Urban and Regional Development
CHEN Wei, ZHAO Xiquan, LIU Weidong
The global value chain (GVC) is a key force shaping the international division of labor and an important perspective for understanding global economic dynamics. This paper constructs a long-term global value chain network dataset based on multi-regional input-output tables and input-output analysis techniques. By integrating advanced network analysis algorithms such as core-periphery profile, disparity filter, and simulation attacks, this study characterizes the macrostructure and spatiotemporal evolution of the GVC network. The paper analyzes the topological structure features of the GVC network and measures its structural resilience and evolutionary characteristics in multiple dimensions. The research findings are as follows: (1) The value flow scale of major global economies forms a hierarchical structure, and value distribution exhibits a highly spatially uneven characteristic. The global value chain network has been expanding and densifying, with the value flow scale in East Asia increasing, evolving from a "dual-center" structure of Europe and North America to a "tri-polar" structure of Europe, North America, and East Asia. (2) The core-periphery structure of the GVC network is significant, and the network position of a node is determined by both the scale of its participation in the global value chain and the degree of diversification of its value links. Countries such as the United States, Germany, the United Kingdom, France, Italy, the Netherlands, and Spain remain at the core, while Asian countries such as China, Japan, India, and the Republic of Korea are gradually rising. (3) The backbone structure of the GVC network has shifted from a single convergence core centered on the United States to a dual-core system driven by China and the United States, with Europe and Japan playing a stabilizing role in the network structure. Over time, the backbone structure has evolved with a trend of eastward shift and increasing globalization characteristics. (4) The resilience level of the global value chain network is generally limited, shows a four-stage evolutionary characteristic taking international impact events as turning points, and key economies such as the United States, Germany, the United Kingdom, France, Italy, Russia, Japan, China, and India have strong influences on network resilience. Based on the research conclusions, this paper discusses the node and structural characteristics of the global value chain network and proposes potential measures to enhance China's resilience and position within the network, aiming to provide insights for understanding the dynamics of economic globalization in the new era and optimizing China's global value chain participation strategy.