东北地区县域粮劳变化耦合模式与乡村发展类型

doi:10.11821/dlxb202010014

Abstract

Abstract:

Rural revitalization needs to recognize and address the diversity of rural areas. Based on statistical data of grain yield and agricultural labor, this paper analyzes the coupled modes of the changes of grain yield and agricultural labor as well as their representations of rural development typology of 183 counties in Northeast China by using standard deviation ellipse, non-parametric test, and so on. The results show that: (1) during 2001-2015, the coupled mode of grain yield and agricultural labor changes of the whole study region turned in 2008. During 2001-2008, its grain yield increased while agricultural labor decreased; but during 2008-2015, both its grain yield and agricultural labor increased. Actually, this is due to degradation that resulted from the comprehensive interactions of many factors. (2) At county level, the proportion of grain yield increased while agricultural labor decreased counties in Northeast China shrank from 45.90% in 2001-2008 to 37.16% in 2008-2015, and the numbers of grain yield decreased while agricultural labor increased counties and grain yield and agricultural labor both decreased counties grew obviously. Spatially, the coupled modes of grain yield and agricultural labor changes evolved in differentiated patterns. (3) Based on the coupled modes of grain yield and agricultural labor changes and other supplementary indicators, this paper classifies the rural development typology at county level in Northeast China into five categories: extensive expansion type, agriculture modernization type, planting-breeding incorporated type, urbanizing type, and eco-environment prioritized type. The results show that these rural development types have certain hierarchical nature and present a structural evolution. Therefore, the coupled modes of grain yield and agricultural labor changes can represent the rural development typology well. (4) Different rural development types in Northeast China are facing different constraints and opportunities. In the light of these facts, this paper proposes the differential promotion strategies targeting specific rural development types. The approaches and strategies developed in this paper could be applied in other regions of China to analyze and address the diversity of rural areas.

Key words: grain yield, agricultural labor, coupled modes, rural development typology, nonparametric test, Northeast China

FANG Yangang, LIU Jianzhi. Coupled modes of grain yield and agricultural labor changes and rural development types at county level in Northeast China[J].Acta Geographica Sinica, 2020, 75(10): 2241-2255.

