Acta Geographica Sinica ›› 2021, Vol. 76 ›› Issue (6): 1366-1379.doi: 10.11821/dlxb202106004
• Population and Urban Studies • Previous Articles Next Articles
Received:
2020-03-12
Revised:
2020-12-22
Online:
2021-06-25
Published:
2021-08-25
Supported by:
SUN Pingjun, WANG Kewen. Identification and stage division of urban shrinkage in the three provinces of Northeast China[J].Acta Geographica Sinica, 2021, 76(6): 1366-1379.
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Tab. 3
Identification results of shrinking cities in the three provinces of Northeast China
城市 | 人口下降 起始年份 | 常住人口数 增长率(%) | 第一步 诊断结果 | 综合指标 平均得分(%) | 第二步 诊断结果 | 类型 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
沈阳 | - | - | 否 | -25.46 | 否 | 无 |
大连 | 2010—2012 | -1.66 | 否 | -21.55 | 否 | 收缩前期阶段城市 |
鞍山 | 2015—2017 | -1.32 | 否 | -32.16 | 否 | 收缩前期阶段城市 |
抚顺 | 2011—2017 | -4.70 | 是 | -30.55 | 是 | 收缩初期阶段城市 |
本溪 | 2010—2017 | -5.39 | 是 | -32.71 | 是 | 收缩中期阶段城市 |
丹东 | 2013—2016 | -0.64 | 否 | -45.13 | 否 | 收缩前期阶段城市 |
锦州 | 2013—2015 | -2.76 | 否 | -23.20 | 否 | 收缩前期阶段城市 |
营口 | - | - | 否 | -24.35 | 否 | 无 |
阜新 | 2010—2017 | -4.92 | 是 | -35.84 | 是 | 收缩初期阶段城市 |
辽阳 | 2013—2017 | -1.15 | 否 | -24.45 | 否 | 收缩前期阶段城市 |
盘锦 | - | - | 否 | -13.35 | 否 | 无 |
铁岭 | 2010—2016 | -1.55 | 否 | -47.85 | 否 | 收缩前期阶段城市 |
朝阳 | - | - | 否 | -28.32 | 否 | 无 |
葫芦岛 | 2010—2016 | -2.03 | 否 | -25.48 | 否 | 收缩前期阶段城市 |
长春 | - | - | 否 | -2.17 | 否 | 无 |
吉林 | 2010—2013、2015—2017 | -0.91 | 否 | -7.31 | 否 | 收缩前期阶段城市 |
四平 | 2010—2016 | -3.91 | 是 | -27.03 | 是 | 收缩初期阶段城市 |
辽源 | 2010—2012、2014—2017 | -4.66 | 是 | -13.12 | 是 | 收缩初期阶段城市 |
通化 | 2010—2013 | -1.03 | 否 | -16.69 | 否 | 收缩前期阶段城市 |
白山 | 2011—2017 | -8.94 | 是 | -28.32 | 是 | 收缩中期阶段城市 |
松原 | 2011—2014、2015—2017 | -4.69 | 是 | -23.16 | 是 | 收缩初期阶段城市 |
白城 | 2011—2017 | -1.61 | 否 | -13.62 | 否 | 收缩前期阶段城市 |
哈尔滨 | - | - | 否 | -11.06 | 否 | 无 |
齐齐哈尔 | 2010—2017 | -2.19 | 否 | -29.22 | 否 | 收缩前期阶段城市 |
鸡西 | 2010—2017 | -8.99 | 是 | -21.84 | 是 | 收缩中期阶段城市 |
鹤岗 | 2012—2017 | -7.88 | 是 | -39.49 | 是 | 收缩中期阶段城市 |
双鸭山 | 2013—2017 | -11.11 | 是 | -37.02 | 是 | 收缩后期阶段城市 |
大庆 | - | - | 否 | -30.27 | 否 | 无 |
伊春 | 2011—2017 | -7.85 | 是 | -22.38 | 是 | 收缩中期阶段城市 |
佳木斯 | 2010—2017 | -6.10 | 是 | -19.96 | 是 | 收缩中期阶段城市 |
七台河 | 2012—2017 | -15.94 | 是 | -31.52 | 是 | 收缩后期阶段城市 |
