ›› Issue (5): 731-742.doi: 10.11821/dlxb201605003

三工河流域山地—绿洲—荒漠系统降水空间变异性研究

徐利岗^1,^2,³(), 周宏飞^1,²(), 潘锋⁴, 吴林峰^1,², 汤英³

1. 中国科学院新疆生态与地理研究所,乌鲁木齐 830011
2. 阜康荒漠生态系统国家野外观测研究站,阜康 831505
3 宁夏水利科学研究院,银川 750021
4. 乌鲁木齐气象卫星地面站,乌鲁木齐 830011

收稿日期:2015-12-22 修回日期:2016-02-15 出版日期:2016-05-25 发布日期:2016-05-25
作者简介:
作者简介：徐利岗(1981-), 男, 宁夏银川市人, 博士, 主要从事水文水资源及相关研究。E-mail: xlg9120@163.com
基金资助:
国土资源部公益行业科研专项(201511047-2);博士后基金项目(2013M542416)

Spatial variability of precipitation for mountain-oasis-desert system in the Sangong River Basin

Ligang XU^1,^2,³(), Hongfei ZHOU^1,²(), Feng PAN⁴, Lingfeng WU^1,², Ying TANG³

1. Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography, CAS, Urumqi 830011, China
2. Fukang Desert Ecosystem Observation and Experiment Station, Fukang 831505, Xinjiang, China
3. The Scientific Research Institute of the Water Conservancy of Ningxia, Yinchuan 750021, China
4. Urumqi Meteorological Satellite Ground Station, Urumqi 830011, China

Received:2015-12-22 Revised:2016-02-15 Online:2016-05-25 Published:2016-05-25
Supported by:
Land and Resources Research Special Funds for Public Welfare Projects, No.201511047-2;China Postdoctoral Science Foundation, No.2013M542416

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

山地—绿洲—沙漠系统（MODS）是中国内陆干旱区最基本、也最典型的地理景观格局,以天山北麓中段、准噶尔盆地南缘的三工河流域为典型区,设置降雨量监测网,获取2007-2014年5-8月份降雨量数据,利用（旋转）经验正交函数分解（REOF/EOF）、分形理论及克里金法（Kriging）等方法探讨流域尺度干旱内陆区MODS多地貌单元复合情况下降水的空间结构型及异质性特征,为深入了解MODS生态系统植被演变规律及其恢复提供借鉴。主要结论为：依据第一特征向量（对总体方差贡献82.4%）0~30 km、30~70 km及70~150 km的3个荷载区段,将研究区划分为山地区、绿洲区及沙漠区;其夏季降水场以“整体一致”型为主,表现为降水一致全流域整体增加,且增幅自山地—绿洲—荒漠依次减小。山地区半变异函数曲线符合高斯模型,绿洲区符合球状模型变程为15.3 km,荒漠区5月、6月及其它时段分别符合高斯模型、指数模型及球状模型,变程58.6 km比山地和绿洲大。随机因素引起的空间异质性占0.01%~9.57%;绿洲区降水空间变异性最大,山地次之沙漠区最小;6月份降水空间异质性最显著,8月最小;在南北方向（0°）和东南—西北方向（135°）变异性最强。

关键词: 山地—绿洲—荒漠系统, 三工河流域, 降水, 空间变异性, Kriging

Abstract:

