中国地级行政区域市场潜力评价

doi:10.11821/xb200710006

Abstract

Abstract:

This paper focuses on market potential by taking it as an indicator of market accessibility from a viewpoint of location-market connection, based on the analysis of district-level data in China. The results indicate that market potential index (MPI) degrades from the coastal areas to the inland areas. Furthermore, disparity of market potential between the coastal areas and the inland areas is still expanding unceasingly. Manufacturing industries concentrate in the regions with high market potential. A significant spatial correlation between market potential index and regional economic performance is observed at regional level. Such a spatial correlation has verified that market accessibility is one of the determinants of location choice for manufacturing industries. It also has revealed that there is a circulatory causality between market potential and regional development. The circulatory causality may spur the coastal areas to keep predominance in future and then lead to a continuous expansion of regional disparity. As the inter-regional economic exchange is significant to location-market connection, location analysis should take into account the inter-regional economic exchange. Western China is restricted to develop external linkage with the coastal areas due to long distance to the latter and expensive transport cost. Therefore, the western areas should make a point of expanding internal market to improve market accessibility.

Key words: location-market connection, market accessibility, market potential, transport cost, regional development, China

SHI Minjun, ZHAO Zhao, JIN Fengjun. A Quantitative Evaluation on Regional Market Potential in China[J].Acta Geographica Sinica, 2007, 62(10): 1063-1072.

References

[1] L!sch A. Die R"umliche Ordnung der Wirtschaft. 1940. Gustav Fisher, Jena, Germany. English translation: The Economics of Location. Yale University Press, New Haven CT. 1954.
[廖什著. 王守礼译. 经济空间秩序. 北京: 商务印书馆, 1995.]

[2] Harris C D. The market as a factor in the localization of industry in the United States. Annals of the Association of American Geographers, 1954, 44: 315-348.

[3] Dixit A, Stiglitz J. Monopolistic competition and optimum product diversity. American Economic Review, 1977, 67: 297-308.

[4] Fujita M, Krugman P, Venables A. The Spatial Economy: Cities, Regions, and International Trade. MIT Press, 2000. 426.
[藤田昌久, 保罗·克鲁格曼, 安东尼·J·维纳布尔斯. 空间经济学: 城市、区域与国际贸易. 北京: 中国人民大学出版社, 2005. 426.]

[5] Krugman P. Increasing returns and economic geography. Journal of Political Economy, 1991, 99(3): 483-499.

[6] Krugman P. A dynamic spatial model. NBER Working Paper No. 4219, 1992.1-60.

[7] Krugman P. What's new about the new economic geography? Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 14(2): 7-17.

[8] Krugman P. Geography and Trade. MIT Press, 1993. 150.
[保罗.克鲁格曼. 张兆杰译. 地理与贸易. 北京: 北京大学出版社; 中国人民大学出版社, 2000. 150.]

[9] Brakman S, Garretsen H, Marrewijk C. An Introduction to Geographical Economics. Cambridge University Press, 2001.
[布雷克曼, 盖瑞森, 马勒惠克. 西南财经大学文献中心译. 地理经济学. 成都: 西南财经大学出版社, 2004. 19-122.]

[10] Krugman P. The "new" economic geogr aphy: Where are we? Unpublished manuscript. Department of Economics, Princeton University, 2004. 1-14.

[11] Fujita M, Krugman P. When is the economy monocentric?: von Thünen and Chamberlin unified. Regional Science and Urban Economics, 1995, 25: 505-528.

[12] Fujita M, Krugman P. The new economic geography: Past, present and the future. Papers in Regional Science, 2004,83: 139-164.

[13] Fujita M, Mori T. Frontiers of the New Economic Geography. Papers in Regional Science, 2005, 84: 377-405.

[14] Fujita M, Krugman P, Mori T. On the evolution of hierarchical urban systems. European Economic Review, 1999, 43: 209-251.

[15] Gu Chaoling, Wang Enru, Shi Aihua. Divarication and opposability between "new economic geography" and economic geography. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2002, 57(4): 497-504.
[顾朝林, 王恩儒, 石爱华. “新经济地理学”与经济地理学的分异与对立. 地理学报, 2002, 57(4): 497-504.]

[16] Hamaguchi N, Fujita M. An analysis on investment conversion effect based on new spatial economic model. In: Economic Development and Regional Economic Structure: Prospects of Regional Economics Approach. Tokyo: Institute of Developing Economies, 2000. 161-182.
[滨口伸明, 藤田昌久. 基于新空间经济模型的投资转换效果分析. 经济发展与地域经济结构. 东京: 亚洲经济研究所. 2000: 161-182.]

[17] Shi Minjun, Jin Fengjun, Li Na et al. Interregional economic linkage and regional development driving forces based on an interregional input-output analysis of China. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2006, 61(6): 593-603.
[石敏俊, 金凤君, 李娜等. 中国地区间经济联系与区域发展驱动力分析. 地理学报, 2006, 61(6): 593-603.]

