Acta Geographica Sinica ›› 2010, Vol. 65 ›› Issue (12): 1507-1521.doi: 10.11821/xb201012007

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Influence of the Development of China's Logistics on the Construction of Trans-Bohai Strait Passageway

SUN Fenghua1,2,3, LU Dadao4, LIU Xinhua5, GU Jiuchun1, WANG Zhenbo4,6   

  1. 1. Communications School of Ludong University, Yantai 264025, Shandong, China;
    2. College of Geography and Planning, Ludong University, Yantai 264025, Shandong, China;
    3. School of Urban and Environment Sciences, Shanxi Normal University, Linfen 041004, Shanxi, China;
    4. Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, CAS, Beijing 100101, China;
    5. Development Research Center of the Region Encircling the Bohai Sea, Ludong University, Yantai 264025, Shandong, China;
    6. School of Geographic and Oceanographic Sciences, Nanjing University, Nanjing 210093, China
  • Received:2009-09-06 Revised:2010-11-01 Online:2010-12-20 Published:2010-12-20
  • Supported by:

    National Social Science Funds Special Commission Project of China, No.2007@ZH005; Key Project of National Soft Science of China, No.2700ZXQ4D166

Abstract: This paper presents the background and significance of the research. The data used in this study was mainly collected from 1991-2009 Statistical Yearbooks and the actual survey. The logistics volume index model has been established on the basis of modern regional theory and gravity model theory. By using the model, the land logistics volume of 31 provinces of China in 2008 is calculated. Then the situations of land logistics interflow among 31 provinces and between the three northeastern provinces (logistics regions of Northeast China) and other provinces are analyzed. The potential logistics volume through Trans-Bohai Strait Passageway is also calculated. With the unary linear regression model, land logistics interflow volume among the 31 provinces in 2020, 2030, 2040 and 2050 is predicted. According the logistics interflow volume between the three northeastern provinces and other provinces through Trans-Bohai Strait Passageway in 2020, 2030, 2040 and 2050 is calculated with Arcgis 9.2 software system. On this basis, the paper analyzes the influence of the development of China's regional logistics flow on the construction of Trans-Bohai Strait Passageway. Results show that the construction of Trans-Bohai Strait Passageway can strengthen the logistics exchange volume between the three provinces in Northeast China and other provinces/other logistics regions, which saves capital and time as well as energy resources to a large extent, hence its potential benefits are enormous.

Key words: logistics exchange volume, Trans-Bohai Strait Passageway, influence, model of the volume index of logistics, unary linear regression model, China