New Quality Productive Forces and Regional Development
LI Yuanjun, CHEN Jiaxuan, CHEN Zhuo, WU Qitao, RUI Yang, SHEN Kanhai
The new energy mode for inter-city travel is crucial for promoting the comprehensive green transformation of the transport industry, among which the first issue to address is identifying the spatial patterns and influencing factors of electric vehicle (EV) inter-city travel. This study takes Guangdong province as a case study and utilizes big data from the expressway online toll collection (OTC) system for March 2024. By integrating complex network analysis, the random forest algorithm, and ridge regression, it explores the spatial patterns of EV inter-city travel and identifies the key influencing factors. The conclusions are as follows: (1) The EV inter-city travel is dominated by pure electric vehicles, which exhibit greater traffic flows and broader coverage compared to hybrid electric vehicles. The dominant flows within the EV networks break the geographical barrier of the Pearl River estuary, resulting in spatial structures that differ from the traditional "dual-core" model centered around Guangzhou and Shenzhen. Instead, a "three-pillar" structure emerges, comprising Guangzhou, Shenzhen and Zhuhai. (2) The scale of EV inter-city travel is closely related to the distribution of transportation hubs. Based on the K-means clustering algorithm, the pure electric vehicle network can be divided into four subgroups, namely the airport county subgroup, the high-speed railway county subgroup, the Pearl River Delta subgroup, and the Guangdong peripheral county subgroup. (3) The differences in reciprocity and convenience of EV inter-city travel on both sides of the Pearl River estuary are minimal. Notably, Xiangzhou district, the Zhongshan City Center Group, Jinwan District, and other key nodes characterized by high reciprocity coefficients and triangle density have also emerged on the west coast. (4) The service industry workforce, permanent population, highway network density, and new energy enterprises are the main factors affecting the scale of EV inter-city travel. This study explores the spatial distribution pattern of electric vehicles from the perspective of inter-city travel, enhancing mobility theory by focusing on the novel traffic flows.