江西省耕地转移驱动机理

doi:10.11821/xb201004010

Abstract

Abstract:

Cultivated land conversion is considered to be one of the major problems threatening agricultural development,food security and supporting functions of cultivated land conversions in Jiangxi.Recognization on the driving mechanism of cultivated land conversions is far from complete.This paper integrates geophysical information with socio-economic processes and policy changes to build an econometric model to explore the driving mechanism of cultivated land conversion from 1988 to 2005.Three equations are included in the econometric model to uncover the driving mechanism for agriculture production process,the conversion process from cultivated land to built-up area and the conversion process from cultivated land to forested land/grassland,which includes explained variables to identify the three main processes and the driving forces from social-economic,demographic,geophysical,managerial domains.The estimation results from the econometric model shows that the population size is one of the predominant driver for the three processes,and socio-economic factors play a decisive role in a short period of time.The synthesized influences from the multiple driving factors produces an enhanced or offsetting resultant effects for the ecological processes.The research results show that the agricultural population size and investment are the key influencing factors for agricultural production,while population size,the ratio of the plains area to total land and land management policy are the key explanatory variables in the conversion process of cultivated land to built-up area;and the proportion of agricultural population,terrain slope,food production and non-agricultural industry are the important influencing variables in the process of conversion from cultivated land to forested land/grassland.

Key words: cultivated land conversion, driving mechanism, driving mechanism model, econometric model, Jiangxi Province

CLC Number:

F301.2

ZHAN Jinyan1; SHI Nana1; DENG Xiangzheng2. Driving Mechanism of Cultivated Land Conversions in Jiangxi[J].Acta Geographica Sinica, 2010, 65(4): 485-493.