Mountain-Oasis-Desert System (MODS) is the typical landscape pattern in the inland arid area of Northwest China. We set the rainfall monitoring network in the Sangong River Basin, which is located in the middle part of northern Tianshan Mountains, southern margin of the Junggar Basin, to obtain the data of May-August rainfall for 2007-2014. Then empirical orthogonal function, fractal theory and geostatistics method were used to investigate characteristics of spatial distribution pattern and spatial variability of precipitation for the Mountain-Oasis-Desert System in arid inland areas. Results indicate that: (1) The first feature vector (contribution rates of the overall changes was 82.4%) has three load sections, namely, 70-150 km, 30-70 km and 0-30 km; accordingly, and the study area is divided into mountain area, oasis area and desert area. (2) The spatial distribution of summer precipitation presents a pattern of "overall uniformly type", which means that precipitation will increase over the whole basin, and the increase range is decreasing from mountain, oasis to desert. (3) The semi variation function curve of the mountainous region fits the Gauss model, the oasis area fits the Spherical model and the variation distance is 15.3 km. The desert area in May, June and other months fits the Gauss model, the exponential model and the spherical model respectively, and the variation distance is 58.6 km, which is longer than that of the mountain and oasis. (4) In research scale, owing to the random factors arising precipitation spatial heterogeneity take up 0.01%-9.57% of all, it was mainly caused by autocorrelation. (5) The spatial variability of precipitation in the oasis region was the largest, while that of the desert region was the smallest. The spatial heterogeneity of precipitation in June was the most significant, while the minimum value was observed in August. The variation was the greatest in both the north-south (0°) and the southeast-northwest directions (135°).

Key words: mountain-oasis-desert system, Sangong River Basin, precipitation, spatial variability, kriging method

徐利岗, 周宏飞, 潘锋, 吴林峰, 汤英. 三工河流域山地—绿洲—荒漠系统降水空间变异性研究[J]. 地理学报, 2016, 71(5): 731-742.

Ligang XU, Hongfei ZHOU, Feng PAN, Lingfeng WU, Ying TANG. Spatial variability of precipitation for mountain-oasis-desert system in the Sangong River Basin[J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2016, 71(5): 731-742.