Figures/Tables 8

Fig. 1

Fig. 2

Fig. 3

Fig. 4

Fig. 5

Fig. 6

Tab. 1

Fig. 7

References 39

[1]	Todaro M P, Smith S C . Economic Development. Beijing: China Machine Press, 2014: 200-227.
	[ 迈克尔·托达罗, 陆大道 . 发展经济学. 北京: 机械工业出版社, 2014: 200-227.]
[2]	Lewis W A . Economic development with unlimited supplies of labour. The Manchester School, 1954,22(2):139-191.
[3]	Todaro M P . A model of labor migration and urban unemployment in less developed countries. The American Economic Review, 1969,59(1):138-148.
[4]	Yao Shimou, Lu Dadao, Wang Cong , et al. Urbanization in China needs comprehensive scientific thinking: Exploration of the urbanization mode adapted to the special situation of China. Geographical Research, 2011,30(11):1947-1955.
	[ 姚士谋, 陆大道, 王聪 , 等. 中国城镇化需要综合性的科学思维: 探索适应中国国情的城镇化方式. 地理研究, 2011,30(11):1947-1955.]
[5]	Liu Yansui . Research on the urban-rural integration and rural revitalization in the new era in China. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2018,73(4):637-650.
	[ 刘彦随 . 中国新时代城乡融合与乡村振兴. 地理学报, 2018,73(4):637-650.]
[6]	Liu Shouying, Wang Yige . From native rural China to urban-rural China: The rural transition perspective of China transformation. Management World, 2018,34(10):128-146.
	[ 刘守英, 王一鸽 . 从乡土中国到城乡中国: 中国转型的乡村变迁视角. 管理世界, 2018,34(10):128-146.]
[7]	Oseni G, Winters P . Rural nonfarm activities and agricultural crop production in Nigeria. Agricultural Economics, 2009,40(2):189-201.
[8]	Liu Chengwu, Huang Limin . The changes of farmers' behavior in land use and its impacts on the food production during the process of marginalization of arable land. Geographical Research, 2015,34(12):2268-2282.
	[ 刘成武, 黄利民 . 农地边际化过程中农户土地利用行为变化及其对粮食生产的影响. 地理研究, 2015,34(12):2268-2282.]
[9]	Liu G, Wang H, Cheng Y , et al. The impact of rural out-migration on arable land use intensity: Evidence from mountain areas in Guangdong, China. Land Use Policy, 2016,59:569-579.
[10]	Liu Yansui, Li Yurui . Spatio-temporal coupling relationship between farmland and agricultural labor changes at county level in China. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2010,65(12):1602-1612.
	[ 刘彦随, 李裕瑞 . 中国县域耕地与农业劳动力变化的时空耦合关系. 地理学报, 2010,65(12):1602-1612.]
[11]	Gray C L . Rural out-migration and smallholder agriculture in the southern Ecuadorian Andes. Population and Environment, 2009,30(4/5):193-217.
[12]	Mendola M . Migration and technological change in rural households: Complements or substitutes? Journal of Development Economics, 2008,85(1/2):150-175.
[13]	Wang X, Huang J, Rozelle S . Off-farm employment and agricultural specialization in China. China Economic Review, 2017,42:155-165.
[14]	Taylor M J, Moran-Taylor M J, Ruiz D R . Land, ethnic, and gender change: Transnational migration and its effects on Guatemalan lives and landscapes. Geoforum, 2006,37(1):41-61.
[15]	Rozelle S, Taylor J E, deBrauw A . Migration, remittances, and agricultural productivity in China. American Economic Review, 1999,89(2):287-291.
[16]	Rudel T K, Perez-Lugo M, Zichal H . When fields revert to forest: Development and spontaneous reforestation in post-war Puerto Rico. The Professional Geographer, 2000,52(3):386-397.
[17]	Lipton M . Migration from rural areas of poor countries: The impact on rural productivity and income distribution. World Development, 1980,8(1):1-24.
[18]	Black R . Migration, return, and agricultural development in the Serra do Alvao, northern Portugal. Economic Development and Cultural Change, 1993,41(3):563-585.
[19]	Li Shengfa, Li Xiubin . Economic characteristics and the mechanism of farmland marginalization in mountainous areas of China. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2018,73(5):803-817.
	[ 李升发, 李秀彬 . 中国山区耕地利用边际化表现及其机理. 地理学报, 2018,73(5):803-817.]
[20]	Rudel T K, Coomes O T, Moran E , et al. Forest transitions: Towards a global understanding of land use change. Global Environmental Change, 2005,15(1):23-31.
[21]	Taylor E J . The new economics of labour migration and the role of remittances in the migration process. International Migration, 1999,37(1):63-88. pmid: 12322077
[22]	Jokisch B D . Migration and agricultural change: The case of smallholder agriculture in highland Ecuador. Human Ecology, 2002,30(4):523-550.
[23]	Yan J, Zhang Y, Hua X , et al. An explanation of labor migration and grain output growth: Findings of a case study in eastern Tibetan Plateau. Journal of Geographical Sciences, 2016,26(4):484-500.
[24]	Ge Dazhuan, Long Hualou, Zhang Yingnan , et al. Pattern and coupling relationship between grain yield and agricultural labor changes at county level in China. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2017,72(6):1063-1077.
	[ 戈大专, 龙花楼, 张英男 , 等. 中国县域粮食产量与农业劳动力变化的格局及其耦合关系. 地理学报, 2017,72(6):1063-1077.]
[25]	Huang Jikun . Forty years of China's agricultural development and reform and the way forward in the future. Journal of Agrotechnical, 2018(3):4-15.
	[ 黄季焜 . 四十年中国农业发展改革和未来政策选择. 农业技术经济, 2018(3):4-15.]
[26]	Huang Zongzhi, Peng Yusheng . The confluence of three historical trends and the prospects for small-scale agriculture in China. Social Sciences in China, 2007(4):74-88.
	[ 黄宗智, 彭玉生 . 三大历史性变迁的交汇与中国小规模农业的前景. 中国社会科学, 2007(4):74-88.]
[27]	Cai Fang . Has China's labor mobility exhausted its momentum? Chinese Rural Economy, 2018(9):2-13.
	[ 蔡昉 . 农业劳动力转移潜力耗尽了吗? 中国农村经济, 2018(9):2-13.]
[28]	The State Council of China. Strategic Planning for Rural Revitalization (2018-2022). Beijing: People's Publishing House, 2018: 21-23.
	[ 中共中央国务院. 乡村振兴战略规划(2018—2022). 北京: 人民出版社, 2018: 21-23.]
[29]	Long Hualou, Tu Shuangshuang . Rural restructuring: Theory, approach and research prospect. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2017,72(4):563-576.
	[ 龙花楼, 屠爽爽 . 论乡村重构. 地理学报, 2017,72(4):563-576.]
[30]	Long Hualou, Tu Shuangshuang . Theoretical thinking of rural restructuring. Progress in Geography, 2018,37(5):581-590.
	[ 龙花楼, 屠爽爽 . 乡村重构的理论认知. 地理科学进展, 2018,37(5):581-590.]
[31]	Yang Ren, Liu Yansui, Long Hualou , et al. Research progress and prospect of rural transformation and reconstruction in China: Paradigms and main content. Progress in Geography, 2015,34(8):1019-1030.
	[ 杨忍, 刘彦随, 龙花楼 , 等. 中国乡村转型重构研究进展与展望: 逻辑主线与内容框架. 地理科学进展, 2015,34(8):1019-1030.]
[32]	Ge Dazhuan, Long Hualou, Li Yurui , et al. The spatio-temporal pattern of multifunctional transformation of China's grain production system in the process of urbanization: The case of Huang-Huai-Hai Plain. Economic Geography, 2018,38(4):147-156.
	[ 戈大专, 龙花楼, 李裕瑞 , 等. 城镇化进程中我国粮食生产系统多功能转型时空格局研究: 以黄淮海地区为例. 经济地理, 2018,38(4):147-156.]
[33]	Zhao Lu, Zhao Zuoquan . Projecting the spatial variation of economic based on the specific ellipses in China. Scientia Geographica Sinica, 2014,34(8):979-986.
	[ 赵璐, 赵作权 . 基于特征椭圆的中国经济空间分异研究. 地理科学, 2014,34(8):979-986.]
[34]	Zhang Wentong, Yan Jie. SPSS Statistical Analysis Basic Tutorial. Beijing: Higher Education Press, 2004: 289-298.
	[ 张文彤, 闫杰 . SPSS统计分析基础教程. 北京: 高等教育出版社, 2004: 289-298.]
[35]	Qi Wei, Liu Shenghe, Jin Fengjun . Calculation and spatial evolution of population loss in Northeast China. Scientia Geographica Sinica, 2017,37(12):1795-1804. doi: 10.13249/j.cnki.sgs.2017.12.002
	[ 戚伟, 刘盛和, 金凤君 . 东北三省人口流失的测算及演化格局研究. 地理科学, 2017,37(12):1795-1804.]
[36]	Fan Qi, Qi Di, Li Shuang . Study on the reform and transformation of Corn Temporary Storage System. Issues in Agricultural Economy, 2016(8):74-81.
	[ 樊琦, 祁迪, 李霜 . 玉米临时收储制度的改革与转型研究. 农业经济问题, 2016(8):74-81.]
[37]	Yu Tingting, Song Yuxiang, Hao Feilong , et al. Space pattern evolution of population distribution and the driving factors in Northeast China. Scientia Geographica Sinica, 2017,37(5):709-717. doi: 10.13249/j.cnki.sgs.2017.05.008
	[ 于婷婷, 宋玉祥, 浩飞龙 , 等. 东北三省人口分布空间格局演化及其驱动因素研究. 地理科学, 2017,37(5):709-717.]
[38]	Chen Yujie, Zhang Pingyu, Liu Shiwei , et al. The spatio-temporal pattern change and optimum layout of grain production in the west of Northeast China. Scientia Geographica Sinica, 2016,36(9):1397-1407.
	[ 陈玉洁, 张平宇, 刘世薇 , 等. 东北西部粮食生产时空格局变化及优化布局研究. 地理科学, 2016,36(9):1397-1407.]
[39]	Fang Yangang, Liu Jisheng . Diversified agriculture and rural development in China based on multifunction theory: Beyond modernization paradigm. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2015,70(2):257-270.
	[ 房艳刚, 刘继生 . 基于多功能理论的中国乡村发展多元化探讨: 超越“现代化”发展范式. 地理学报, 2015,70(2):257-270.]