References

[1] Li Xiubin. A review of the international researches on land use/land cover change. Acta Geographica Sinica, 1996, 51 (6): 553-558. [李秀彬. 全球变化研究的核心领域——土地利用/土地覆被变化的国际研究动向. 地理学报, 1996, 51 (6): 553-558.]
[2] Yang Guishan. The process and driving forces of change in arable-land area in Yangtze River Delta during the past 50 years. Journal of Natural Resources, 2001, 16(2): 121-127. [杨桂山. 长江三角洲近50 年耕地数量变化的过程与驱动机制研究. 自然资源学报, 2001, 16(2): 121-127.]
[3] Shao Xiaomei, Yang Qinye, Zhang Hongye. A study on trend and driving forces of cultivated land use change in Shandong Province. Geographical Research, 2001, 20(3): 298-306. [邵晓梅, 杨勤业, 张洪业. 山东省耕地变化趋势及驱动力研究. 地理研究, 2001, 20(3): 298-306.]
[4] Qu Futian, Chen Jianglong, Chen Wen. Theoretical and empirical study on the land conversion economic driving forces. Journal of Natural Resources, 2005, 20(2): 231-239. [曲福田, 陈江龙, 陈雯. 农地非农化经济驱动机制的理论分析与实证研究. 自然资源学报, 2005, 20(2): 231-239.]
[5] Li Jinggang, He Chunyang, Shi Peijun et al. Change progress of cultivated land and its driving forces in northern China during 1983-2001. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2004, 59(2): 274-282. [李景刚, 何春阳, 史培军等. 近20 年中国北方13 省的耕地变化与驱动力. 地理学报, 2004, (2): 274-283.]
[6] Deng Xiangzheng. Analysis of Land Use Conversions. Beijing: China Land Press, 2008. [邓祥征. 土地用途转换分析. 北京：中国大地出版社, 2008.]
[7] Fu Bojie, Chen Liding, Wang Jun et al. Land use structure and ecological processes. Quaternary Sciences, 2003, 23(3): 247-255. [傅伯杰, 陈利顶, 王军等. 土地利用结构与生态过程. 第四纪研究, 2003, 23(3): 247-255.]
[8] Lv Yihe, Chen Liding, Fu Bojie. Analysis of the integrating approach on landscape pattern and ecological processes. Progress in Geography, 2007, 26(3): 1-10. [吕一河, 陈利顶, 傅伯杰. 景观格局与生态过程的耦合途径分析. 地理科学进展, 2007, 26(3): 1-10.]
[9] Peng J, Wang Y, Wu J et al. Ecological effects associated with land-use change in China's southwest agriculture landscape. International Journal of Sustainable Development and Word Ecology, 2006, 13: 315-325.
[10] Metzger M J, Rounsevell M D, Acosta-Michlik L et al. The vulnerability of ecosystem services to land use change. Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment, 2006, 119: 69-85.
[11] Zhao Yonghua, He Xingyuan, Hu Yuanman et al. Variation of cultivated land and the driving forces in Wenchuan County in the upstream of Min River. Transactions of the CSAE, 2006, 22 (2): 94-97. [赵永华, 何兴元, 胡远满等. 岷江上游汶川县耕地变化及驱动力研究. 农业工程学报, 2006, 22(2): 94-97.]
[12] Long Hualou, Li Xiubin. Land use pattern in transect of the Yangtse River and its influential factors. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2001, 56(4): 417-425. [龙花楼, 李秀彬. 长江沿线样带土地利用格局及其影响因子分析. 地理学报, 2001, 56(4): 417-425.]
[13] Yang Guishan. Land use and land cover change and regional economic development: the revelation of the change in cropland area in the Yangtze River Delta during the past 50 years. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2004, 59(Suppl.): 41-46. [杨桂山. 土地利用覆被变化与区域经济发展: 长江三角洲近年耕地数量变化研究的启示. 地理学报, 2004, 59 (增刊): 41-46.]
[14] Shi Peijun, Chen Jin, Pan Yaozhong. Land use change mechanism in Shenzhen City. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2000, 55(2): 151-160. [史培军, 陈晋, 潘耀忠. 深圳市土地利用变化机制分析. 地理学报, 2000, 55(2): 151-160.]
[15] Li Jinggang, He Chunyang, Shi Peijun et al. Change process of cultivated land and its driving forces in northern China during 1983-2001. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2005, 59(2): 274-282. [李景刚, 何春阳, 史培军等. 近20 年中国北方13 省的耕地变化与驱动力.地理学报, 2005, 59(2): 274-282.]
[16] Guo Liying, Liu Yansui, Ren Zhiyuan. Analysis of the land landscape changes and its driving mechanism in vulnerable ecological area: A case study of Yulin City. Resources Science, 2005, 27(2): 128-133. [郭丽英, 刘彦随, 任志远. 生态脆弱区土地利用格局变化及其驱动机制分析: 以陕西榆林市为例. 资源科学, 2005, 27(2): 128-133.]
[17] Wu Hong'an, Jiang Jianjun, Zhou Jie et al. Dynamics of urban expansion in Xi'an city using Landsat TM/ETM+ data. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2005, 60(1): 143-150. [吴宏安, 蒋建军, 周杰等. 西安城市扩张及其驱动力分析. 地理学报, 2005, 60(1): 143-150.]
[18] Song Kaishan, Liu Dianwei, Wang Zongming et al. Land use change in Sanjiang Plain and its driving forces analysis since 1954. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2008, 63(1): 93-104. [宋开山, 刘殿伟, 王宗明等. 1954 年以来三江平原土地利用变化及驱动力. 地理学报, 2008, 63(1): 93-104.]
[19] Li Wei, Hao Jinmin, Feng Tingting et al. Land asset and policy factors for acreage changes of cultivated land in China based on econometric model. Transactions of the CSAE, 2008, 24(6): 115-118. [李伟, 郝晋珉, 冯婷婷等. 基于计量经济模型的中国耕地数量变化政策与资产因素分析. 农业工程学报, 2008, 24(6): 115-118.]
[20] Liu Jiyuan, Zhang Zengxiang, Zhuang Dafang et al. A study on the spatial-temporal dynamic changes of land-use and driving forces analyses of China in the 1990s. Geographical Research, 2003, 22(1): 1-12. [刘纪远, 张增祥, 庄大方等. 20 世纪90 年代中国土地利用变化时空特征及其成因分析. 地理研究, 2003, 22(1): 1-12.]
[21] Deng Xiangzheng. Simulation of Land System Dynamics. Beijing: China Land Press, 2008. [邓祥征. 土地系统动态模拟. 北京: 中国大地出版社, 2008.]
[22] Yu Yongjun, Lu Yuqi. Changing tendency and protection strategy for cultivated land in Jiangxi Province. Resources and Environment in the Yangtze Basin, 2004, 13(3): 234-239. [俞勇军, 陆玉麒. 江西省耕地变化及保护策略. 长江流域资源与环境, 2004, 13(3): 234-239.]
[23] Jiangxi Province Statistical Bureau. Jiangxi Statistical Yearbook: 2009. Beijing: China Statistics Press, 2009. [江西省统计局. 江西省统计年鉴: 2009. 北京: 中国统计出版社, 2009.]

