地理学报 ›› 2016, Vol. 71 ›› Issue (4): 531-550.doi: 10.11821/dlxb201604001
• • 下一篇
方创琳1, 周成虎1, 顾朝林2, 陈利顶3, 李双成4
收稿日期:
2016-01-28
发布日期:
2020-05-22
作者简介:
方创琳(1966-), 男, 甘肃庆阳人, 研究员, 中国地理学会会员(S110001715M), 主要研究方向为城市地理、城市群发展与城镇化的资源环境效应等。E-mail: fangcl@igsnrr.ac.cn
基金资助:
FANG Chuanglin1, ZHOU Chenghu1, GU Chaolin2, CHEN Liding3, LI Shuangcheng4
Received:
2016-01-28
Online:
2020-05-22
Supported by:
摘要: 特大城市群地区是国家经济发展的战略核心区和国家新型城镇化的主体区,担当着世界经济重心转移承载地的历史重任,但在发展过程中面临着日益严重的资源与生态环境的胁迫压力。开展特大城市群地区城镇化与生态环境交互耦合效应的研究,是未来10 年地球系统科学研究的前沿领域和高优先研究主题。本文系统解析了特大城市群地区城镇化与生态环境交互耦合效应的基本理论框架。首先从理论上分析了特大城市群系统各自然要素和人文要素交互作用的非线性耦合关系及耦合特征,科学辨识近远程主控要素作用下城市群系统内外部各要素相互作用的胁迫强度、近远程耦合机理与规律,总结特大城市群地区城镇化与生态环境交互耦合圈理论,进一步构建多要素—多尺度—多情景—多模块—多智能体集成的时空耦合动力学模型,研发特大城市群地区可持续发展优化智能调控决策支持系统;其次从方法上将特大城市群地区视为一个开放的复杂巨系统,在建立同一标准化共享数据库的基础上,采用多要素—多目标—多模型—多情景环境下的城镇化与生态环境交互耦合集成技术方法、大数据支持下的城镇化与生态环境交互耦合技术方法,构建多尺度—多技术—多智能体集成的城镇化与生态环境交互耦合技术框架,按照分析时空演变特征—寻求主控要素—辨识耦合关系—揭示胁迫机制—发现耦合规律—筛选调控变量—求解临界阈值—进行调控试验—完成情景模拟—提出优化方案—完成情景模拟—提出优化方案—实现国家目标这样一条技术路径,提出解 决问题的整体优化方案。本文旨在为特大城市群地区由问题集中区转为可持续发展区提供理论指导和方法支撑。
方创琳, 周成虎, 顾朝林, 陈利顶, 李双成. 特大城市群地区城镇化与生态环境交互耦合效应解析的理论框架及技术路径[J]. 地理学报, 2016, 71(4): 531-550.
FANG Chuanglin, ZHOU Chenghu, GU Chaolin, CHEN Liding, LI Shuangcheng. Theoretical analysis of interactive coupled effects between urbanization and eco-environment in mega-urban agglomerations[J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2016, 71(4): 531-550.
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