图/表 10

图1

表1

图2

表2

图3

表3

图4

表4

表5

图5

参考文献 31

[1]	Zhang Zhengyong, He Xinlin, Liu Lin, et al.Spatial distribution of rainfall simulation and the cause analysis in China's Tianshan Mountains area. Advances in Water Science, 2015, 26(4): 500-508. doi: 10.14042/j.cnki.32.1309.2015.04.006
	[张正勇, 何新林, 刘琳, 等. 中国天山山区降水空间分布模拟及成因分析. 水科学进展, 2015, 26(4): 500-508.] doi: 10.14042/j.cnki.32.1309.2015.04.006
[2]	Zhang Tao, Li Baolin, He Yuanqing, et al.Spatial and temporal distribution of precipitation based on corrected TRMM Data in Hengduan Mountains. Journal of Natural Resources, 2015, 30(2): 260-270. doi: 10.11849/zrzyxb.2015.02.009
	[张涛, 李宝林, 何元庆, 等. 基于TRMM订正数据的横断山区降水时空分布特征. 自然资源学报, 2015, 30(2): 260-270.] doi: 10.11849/zrzyxb.2015.02.009
[3]	Liu Junfeng, Chen Rensheng, Qing Wenwu, et al.Study on the vertical distribution of precipitation in mountainous regions using TRMM data. Advances in Water Science, 2011, 22(4): 447-454.
	[刘俊峰, 陈仁升, 卿文武, 等. 基于TRMM降水数据的山区降水垂直分布特征. 水科学进展, 2011, 22(4): 447-454.]
[4]	Sun Dongxia, Yang Jiancheng.Precipitation characteristics at the hinterland of Gurbantunggut Desert and the surrounding areas. Arid Land Geography, 2010, 33(5): 769-774.
	[孙东霞, 杨建成. 古尔班通古特沙漠腹地与周边的降水特征分析. 干旱区地理, 2010, 33(5): 769-774.]
[5]	Wang Xinping, Yang Qing.Spatial and temporal characteristics of extremely weak precipitation in the area around the Taklimakan Desert. Journal of Desert Research, 2014, 34(5): 1376-1385. doi: 10.7522/j.issn.1000-694x.2013.00276
	[王新萍, 杨青. 塔克拉玛干沙漠周边地区极端弱降水的时空变化特征. 中国沙漠, 2014, 34(5): 1376-1385.] doi: 10.7522/j.issn.1000-694x.2013.00276
[6]	Wang Nai'ang, Ma Ning, Chen Hongbao, et al. A preliminary study of precipitation characteristics in the hinterland of Badain Jaran Desert. Advances in Water Science, 2013, 24(2): 153-160.
	[王乃昂, 马宁, 陈红宝, 等. 巴丹吉林沙漠腹地降水特征的初步分析. 水科学进展, 2013, 24(2): 153-160.]
[7]	Fan Lan, Lu Changhe, Yang Biao, et al.Long-term trends of precipitation in the North China Plain. Journal of Geographical Sciences, 2012, 22(6): 989-1001. doi: 10.1007/s11442-012-0978-2
[8]	Wang Zhenlong, Sun Leqiang, Hao Zhenchun, et al.Research on temporal and spatial variation of precipitation in Huaibei Plain. Hydrology, 2010, 30(6): 78-84. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1000-0852.2010.06.019
	[王振龙, 孙乐强, 郝振纯, 等. 淮北平原降水时空变化规律研究. 水文, 2010, 30(6): 78-84.] doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1000-0852.2010.06.019
[9]	Luan Zhaoqing, Zhang Guangxin, Deng Wei, et al.Study on the changes of air temperature and precipitation in the last 50 years in the Sanjiang Plain. Journal of Arid Land Resources and Environment, 2007, 21(11): 39-43. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1003-7578.2007.11.009
	[栾兆擎, 章光新, 邓伟, 等. 三江平原50a来气温及降水变化研究. 干旱区资源与环境, 2007, 21(11): 39-43.] doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1003-7578.2007.11.009
[10]	Liu Haitao, Li Xiudong, Zeng Hua, et al.Climatic characteristics of temperature and precipitation in cele oasis during 1960-2008. Bimonthly of Xinjiang Meteorology, 2011, 5(1): 29-33.
	[刘海涛, 李绣东, 曾华, 等. 策勒绿洲区1960-2008年气温及降水变化特征分析. 沙漠与绿洲气象, 2011, 5(1): 29-33.]
[11]	Han Chunguang, Ding Jianli, Pu Yunjin, et al.The change characteristics of the temperatures and precipitation in Shihezi, Xinjiang in the recent 41 years. Journal of Arid Land Resources and Environment, 2008, 22(11): 50-54.
	[韩春光, 丁建丽, 蒲云锦, 等. 干旱区绿洲41年温度和降水变化趋势及分析. 干旱区资源与环境, 2008, 22(11): 50-54.]
[12]	Zhang Qiang, Hu Yingqiao.The geographical features and climatic effects of oasis. Advance in Earth Sciences, 2002, 17(4): 477-486. doi: 10.3321/j.issn:1001-8166.2002.04.003
	[张强, 胡隐樵. 绿洲地理特征及其气候效应. 地球科学进展, 2002, 17(4): 477-486.] doi: 10.3321/j.issn:1001-8166.2002.04.003
[13]	Zhang Qiang, Yu Yaxun, Zhang Jie.Characteristics of water cycle in qilian mountains and the oases in Hexi inland river basins. Journal of Glaciology and Geocryology, 2008, 30(6): 907-913.
	[张强, 俞亚勋, 张杰. 祁连山与河西内陆河流域绿洲的大气水循环特征研究. 冰川冻土, 2008, 30(6): 907-913.]
[14]	Amani A, Lebel T.Lagrangian kriging for the estimation of Sahelian rainfall at small time steps. Journal of Hydrology, 1997, 192: 125-157. doi: 10.1016/S0022-1694(96)03104-6
[15]	Maud B, Theo V, Thierry L, et al.Assessing the water balance in the Sahel: Impact of small scale rainfall variability on runoff (Part 1): Rainfall variability analysis. Journal of Hydrology, 2006, 372: 1129-1148.
[16]	Liliana C, Dolores M O.A study of precipitation variability in the Duero Basin (Iberian Peninsula). International Journal of Climatology, 2006, 10: 1002-1016 doi: 10.1002/joc.1403
[17]	Silvia A, Oliveira P, Alfredo R. detecting spatio-temporal precipitation variability inportugal using multichannel singular spectral analysis. International Journal of Climatology, 2006, 10: 1358-1373
[18]	Keeley R C, James E B, David L L.Atmosphericrhydrologic models for the Rio Grande Basin: Simulations of precipitation variability. Global and Planetary Change, 2000, 25: 83-110.
[19]	Shah S M, Connellbp P E, Hosking J R.Modelling the effects of spatial variability in rainfall on catchment response 2. Experiments with distributed and lumped models. Journal of Hydrology, 1996, 175: 89-111.
[20]	Wang Huirang, Zhang Huizhi, Huang Qing.Characteristics and laws of the coupling relationship for the mountainous-oasis-desert system in arid area under the background of global change. Chinese Science Bulletin, 2006, 51(S1): 61-65.
	[王让会, 张慧芝, 黄青. 全球变化背景下干旱区山地—绿洲—荒漠系统耦合关系的特征及规律. 科学通报, 2006, 51(S1): 61-65.]
[21]	Wouter B, Rolando C, Patrick W, et al.Spatial and temporal rainfall variability in mountainous areas: A case study from the south Ecuadorian Andes. Journal of Hydrology, 2006, 329: 413-421. doi: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2006.02.031
[22]	Grzegorz J C, Witold F K.Analysis and modeling of spatial correlation structure in small-scale rainfall in Central Oklahoma. Advances in Water Resources, 2006, 29: 1450-1463. doi: 10.1016/j.advwatres.2005.11.003
[23]	Andrew C C, Bill B.Variability and spatial modeling of fine-scale precipitation data for the Sonoran Desert of south-west Arizona. Journal of Arid Environments, 2002, 50: 573-592. doi: 10.1006/jare.2001.0866
[24]	Hou Jingru, Yin Zhennan, Li Weiming, et al.Applicated Geostatistics. Beijing: Geological Press, 1998.
	[侯景儒, 尹镇南, 李维明, 等. 实用地质统计学. 北京: 地质出版社, 1998.]
[25]	Goovaerts P.Geostatistical approaches for interpolating elevation into the spatial interpolation of rainfall. Journal of Hydrology, 2000, 228(1): 113-129.
[26]	Su Congxian, Hu Yinqiao.Microclim ate characterics and "cold island effect" over the oasis in the Hexi Region. Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences, 1987, 11(4): 390-396. doi: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9895.1987.04.07
	[苏从先, 胡隐樵. 河西地区绿洲小气候特征和冷岛效应. 大气科学, 1987, 11(4): 390-396.] doi: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9895.1987.04.07
[27]	Zhang Linyuan, Wang Naiang.Desert and Oasis of China. Lanzhou: Gansu Education Press, 1994.
	[张林源, 王乃昂. 中国的沙漠和绿洲. 兰州: 甘肃教育出版社, 1994.]
[28]	Zhang Qiang, Hu Yinqiao, Wang Xihong.The Characters of micrometeorology on farm land in oasis in HEIHE region. Plateau Meteorology, 1992, 11(4): 361-370.
	[张强, 胡隐樵, 王喜红. 黑河地区绿洲内农田微气象特征. 高原气象, 1992, 11(4): 361-370.]
[29]	Xu Ligang, Liang Chuan, Zhou Hongfei, et al.Spatial structural patterns and variability of precipitation over the desert region of northern China. Desert Journal of Desert Research, 2010, 30(6): 1433-1441.
	[徐利岗, 梁川, 周宏飞, 等. 中国北方荒漠区降水空间结构型及变异性研究. 中国沙漠, 2010, 30(6): 1433-1441.]
[30]	Rodriguez P C, Encinas A H, Nieto S, et al.Spatial and temporal patterns of annual precipitation variability over the Iberian Peninsula. International Journal of Climatology, 1998, 18: 299-316. doi: 10.1002/(SICI)1097-0088(19980315)18:33.0.CO;2-L
[31]	Issaks E H, Srivastava R M.An Introduction to Applied Geostatistics. New York: Oxford University Press, 1989.

