西藏羊卓雍湖流域近45 年气温和降水的变化趋势

doi:10.11821/xb200811005

Abstract

Abstract:

The interannual, interdecadal variations and anomalous years of the annual and seasonal mean temperature and precipitation are investigated in the context of the monthly data at 9 meteorological and hydrological stations in the Yamzho Yumco Lake basin of Tibet from 1961 to 2005 by using modern statistical diagnostic methods such as the linear trend, and the relationship between lake level and precipitation is discussed. The results show that the annual temperature presented a significant increasing trend and the rate of increase is about 0.25 ^oC/10a during recent 46 years, indicating that the warming trend is obvious in autumn and winter. In recent 25 years (1981-2005), the precipitation presents a decreasing trend in winter, while the increasing trend is apparent in other seasons with a rate of (11.4-30.0) mm/10a, especially in summer. Finally, the annual precipitation shows an obviously increasing trend and the rate is 54.2 mm/10a. In terms of interdecadal variations, the mean temperature increases apparently in most seasons, except in summer. The summer precipitation is less in the 1980s, more in the other three decades. On the contrary, in winter the precipitation is more in the 1980s, less in the other three decades. Also, the warm anomalous years of annual mean temperature occurred three times in the end of the 1990s and the early 2100s. The more precipitation anomalous years occurred in the end of the 1960s and the early 1970s. Since generation of electricity with the water of the Yamzho Yumco Lake in 1997, the trend of annual precipitation has increased. The mean precipitation is about 409.7 mm in the basin, which is higher than the balanced rainfall, and presents an obvious increasing trend of the lake level. The water level rise is directly correlated with precipitation increase and sunshine decrease, while the apparent rise of temperature and the increase of snowmelt are also important factors.

Key words: temperature, precipitation, lake level, interannual and interdecadal variations, Yamzho Yumco Lake Basin of Tibet

DU Jun, HU Jun, TANG Shujun, BAO Jianhua, LHAK Pa. Climatic Variations of Temperature and Precipitation in the Yamzho Yumco Lake Basin of Tibet from 1961 to 2005[J].Acta Geographica Sinica, 2008, 63(11): 1160-1168.

References

[1] IPCC. Summary for Policymakers of Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, 2007.

[2] Feng Song, Tang Maocang, Wang Dongmei. New evidence of the Qinghai-Xizang (Tibet) Plateau as a pilot region of climatic fluctuation in China. Chinese Science Bulletin, 1998, 43(6): 633-636.
[冯松, 汤懋苍, 王冬梅. 青藏高原是我国气候变化启动区的新证据. 科学通报, 1998, 43(6): 633-636.]

[3] Pan Baotian, Li Jijun. Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau: A driver and amplifier of the global climatic change: III. The effects of the uplift of Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau on climatic changes. Journal of Lanzhou University (Natural Science Edition), 1996, 32(1): 108-115.
[潘保田, 李吉均. 青藏高原: 全球气候变化的驱动机与放大器: III. 青藏高原隆起对气候变化的影响. 兰州大学学报(自然科学版), 1996, 32(1): 108-115.]

[4] Liu Xiaodong, Hou Ping. Relationship between the climatic warming over the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau and its surrounding areas in recent 30 years and the elevation. Plateau Meteorology, 1998, 17(3): 245-249.
[刘晓东, 侯萍. 青藏高原及其邻近地区近30 年气候变暖与海拔高度的关系.高原气象, 1998, 17(3): 245-249.]

[5] Cai Ying, Li Dongliang, Tang Maocang et al. Decadal temperature changes over Qinghai-Xizang Plateau in recent 50 years. Plateau Meteorology, 2003, 22(5): 464-470.
[蔡英, 李栋梁, 汤懋苍等. 青藏高原近50 年来气温的年代际变化. 高原气象, 2003, 22(5): 464-470.]

[6] Du Jun. Change of temperature in Tibetan Plateau from 1961 to 2000. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2001, 56(6): 682-690.
[杜军. 西藏高原近40 年的气温变化. 地理学报, 2001, 56(6): 682-690.]

[7] Wei Zhigang, Huang Ronghui, Dong Wenjie. Interannual and interdecadal variations of air temperature and precipitation over the Tibetan Plateau. Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences, 2003, 27(2): 157-170.
[韦志刚, 黄荣辉, 董文杰. 青藏高原气温和降水的年际和年代际变化. 大气科学, 2003, 27(2) 157-170.]

