Climatic Forecast Models of Land Cover

Expand
  • 1. Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101;
    2. Institute of Resources Science, Open Laboratory of Environmental Changes and Natural Disaster, Beijing 100875

Received date: 2000-07-03

  Revised date: 2000-09-29

  Online published: 2000-12-15

Supported by

National key project of the National plinth Five Year Plan, No.96-908-03-03

Abstract

Observed data of temperature and precipitation are used to predict Normalization Difference Vegetation index (NDVI) in eight selected areas which is Dongbei, Huabei, Huazhong, Xinan, Huanan, Xibei, Xinjiang and Tibet in China by methods of artificial neural networks and stepwise regression. The climatic factors are 24 months ahead of NDVI. The testing forecast shows that the method of artificial neural networks is much better than that of stepwise regression in prediction of NDVI. Meanwhile above two methods are combined to predict NDVI, that is the factors selected by stepwise regression are used to be the input factors of artificial neural networks in predictions. The result shows that combining the two methods is helpful in improving forecast accuracy.

Cite this article

HUANG Mei, LI Ke-rang, LI Xiao-bing, CHEN Yu-feng . Climatic Forecast Models of Land Cover[J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2000 , 55(s1) : 64 -70 . DOI: 10.11821/xb2000S1011

Outlines

/