牡丹江 | 2013—2017 | -2.25 | 否 | -14.57 | 否 | 收缩前期阶段城市 |
黑河 | 2013—2017 | -9.52 | 是 | -35.77 | 是 | 收缩中期阶段城市 |
绥化 | 2010—2017 | -8.82 | 是 | -19.10 | 是 | 收缩中期阶段城市 |
Tab. 4
Classification of urban attributes and shrinkage types in the three provinces of Northeast China
省份 | 城市 | 城市性质 | 收缩类型 | 省份 | 城市 | 城市性质 | 收缩类型 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
辽 宁 省 | 沈阳 | 省会核心城市 | 无 | 辽源 | 资源枯竭型城市 | 收缩初期阶段 | |
大连 | 副省级核心城市 | 收缩前期阶段 | 通化 | 一般内陆城市 | 收缩前期阶段 | ||
鞍山 | 资源中后期型城市 | 收缩前期阶段 | 白山 | 资源中后期型城市 | 收缩中期阶段 | ||
抚顺 | 资源枯竭型城市 | 收缩初期阶段 | 松原 | 长春、大庆“虹吸”范围城市、资源后期型城市 | 收缩初期阶段 | ||
本溪 | 资源后期型城市 | 收缩中期阶段 | 黑 龙 江 省 | 哈尔滨 | 省会核心城市 | 无 | |
丹东 | 港口城市 | 收缩前期阶段 | 齐齐哈尔 | 大庆“虹吸”范围城市 | 收缩前期阶段 | ||
锦州 | 港口城市 | 收缩前期阶段 | 鸡西 | 资源型枯竭型城市 | 收缩中期阶段 | ||
营口 | 港口城市 | 无 | 鹤岗 | 资源型枯竭型城市 | 收缩中期阶段 | ||
阜新 | 资源枯竭型城市 | 收缩初期阶段 | 双鸭山 | 资源型枯竭型城市 | 收缩后期阶段 | ||
辽阳 | 一般内陆城市 | 收缩前期阶段 | 大庆 | 省区域中心资源型城市 | 无 | ||
盘锦 | 资源枯竭港口城市 | 无 | 伊春 | 资源枯竭型城市 | 收缩中期阶段 | ||
铁岭 | 一般内陆城市 | 收缩前期阶段 | 佳木斯 | 哈尔滨“虹吸”范围城市 | 收缩中期阶段 | ||
朝阳 | 跨域交通枢纽城市 | 无 | 七台河 | 牡丹江“虹吸”范围城市资源型城市 | 收缩后期阶段 | ||
葫芦岛 | 港口城市 | 收缩前期阶段 | 牡丹江 | 一般内陆城市 | 收缩前期阶段 | ||
长春 | 省会核心城市 | 无 | 黑河 | 边境边远城市 | 收缩中期阶段 | ||
吉林省 | 吉林 | 重化工内陆城市 | 收缩前期阶段 | 绥化 | 哈尔滨、大庆“虹吸”范围城市 | 收缩中期阶段 | |
四平 | 长春“虹吸”范围城市 | 收缩初期阶段 |
Tab. 5
Type classification of dominant factors for urban shrinkage in the three provinces of Northeast China
城市 | 指标维度收缩先后顺序 | 收缩类型Ⅰ | 主导收缩指标(%) | 收缩类型Ⅱ |
---|---|---|---|---|
抚顺 | 投资消费—经济—财政保障—人口 | 投资消费导向 | X9 (-83.01) | 投资消费导向 |
本溪 | 人口—投资消费—经济—财政保障 | 人才流失导向 | X10 (-73.26) | 投资消费导向 |
阜新 | 人口—投资消费—经济—财政保障 | 人才流失导向 | X9 (-90.05) | 投资消费导向 |
四平 | 投资消费—人口—经济 | 投资消费导向 | X10 (-87.07) | 投资消费导向 |
辽源 | 人口—投资消费—财政保障 | 人才流失导向 | X10 (-68.10) | 投资消费导向 |
白山 | 人口—投资消费—财政保障 | 人才流失导向 | X10 (-82.84) | 投资消费导向 |
松原 | 人口—经济—财政保障—投资消费 | 人口流失导向 | X10 (-98.42) | 投资消费导向 |
鸡西 | 经济—投资消费—人口—财政保障 | 经济下行导向 | X3 (-82.03) | 人才流失导向 |
鹤岗 | 经济—投资消费—人口—财政保障 | 经济下行导向 | X10 (-76.83) | 投资消费导向 |
双鸭山 | 经济—投资消费—财政保障—人口 | 经济下行导向 | X10 (-91.05) | 投资消费导向 |
伊春 | 人口—经济—投资消费—财政保障 | 人才流失导向 | X9 (-68.17) | 投资消费导向 |
佳木斯 | 人口—经济—财政保障—投资消费 | 人口流失导向 | X4 (-49.90) | 失业导向 |
七台河 | 经济—投资消费—人口—财政保障 | 经济下行导向 | X10 (-82.94) | 投资消费导向 |
黑河 | 经济—投资消费—人口—财政保障 | 经济下行导向 | X4 (-82.71) | 失业导向 |
绥化 | 投资消费—经济—人口—财政保障 | 投资消费导向 | X4 (-86.50) | 失业导向 |
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