乡村发展类型	变量	H统计量	秩均值	变量	H统计量	秩均值
外延扩张型	乡村非农就业率	24.880^**	78.4578^c-d-	城镇建设及工矿用地比例	24.641^**	86.7952^c-d-
农业现代化型			86.9412^d-			77.2500^c-d-
种养结合型			112.8125^a+d-			117.1250^a+b+
城镇化型			154.7273^a+b+c+			145.4546^a+b+
外延扩张型	人口密度	24.766^**	83.8434^c+d+	地均农业机械总动力	6.055	—
农业现代化型			79.3235^c+d+
种养结合型			120.0625^a-b-
城镇化型			150.6364^a-b-
外延扩张型	粮食播种面积年均增长率	13.074^**	95.5663^d+	非农产值比例	17.091^**	97.2289^b+
农业现代化型			94.4638^d+			70.5441^a-c-d-
种养结合型			83.6250^d+			110.0625^b+
城镇化型			41.8333^a-b-c-			118.4546^b+
外延扩张型	经济作物播种面积比例	20.046^**	88.7229^c-	平均夜间灯光指数	20.926^**	79.5301^c+d+
农业现代化型			75.8824^c-d-			86.3677^c+d+
种养结合型			134.7500^a+b+			115.1250^a-b-
城镇化型			113.7273^b+			146.8182^a-b-

