Acta Geographica Sinica ›› 2010, Vol. 65 ›› Issue (12): 1591-1601.doi: 10.11821/xb201012014

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Spatio-temporal Pattern Change and Its Driving Factors of Urban-rural Integrated Development Level in the Major Grain-producing Area of Central Jilin Province

CHENG Yeqing1, DENG Jixiang2   

  1. 1. Northeast Institute of Geography and Agroecology, CAS, Changchun 130012, China;
    2. Department of Urban and Environmental Science, Northwest University, Xi'an 710127, China
  • Received:2010-01-05 Revised:2010-06-20 Online:2010-12-20 Published:2010-12-20
  • Supported by:

    National Key Project of Scientific and Technical Supporting Programs, No.2008BAH31B06; Key Project of National Natural Science Foundation of China,No.40635030; National Natural Science Foundation of China, No. 40901065

Abstract: By the methods of Principal Component Analysis, Multi-objective Weighted Model, Markov Chains and ESDA, and based on the data of 2000, 2003 and 2007 of 24 spatial units in the major grain-producing areas of central Jilin Province, the spatio-temporal pattern change and its driving factors of urban-rural integrated development level were discussed. The results are shown as follows. First, there exists a phenomenon of “Club Convergence” in regional urban-rural development, and the spatial discrepancy of urban-rural integrated development level in the study area has become greater; Second, there was an obvious trend in the “Polarization”of urban-rural integrated development level, i.e., the higher level spatial units were concentrated in the five prefecture-level municipal districts, and the lower level spatial units were mainly in the central region along the Harbin-Dalian Railway, thus formed a “Dumbbell”-shaped continuous distribution area. It may fall into the“Matthew Effect”that the strong will become stronger and the weak will be constantly weaker. Finally, according to the Principal Component Analysis, it can be concluded that the economic strength, spatial location and income level of residents were the main driving factors of spatio-temporal pattern change of the urban-rural integrated development level in the major grain-producing area of central Jilin Province.

Key words: index of urban-rural integrated development level, Markov Chain, ESDA, driving factors, the major grain-producing area of central Jilin Province