分区	站名	编号	纬度(度分秒)	经度(度分秒)	高程(m)
荒漠子区	一站	1	N45 14 20.2	E87 36 10.2	518
	沙漠公路1	2	N45 00 45.6	E87 42 39.1	519
	二站	3	N44 52 50.7	E87 49 32.2	521
	沙漠公路2	4	N44 36 16.5	E88 07 33.0	504
	沙漠腹地(18#)	5	N44 35 44.4	E87 51 51.5	462
	阜康站北沙窝观测场	6	N44 22 42.1	E87 55 09.0	442
绿洲子区	农七队	7	N44 20 35.0	E87 49 29.0	502
	农二队	8	N44 20 21.8	E88 06 55.3	462
	阜康生态站	9	N44 17 28.5	E87 55 47.8	456
	六运湖东	10	N44 16 28.8	E88 05 48.6	478
	冰湖水库	11	N44 12 21.5	E87 59 04.4	510
	南湾村	12	N44 08 01.7	E87 52 57.7	527
	阜康市	13	N44 09 09.5	E87 58 58.1	541
	五运村	14	N44 10 30.5	E88 07 29.2	559
	上斜沟村	15	N44 07 26.9	E88 09 00.2	693
山地子区	红山水库	16	N44 03 49.1	E87 59 15.8	828
	三工煤矿	17	N44 04 05.5	E88 04 28.3	800
	四工养护站	18	N44 02 34.7	E88 07 49.8	1080
	泉泉沟	19	N43 58 57.5	E88 00 25.6	1067
	林场	20	N43 58 54.2	E88 04 09.1	1116
	天池售票处	21	N43 56 44.1	E88 05 51.5	1293
	四工源头	22	N43 56 58.4	E88 11 05.4	1734
	农行接待站	23	N43 54 17.5	E88 06 49.6	1640
	径流区2	24	N43 51 41.3	E88 09 03.5	1983
	径流区1	25	N43 52 05.3	E88 08 12.9	1941
	RG2500	26	N43 49 48.3	E88 10 29.8	2515

