地理学报 ›› 2013, Vol. 68 ›› Issue (12): 1595-1606.doi: 10.11821/dlxb201312001
• 城乡发展 • 下一篇
王丰龙1, 刘云刚2
收稿日期:
2013-03-24
修回日期:
2013-07-27
出版日期:
2013-12-20
发布日期:
2013-12-20
通讯作者:
刘云刚(1973-),男,教授,中国地理学会会员(S110005141M),主要从事城市地理学、政治地理学研究。E-mail:liuyung@mail.sysu.edu.cn
作者简介:
王丰龙(1988-),男,内蒙古赤峰人,博士研究生,主要从事地理学理论、行为地理和计量地理研究。E-mail:wfldragon@yahoo.com
基金资助:
WANG Fenglong1, LIU Yungang2
Received:
2013-03-24
Revised:
2013-07-27
Online:
2013-12-20
Published:
2013-12-20
About author:
10.11821/dlxb201312001
Supported by:
摘要: 土地开发已成为当前研究的一个焦点,但是对“土地财政”现象的研究仍集中在其形成机制方面,而很少证实土地是否及如何推动了地方财政收入的增长。为此,本文基于《城市统计年鉴》(1985-2011) 的面板数据,构建面板误差修正模型和随机效应模型,运用格兰杰因果检验探讨城市建设用地扩张与城市财政收入增长之间的因果关系,并对“土地财政”的影响机制、区域差异和开发效率进行初步探讨。结果显示,从1995 年开始,中国城市的土地开发是推动其地方财政收入增长的格兰杰原因。但是这种效应主要为即期的影响,而对房地产开发和工业增值税的长期推动效果不太显著,这暗示了土地财政在中国有过度的倾向。从区域差异来看,土地开发对地方财政收入的推动幅度在中西部地区或在100 万人口以上的超大城市更大,且随城市规模的增加其影响效果更为显著。
王丰龙, 刘云刚. 中国城市建设用地扩张与财政收入增长的面板格兰杰因果检验[J]. 地理学报, 2013, 68(12): 1595-1606.
WANG Fenglong, LIU Yungang. Panel Granger Test on urban land expansion and fiscal revenue growth in China’s prefecture-level cities[J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2013, 68(12): 1595-1606.
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