Population Capacity in the Wenchuan Earthquake Reconstruction Areas

  • Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research; Beijing 100101; China

Received date: 2009-05-22

  Revised date: 2009-09-29

  Online published: 2010-02-25

Supported by

Knowledge Innovation Projects of Chinese Academy of Sciences, No. KZCX-YW-Q06; No.KZCX2-YW-Q03-06; Project of National Science and Technology Infrastructure Program, No.2008BAK50B05


As one of the kernel parts of Assessment of Regional Carrying Capacity of the Wenchuan Earthquake Struck Areas, this study developed a decision-making model for estimating the population capacity of the involved townships and cities based on the assessment of the suitability for reconstruction of the areas. It identified the critical constraints of population capacity and analyzed the spatial differentiations of the post-quake development conditions across different regions. The expected levels of urbanization, family incomes and income structures, levels of land output, and the reliance of agricultural population on arable lands are estimated by regions. With these parameters, the population capacities of townships and cities under several scenarios were estimated. According to the status of over-population, the townships and cities were classified and relevant policy suggestions on post-quake resettlement were presented.

Cite this article

GAO Xiaolu; CHEN Tian; FAN Jie . Population Capacity in the Wenchuan Earthquake Reconstruction Areas[J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2010 , 65(2) : 164 -176 . DOI: 10.11821/xb201002004


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