[8] Zhou Ningfang, Qin Ningsheng, Tu Qipu et al. Analyses on regional characteristics of temperature changes over Qinghai-Xizang Plateau in recent 50 years. Plateau Meteorology, 2005, 24(3): 344-349.
[周宁芳, 秦宁生, 屠其璞等. 近 50 年青藏高原地面气温变化的区域特征分析. 高原气象, 2005, 24(3): 344-349.]

[9] Li Dongliang, Zhong Hailing, Wu Qingbai et al. Analysis on change of surface temperature over Qinghai-Xizang Plateau. Plateau Meteorology, 2005, 24(3): 291-298.
[李栋梁, 钟海玲, 吴青柏等. 青藏高原地表温度的变化分析.高原气象, 2005, 24(3): 291-298.]

[10] Yu G, Harrison S P. Holocene changes in atmospheric circulation patterns as shown by lake status changes in northern Europe. Boreas, 1995, 24: 260-268.

[11] Qin Boqiang, Shi Yafeng, Yu Ge. The change of water level and its indicating significance of Asian inland lakes 18 ka BP and 6 ka BP. Chinese Science Bulletin, 1997, 42(24): 2586-2595.
[秦伯强, 施雅风, 于革. 亚洲内陆湖泊在18 ka BP 及6 ka BP 的水位变化及其指示意义. 科学通报, 1997, 42(24): 2586-2595.]

[12] Shi Xinghe, Li Lin, Wang Qingchun et al. Climatic change and its influence on water level of Qinghai Lake. Meteorological Science and Technology, 2005, 33(1): 58-62.
[时兴合, 李林, 汪青春等. 环青海湖地区气候变化及其对湖泊水位的影响. 气象科技, 2005, 33(1): 58-62.]

[13] Bian Duo, Yang Zhigang, Li Lin et al. The response of lake area change to climate variations in north Tibetan Plateau during last 30 years. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2006, 61(5): 510-518.
[边多, 杨志刚, 李林等. 近30 年来西藏那曲地区湖泊变化对气候波动的响应. 地理学报, 2006, 61(5): 510-518.]

[14] Zhuo Ga, Yang Xiuhai, Tang Hong. Effects of climate change on lake acreage in Naqu region. Plateau Meteorology, 2007, 26(3): 485-490.
[卓嘎, 杨秀海, 唐洪. 那曲地区气候变化对该区湖泊面积的影响. 高原气象, 2007, 26(3): 485-490.]

[15] Wu Yanhong, Zhu Liping, Ye Qinghua et al. The response of lake-glacier area change to climate variations in Namco Basin, Central Tibetan Plateau during the last three decades. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2007, 62(3): 301-311.
[吴艳红, 朱立平, 叶庆华等. 纳木错流域近30 年来湖泊—冰川变化对气候的响应. 地理学报, 2007, 62(3): 301-311.]

[16] Liu Tianchou. Changes of Yamdok Tso lake water stage in Xizang. Scientia Geographica Sinica, 1995, 15(1): 55-62.
[刘天仇. 西藏羊卓雍错水位动态研究. 地理科学, 1995, 15(1): 55-62.]

[17] Morrill C. The influence of Asian summer monsoon variability on the water balance of a Tibetan lake. Journal of Paleolimnology, 2004, 32(3): 273-286.

[18] Pu Jianchen, Yao Tandong, Wang Ninglian et al. Fluctuations of the glaciers on the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau during the past century. Journal of Glaciology and Geocryology, 2004, 26(5): 517-522.
[蒲健辰, 姚檀栋, 王宁练等. 近百年来青藏高原冰川的进退变化. 冰川冻土, 2004, 26(5): 517-522.]

[19] Zhu L P, Zhang P Z, Xia W L et al. 1400-yrs cold/warm fluctuations reflected by environmental magnetism of a lake sediment core from the Chen Co, southern Tibet, China. Journal of Paleolimnology, 2003, 29(4): 391-401.

[20] Zhang Fei, Liu Jingshi, Gong Tongliang et al. Hydrological regime of the Karuxung Watershed in North Himalayas. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2006, 61(11): 1141-1148.
[张菲, 刘景时, 巩同梁等. 喜马拉雅山北坡卡鲁雄曲径流与气候变化. 地理学报, 2006, 61(11): 1141-1148.]