统计参数		时段
统计参数		5月			6月			7月			8月			夏季
区域		山地	绿洲	荒漠	山地	绿洲	荒漠	山地	绿洲	荒漠	山地	绿洲	荒漠	山地	绿洲	荒漠
均值		143.0	59.4	41.2	53.1	12.1	10.5	137.5	57.5	43.0	98.0	51.0	36.1	267.6	127.6	94.5
众数		133.8	52.2	39.2	19.2	10.8	11.3	76.9	53.8	41.8	113.0	53.4	34.5	80.8	121.5	92.7
标准差		33.41	10.11	5.72	25.91	3.22	2.43	41.11	8.04	3.92	19.42	7.27	3.19	97.19	36.08	8.99
偏度		-0.10	0.70	0.19	0.84	0.85	-0.08	0.05	0.42	0.62	-0.23	0.27	0.81	-0.05	6.20	0.82
峰度		-1.01	0.37	-0.21	0.04	0.42	-0.24	-1.23	0.40	0.02	-0.76	-0.10	0.78	-0.89	5.38	0.89
变异系数		0.233	0.170	0.139	0.487	0.265	0.231	0.299	0.139	0.091	0.198	0.143	0.088	0.363	0.283	0.095
频率 (%)	25	115.0	51.7	37.0	31.5	9.8	9.0	99.6	52.2	40.1	81.7	45.6	33.8	194.5	114.4	88.2
	50	146.1	58.7	40.7	48.0	11.5	10.7	137.2	57.9	42.3	99.5	51.1	35.5	265.4	122.5	92.6
	75	168.2	64.3	45.6	69.4	13.9	12.0	171.6	61.7	45.8	114.4	55.1	38.2	348.2	132.2	100.3
	85	181.0	69.5	47.5	81.2	15.7	13.0	187.4	64.8	47.5	120.9	58.1	39.7	380.8	139.1	104.1
	95	196.1	80.8	50.5	106.0	18.7	14.6	201.5	72.8	50.1	126.8	64.4	41.7	421.2	162.0	110.5