Driving Mechanism of Cultivated Land Conversions in Jiangxi

PDF (PC)

Like

Knowledge

Cited

Abstract

Cite this article

share this article

References

Related Articles 15

Metrics

Comments

[1]	YUAN Dan, ZHU Chuangeng, CHEN Hanyu. Driving factors and spatial distribution of proportional employment of disabled people in China [J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2021, 76(2): 341-351.
[2]	SUN Caizhi, MA Qifei, ZHAO Liangshi. Analysis of driving mechanism based on a GWR model of green efficiency of water resources in China [J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2020, 75(5): 1022-1035.
[3]	GU Hengyu,SHEN Tiyan,LIU Ziliang,MENG Xin. Driving mechanism of interprovincial population migration flows in China based on spatial filtering [J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2019, 74(2): 222-237.
[4]	LI Guangdong, QI Wei. Impacts of construction land expansion on landscape pattern evolution in China [J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2019, 74(12): 2572-2591.
[5]	LU Shasha, LIU Yansui, QIN Fan. Spatio-temporal differentiation of agricultural regional function and its impact factors in the Bohai Rim region of China [J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2019, 74(10): 2011-2026.
[6]	LIANG Xinyuan,LI Yangbing. Spatio-temporal features of scaling farmland and its corresponding driving mechanism in Three Gorges Reservoir Area [J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2018, 73(9): 1630-1646.
[7]	WAN Zhiwei,JIA Yulian,JIANG Meixin,LIU Ying,HONG Yijun,LU Chengfang. Reconstruction of urban land use and urbanization level in Jiangxi Province during the Republic of China period [J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2018, 73(3): 550-561.
[8]	LI Zhi,ZHANG Xiaolin,LI Hongbo,YUAN Yuan. Evolution paths and the driving mechanism of the urban-rural scale system at the county level: Taking three counties of Jiangsu province as an example [J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2018, 73(12): 2392-2408.
[9]	Yongyang FAN, Wei ZHANG, Jianqiao HAN, Mengqing YU. The typical meandering river evolution adjustment and its driving mechanism in the downstream reach of TGR [J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2017, 72(3): 420-431.
[10]	Wei GUAN, Shuting XU. Study on spatial pattern and spatial effect of energy eco-efficiency in China [J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2015, 70(6): 980-992.
[11]	CHEN Jia, WEI Suqiong, CHEN Songlin. The locational choice and driving forces mechanism of TDI in the Chinese Mainland for recent 20 years [J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2014, 69(6): 838-849.
[12]	ZHAO Liangshi, SUN Caizhi, ZHENG Defeng. Water resource utilization efficiency and its spatial spillover effects measure in China [J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2014, 69(1): 121-133.
[13]	CHENG Yeqing, WANG Zheye, ZHANG Shouzhi, YE Xinyue, JIANG Huiming. Spatial econometric analysis of carbon emission intensity and its driving factors from energy consumption in China [J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2013, 68(10): 1418-1431.
[14]	DENG Xiangzheng1; 2; JIANG Qun'ou1; 3; ZHAN Jinyan4; HE Shujin1; LIN Yingzhi1. Causes and Trends of Forestry Area Change in Northeast China [J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2010, 65(2): 224-234.
[15]	. Analysis of Evolutive Characteristics and Their Driving Mechanism of Hollowing Villages in China [J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2009, 64(10): 1203-1213.