[21] http://www.ndrc.gov.cn/zdxm/t20061215_100554.htm

Climatic Variations of Temperature and Precipitation in the Yamzho Yumco Lake Basin of Tibet from 1961 to 2005

PDF (PC)

Like

Knowledge

Abstract

Cite this article

share this article

References

Related Articles 15

Metrics

Comments

[1]	WEN Qingzhi, SUN Peng, ZHANG Qiang, YAO Rui. A multi-scalar drought index for global warming: The non-stationary standardized precipitation evaporation index (NSPEI) and spatio-temporal patterns of future drought in China [J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2020, 75(7): 1465-1482.
[2]	LI Shuangshuang, WANG Chengbo, YAN Junping, LIU Xianfeng. Variability of the event-based extreme precipitation in the south and north Qinling Mountains [J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2020, 75(5): 989-1007.
[3]	WANG Fang, ZHANG Jintao. Response of precipitation change in Central Asia to emission scenarios consistent with the Paris Agreement [J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2020, 75(1): 25-40.
[4]	HE Liye, CHENG Shanjun, MA Ning, GUO Jun. Intraseasonal evolution of the key areas of precipitation in the Haihe River Basin and quantitative analysis of its associated atmospheric circulation during summer [J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2020, 75(1): 41-52.
[5]	FAN Keke, ZHANG Qiang, SUN Peng, SONG Changqing, YU Huiqian, ZHU Xiudi, SHEN Zexi. Effect of soil moisture variation on near-surface air temperature over the Tibetan Plateau [J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2020, 75(1): 82-97.
[6]	LIU Xiaoqiong, WU Zezhou, LIU Yansui, ZHAO Xinzheng, RUI Yang, ZHANG Jian. Spatial-temporal characteristics of precipitation from 1960 to 2015 in the Three Rivers' Headstream Region, Qinghai, China [J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2019, 74(9): 1803-1820.
[7]	DU Jun, HU Jun, Nimaji , Ciwangdunzhu . Spatial-temporal change of mean soil temperature and its critical temperature at 5 cm depth in the region of the Yarlung Zangbo River and its two tributaries of Tibet during 1981-2017 [J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2019, 74(9): 1821-1834.
[8]	ZHENG Jingyun,LIU Yang,WU Maowei,ZHANG Xuezhen,HAO Zhixin. Evidences and regional differences on multi-scales in Medieval Climate Anomaly over China [J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2019, 74(7): 1281-1291.
[9]	ZENG Suikang,YONG Bin. Evaluation of the GPM-based IMERG and GSMaP precipitation estimates over the Sichuan region [J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2019, 74(7): 1305-1318.
[10]	LU Fuzhi,LU Huayu. A high-resolution grid dataset of air temperature and precipitation for Qinling-Daba Mountains in central China and its implications for regional climate [J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2019, 74(5): 875-888.
[11]	WU Zixuan, ZHANG Qiang, SONG Changqing, ZHANG Fen, ZHU Xiudi, SUN Peng, FAN Keke, YU Huiqian, SHEN Zexi. Impacts of urbanization on spatio-temporal variations of temperature over the Pearl River Delta [J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2019, 74(11): 2342-2357.
[12]	YANG Jiawei, CHEN Hua, HOU Yukun, ZHAO Ying, CHEN Qihui, XU Chongyu, CHEN Jie. A method to identify the drought-flood transition based on the meteorological drought index [J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2019, 74(11): 2358-2370.
[13]	XIN Rui, DUAN Keqin. Numerical simulation and spatial distribution of summer precipitation in the Qinling Mountains [J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2019, 74(11): 2329-2341.
[14]	DU Qinqin,ZHANG Mingjun,WANG Shengjie,CHE Cunwei,QIU Xue,MA Zhuanzhuan. Changes in air temperature of China in response to global warming hiatus [J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2018, 73(9): 1748-1764.
[15]	ZHANG Yang,BAI Hongying,SU Kai,HUANG Xiaoyue,MENG Qing,GUO Shaozhuang. Spatial variation of extreme temperature change on southern and northern slopes of Shaanxi section in Qinling Mountains during 1960-2013 [J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2018, 73(7): 1296-1308.