[18] Zhong Yingjie, Wang Zheng. An investigation to the demand of consumption in eight areas in China. Acta Geographica Sinica, 1998, 53(4): 295-302.
[钟颖杰, 王铮. 中国八个地区的消费需求分析. 地理学报, 1998, 53(4): 295-302.]

[19] Zhao Zhao, Shi Minjun, Chen Xianzhang. An analysis on market potential in west China. Arid Land Geography, 2006, 29(5): 766-771.
[赵曌, 石敏俊, 陈贤章. 西部地区市场潜力分析. 干旱区地理, 2006, 29(5): 766-771.]

[20] Dai Teqi. Spatial interactions and evolvement of urban system of China in terms of rail passenger and freight flows. Graduate University of the Chinese Academy of Sciences, 2005.
[戴特奇. 空间相互作用与城市体系演进: 从铁路流角度. 中国科学院研究生院硕士论文, 2005.]

[21] Hanson G. Market potential, increasing returns, and geographic concentration. Journal of International Economics, 2005, 67: 1-24.

A Quantitative Evaluation on Regional Market Potential in China

PDF (PC)

Like

Knowledge

Cited

Abstract

Cite this article

share this article

References

Related Articles 15

Metrics

Comments

[1]	GUO Zecheng, WEI Wei, SHI Peiji, ZHOU Liang, WANG Xufeng, LI Zhenya, PANG Sufei, XIE Binbin. Spatiotemporal changes of land desertification sensitivity in the arid region of Northwest China [J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2020, 75(9): 1948-1965.
[2]	CHEN Fahu, WU Shaohong, CUI Peng, CAI Yunlong, ZHANG Yili, YIN Yunhe, LIU Guobin, OUYANG Zhu, MA Wei, YANG Linsheng, WU Duo, LEI Jiaqiang, ZHANG Guoyou, ZOU Xueyong, CHEN Xiaoqing, TAN Minghong, WANG Xunming, BAO Anming, CHENG Weixin, DANG Xiaohu, WEI Binggan, WANG Guoliang, WANG Wuyi, ZHANG Xingquan, LIU Xiaochen, LI Shengyu. Progress of applied research of physical geography and living environment in China from 1949 to 2019 [J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2020, 75(9): 1799-1830.
[3]	LI Zhe, DING Yongjian, CHEN Aijiao, ZHANG Zhihua, ZHANG Shiqiang. Characteristics of warming hiatus of the climate change in Northwest China from 1960 to 2019 [J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2020, 75(9): 1845-1859.
[4]	AO Rongjun, CHANG Liang. Influencing mechanism of regional ageing in China based on the Structural Equation Model [J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2020, 75(8): 1572-1584.
[5]	SONG Zhouying, ZHU Qiaoling. Spatio-temporal pattern and driving forces of urbanization in China's border areas [J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2020, 75(8): 1603-1616.
[6]	MA Chunyue, Mamat Sawut, YAO Jie, Gulnur Isak. Spatio-temporal changes of cotton production in China from 1950 to 2015 [J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2020, 75(8): 1699-1710.
[7]	ZHENG Jingyun, ZHANG Xuezhen, LIU Yang, HAO Zhixin. The assessment on hydroclimatic changes of different regions in China at multi-scale during the past millennium [J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2020, 75(7): 1432-1450.
[8]	TAO Zexing, GE Quansheng, WANG Huanjiong. Spatio-temporal variations in the thermal requirement of the first flowering dates of Salix babylonica and Ulmus pumila in China during 1963-2018 [J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2020, 75(7): 1451-1464.
[9]	QU Shijin, HU Shougeng, LI Quanfeng. Stages and spatial patterns of urban built-up land transition in China [J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2020, 75(7): 1539-1553.
[10]	DENG Mingjiang, LONG Aihua, LI Jiang, DENG Xiaoya, ZHANG Pei. Theoretical analysis of "natural-social-trading" ternary water cycle mode in the inland river basin of Northwest China [J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2020, 75(7): 1333-1345.
[11]	GE Quansheng, FANG Chuanglin, JIANG Dong. Geographical missions and coupling ways between human and nature for the Beautiful China Initiative [J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2020, 75(6): 1109-1119.
[12]	LIU Hui, GU Weinan, LIU Weidong, WANG Jiao'e. The influence of China-Europe Express on the production system of enterprises:A case study of TCL Poland Plant [J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2020, 75(6): 1159-1169.
[13]	LIU Zhigao, WANG Tao. The multi-scale coupling construction mechanism of China's overseas intergovernmental cooperation parks: A case study of China-Belarus Industrial Park [J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2020, 75(6): 1185-1198.
[14]	WEI Suhao, LI Jing, LI Zeyi, ZONG Gang. Spatio-temporal evolution and its influencing factors of China's agricultural competitiveness [J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2020, 75(6): 1287-1300.
[15]	WANG Shaojian, GAO Shuang, HUANG Yongyuan, SHI Chenyi. Spatio-temporal evolution and trend prediction of urban carbon emission performance in China based on super-efficiency SBM model [J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2020, 75(6): 1316-1330.