Extreme Climate Events in Northern China over the Last 50 Years

Expand
  • Laboratory of Environmental Change and Natural Disaster, Institute of Resources Science, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China

Received date: 2003-07-08

  Revised date: 2003-10-20

  Online published: 2004-03-25

Supported by

Huo Yingdong Education Foundation, No.81014

Abstract

Climate in the agri-pasture transition zone, northern China is analyzed on the basis of daily mean temperature and precipitation observations for 31 stations during 1956-2001. Analysis season for precipitation is May-September, and for temperature is the hottest three months, i.e., June through August. Heavy rain events, defined as those with daily precipitation equal to or larger than 50 mm, show no significant secular trend. A jump-like change, however, is found occurring in about 1980. For the period 1980-1993, the frequency of heavy rain events is significantly lower than the previous periods. Simultaneously, the occurring time of heavy rains expanded, commencing about one month early and ending one month later. Long dry spells are defined as those with longer than 10 days without rainfall. The frequency of long dry spells displays a significant (at 99% confidence level) trend at the value of +8.3%/10a. That may be one of the major causes for the frequent droughts emerging over northern China during the last decades. The frequency of hot days is increasing, while the low temperatures are significantly decreasing.

Cite this article

GONG Daoyi, HAN Hui . Extreme Climate Events in Northern China over the Last 50 Years[J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2004 , 59(2) : 230 -238 . DOI: 10.11821/xb200402009

References


[1] Ye Duzheng, Chen Panqin. China's Global Change Study: A Primary Perspective. Beijing: Meteorological Press, 1992.
[叶笃正, 陈泮勤. 中国的全球变化预研究. 北京: 气象出版社, 1992.]

[2] Huang Ronghui, Xu Yuhong, Zhou Liantong. Interdecadal variability of summer precipitation in China and drying tendency over northern China. Plateau Meteorology, 1999, 18(4): 465-476.
[黄荣辉, 徐予红, 周连童. 我国夏季降水的年代际变化及华北干旱化趋势. 高原气象, 1999, 18(4): 465-476.]

[3] Gong Daoyi, Shi Peijun. Variability of summer rainfall over northern China and its association with thermal condition at early stage underlying surface. Journal of Natural Resources, 2001, 16(3): 211-215.
[龚道溢, 史培军. 华北农牧交错带夏季降水变率及其与下垫面热力状况的关系. 自然资源学报, 2001, 16(3): 211-215.]

[4] Ren Guoyu. Spatial patterns of change trend in rainfall of China. Quarterly Journal of Applied Meteorology, 2000, 11(3): 322-330.
[任国玉. 我国降水变化趋势的空间特征. 应用气象学报, 2000, 11(3): 322-330.]

[5] Zhai Panmao, Ren Fuming. Detection of trends in China's precipitation extremes. Acta Meteorologica Sinica, 1999, 57(2): 208-216.
[翟盘茂, 任福明. 中国降水极值变化趋势检测. 气象学报, 1999, 57(2): 208-216.]

[6] Zhai Panmao. On changes of China's maximum and minimum temperatures in the recent 40 years. Acta Meteorologica Sinica, 1997, 54: 418-429.
[翟盘茂. 中国近四十年最高最低温度变化. 气象学报, 1997, 55(4): 418-429.]

[7] Zhai P M, Sun A J, Ren F M, et al. Changes of climate extremes in China. Climatic Change, 1999, 42: 203-218.

[8] Wang Jing'ai. Landuse and land carrying capacity in ecotone between agriculture and animal husbandry in northern China. Resource Sciences, 1999, 21(5): 19-24.
[王静爱. 中国北方农牧交错带土地利用与人口负荷研究. 资源科学, 1999, 21(5): 19-24.]

[9] Zhang Wenbo, Liu Baoyuan. Spatial distribution of precipitation extremes in the ecotone between agriculture and animal husbandry in northern China. Journal of Natural Resources, 2003, 19(3): 274-280.
[章文波, 刘宝元. 北方农牧交错带降水极值变化空间分析. 自然资源学报, 2003, 19(3): 274-280.]

[10] Gong D Y, Ho C.-H. Shift in the summer rainfall over Yangtze River valley in the late 1970s. Geophysical Research Letters, 2002, 29: 10.1029/2001GL014523.

[11] Huang R H. Decadal variability of the summer monsoon rainfall in east Asia and its association with the SST in the tropical Pacific. CLIVAR-Exchanges, 2001, 6: 7-8.

[12] Gong D Y, Shi P J, Wang J A. Daily precipitation changes in semiarid region over northern China. Journal of Arid Environments, Revised, 2003.

[13] Kaiser D P. Decreasing cloudiness over China: An updated analysis examining additional variables. Geophysical Research Letters, 2000, 27: 2193-2196.

[14] Kaiser D P. Analysis of total cloud amount over China, 1951-1994. Geophysical Research Letters, 1998, 25:599-3602.

[15] Houghton J T, Ding Y H, Griggs D J et al. Climate Change 2001. Contribution of Working Group I to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge:Cambridge University Press, 2001.

[16] Katze R W, Brown B G. Extreme events in a changing climate. Climatic Change, 1992, 21: 289-302.

[17] Robeson S M. Relationship between mean and standard deviation of air temperature: implications for global warming. Climate Research, 2002, 22: 205-213.

[18] Hulme M. Recent climatic change in the world's drylands. Geophysical Research Letters, 1996, 23: 61-64.

[19] Jones P D, Reid P. Temperature trends in regions affected by increasing aridity/humidity. Geophysical Research Letters, 2001, 28: 3919-3922.

[20] Gao X J, Zhao Z C, Giorgi F. Changes of extreme events in regional climate simulations over East Asia. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 2002, 19(5): 927-942.

[21] Wilby R L, Wigley T M L. Future changes in the distribution of daily precipitaion totals across North America. Geophysical Research Letters, 2002, 29: doi:10.1029/2001GL013048.

[22] Balling R C Jr. Impact of desertification on regional and global warming. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 1991, 72: 232-234.

[23] Kalnay E, Cai M. Impact of urbanization and land use change on climate. Nature, 2003, 423: 528-531.

[24] Zhao M, Pitman A J. The impact of land cover change and increasing carbon dioxide on the extreme and frequency of maximum temperature and convective precipitation. Geophysical Research Letters, 2002, 29:

Outlines

/