特征向量	特征值	方差贡献率	累积方差贡献率
1	26317.54	82.431	82.431
2	2834.44	12.338	94.769
3	1593.16	5.229	100.000
4	8.400×10¹³	3.167×10¹⁴	100.000

统计参数	时段
统计参数	5月			6月			7月			8月			夏季
区域	山地	绿洲	荒漠	山地	绿洲	荒漠	山地	绿洲	荒漠	山地	绿洲	荒漠	山地	绿洲	荒漠
模型	GAU	SPH	GAU	GAU	SPH	EXP	GAU	SPH	SPH	GAU	SPH	SPH	GAU	SPH	SPH
块金值(C₀)	0.0001	0.0001	0.0029	0.0010	0.0200	0.0001	0.0001	0.0001	0.0000	0.0001	0.0001	0.0000	0.0001	0.0000	0.0000
基台值(C₀+C)	0.0576	0.3002	0.0303	0.3710	0.9120	0.0907	0.1222	0.1402	0.0084	0.0578	0.1412	0.0078	0.1372	0.0286	0.0097
C₀/(C₀+C)(%)	0.17	0.03	9.57	0.27	2.19	0.11	0.07	0.08	0.00	0.17	0.07	0.00	0.07	0.00	0.00
变程(a)	14.15	12.90	49.90	15.12	13.70	49.90	14.30	15.24	56.80	14.95	13.83	48.60	15.50	13.32	52.30
分维数(D)	1.405	1.484	1.123	1.528	1.651	1.239	1.574	1.574	1.168	1.240	1.607	1.576	1.275	1.288	1.555
RSS	0.0000	0.0007	0.0001	0.0066	0.0349	0.0004	0.0008	0.0018	0.0000	0.0002	0.0023	0.0000	0.0015	0.0001	0.0000
决定系数(R²)	0.945	0.946	0.968	0.970	0.958	0.960	0.969	0.910	0.971	0.973	0.910	0.961	0.954	0.966	0.953

方向	统计参量	区域
		山地子区						绿洲子区						荒漠子区
		5月	6月	7月	8月	夏季		5月	6月	7月	8月	夏季		5月	6月	7月	8月	夏季
0°	分维数	1.223	1.3977	1.5107	1.7257	1.4777		1.667	1.526	1.632	1.799	1.605		1.232	1.124	1.364	1.284	1.367
	标准差	0.212	0.5237	0.6087	0.5767	0.4187		0.433	0.553	0.346	0.365	0.298		0.232	0.524	0.291	0.371	0.422
	拟合度	0.877	0.658	0.653	0.746	0.676		0.695	0.718	0.677	0.743	0.770		0.755	0.558	0.712	0.584	0.681
45°	分维数	1.231	1.469	1.588	1.666	1.433		1.567	1.435	1.657	1.785	1.466		1.358	1.266	1.386	1.059	1.531
	标准差	0.314	0.654	0.569	0.566	0.413		0.557		0.444	0.314	0.644		0.524	0.361		0.413	0.511	0.520	0.368
	拟合度	0.831	0.666	0.718	0.796	0.735		0.676		0.679	0.858	0.737		0.793	0.879		0.724	0.789	0.664	0.891
90°	分维数	1.242	1.501	1.601	1.682	1.491	1.514	1.492	1.549	1.848	1.497	1.291	1.248	1.355	1.262	1.538
	标准差	0.319	0.489	0.391	0.645	0.288	0.534		0.414	0.258	0.357	0.350	0.463		0.412	0.325	0.389	0.400
	拟合度	0.657	0.837	0.814	0.737	0.715	0.687		0.701	0.714	0.734	0.725	0.700		0.623	0.791	0.715	0.825
135°	分维数	1.219	1.400	1.538	1.681	1.405	1.502	1.466	1.566	1.790	1.485	1.208	1.230	1.329	1.053	1.365
	标准差	0.454	0.448	0.389	0.416	0.374	0.454		0.375	0.657	0.388	0.510	0.289		0.366	0.487	0.298	0.347
	拟合度	0.621	0.616	0.730	0.698	0.790	0.636		0.743	0.676	0.765	0.598	0.705		0.709	0.665	0.721	0.756

三工河流域山地—绿洲—荒漠系统降水空间变异性研究

Spatial variability of precipitation for mountain-oasis-desert system in the Sangong River Basin

RichHTML

PDF (PC)

赞

可视化

被引次数

摘要/Abstract

引用本文

使用本文

图/表 10

参考文献 31

相关文章 15

Metrics

本文评价

推荐阅读 10

[1]	曾岁康,雍斌. 全球降水计划IMERG和GSMaP反演降水在四川地区的精度评估[J]. 地理学报, 2019, 74(7): 1305-1318.
[2]	陆福志,鹿化煜. 秦岭—大巴山高分辨率气温和降水格点数据集的建立及其对区域气候的指示[J]. 地理学报, 2019, 74(5): 875-888.
[3]	潘汉雄,朱国锋,张昱,郭慧文,雍磊磊,万巧卓,马惠莹,李森. 中国耕地土壤相对湿度时空分异[J]. 地理学报, 2019, 74(1): 117-130.
[4]	尹占娥,田鹏飞,迟潇潇. 基于情景的1951-2011年中国极端降水风险评估[J]. 地理学报, 2018, 73(3): 405-413.
[5]	朱秀迪, 张强, 孙鹏. 北京市快速城市化对短时间尺度降水时空特征影响及成因[J]. 地理学报, 2018, 73(11): 2086-2104.
[6]	张晓东,朱文博,张静静,朱连奇,赵芳,崔耀平. 伏牛山地森林植被物候及其对气候变化的响应[J]. 地理学报, 2018, 73(1): 41-53.
[7]	张东良, 兰波, 杨运鹏. 不同时间尺度的阿尔泰山北部和南部降水对比研究[J]. 地理学报, 2017, 72(9): 1569-1579.
[8]	王圆圆, 郭徵, 李贵才, 郭兆迪. 基于广义加性模型估算1979-2014年三峡库区降水及其特征分析[J]. 地理学报, 2017, 72(7): 1207-1220.
[9]	刘雪梅, 张明军, 王圣杰, 王杰, 赵培培, 周盼盼. 2008-2014年祁连山区夏季降水的日变化特征及其影响因素[J]. 地理学报, 2016, 71(5): 754-767.
[10]	顾西辉, 张强, 孔冬冬. 中国极端降水事件时空特征及其对夏季温度响应[J]. 地理学报, 2016, 71(5): 718-730.
[11]	黄婕, 高路, 陈兴伟, 陈莹, 刘梅冰. 东南沿海前汛期降水极值变化特征及归因分析[J]. 地理学报, 2016, 71(1): 152-165.
[12]	宁晓菊, 秦耀辰, 崔耀平, 李旭, 陈友民. 60年来中国农业水热气候条件的时空变化[J]. 地理学报, 2015, 70(3): 364-379.
[13]	刘永林, 延军平, 岑敏仪. 中国降水非均匀性综合评价[J]. 地理学报, 2015, 70(3): 392-406.
[14]	李芬, 张建新, 郝智文, 武永利, 周晋红. 山西降水与ENSO的相关性研究[J]. 地理学报, 2015, 70(3): 420-430.
[15]	张威, 刘蓓蓓, 崔之久, 李洋洋, 刘亮. 中国典型山地冰川平衡线的影响因素分析[J]. 地理学报, 2014, 69(7): 958-968.