Coupled modes of grain yield and agricultural labor changes and rural development types at county level in Northeast China

RichHTML

PDF (PC)

Like

Knowledge

Abstract

Cite this article

share this article

Figures/Tables 8

References 39

Related Articles 15

Metrics

Comments

[1]	SUN Pingjun, WANG Kewen. Identification and stage division of urban shrinkage in the three provinces of Northeast China [J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2021, 76(6): 1366-1379.
[2]	MA Zuopeng, LI Chenggu, ZHANG Pingyu. Characteristics, mechanism and response of urban shrinkage in the three provinces of Northeast China [J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2021, 76(4): 767-780.
[3]	SUN Hongri, LIU Yanjun, ZHOU Guolei. The spatiotemporal differentiation and mechanisms of traffic dominance in Northeast China [J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2021, 76(2): 444-458.
[4]	LIU Chengliang, NIU Caicheng. Spatial evolution and factors of interurban technology transfer network in Northeast China from national to local perspectives [J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2019, 74(10): 2092-2107.
[5]	LI Shengfa,LI Xiubin. Economic characteristics and the mechanism of farmland marginalization in mountainous areas of China [J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2018, 73(5): 803-817.
[6]	LIU Yanjun,YU Huisheng,LIU Degang,ZHU Liyuan. Spatial differentiation mechanisms of the pattern evolution of construction land development intensity in Northeast China [J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2018, 73(5): 818-831.
[7]	MA Li,LONG Hualou,ZHANG Yingnan,TU Shuangshuang,GE Dazhuan. Spatio-temporal coupling relationship between agricultural labor changes and agricultural economic development at county level in China and its implications for rural revitalization [J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2018, 73(12): 2364-2377.
[8]	Zheng CHU, Jianping GUO, Junfang ZHAO. Impacts of projected climate change on agricultural climate resources in Northeast China [J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2017, 72(7): 1248-1260.
[9]	Dazhuan GE, Hualou LONG, Yingnan ZHANG, Shuangshuang TU. Pattern and coupling relationship between grain yield and agricultural labor changes at county level in China [J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2017, 72(6): 1063-1077.
[10]	Shiji LI, Xiubin LI, Minghong TAN. Impacts of rural-urban migration on vegetation cover in ecologically fragile areas: Taking Inner Mongolia as a case [J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2015, 70(10): 1622-1631.
[11]	YU Xinfang, ZHUANG Dafang, WANG Qiankun. Dataset of regional vegetation changes from 1981 to 2006 in the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau [J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2014, 69(s1): 69-71.
[12]	LI Shicheng, HE Fanneng, ZHANG Xuezhen. An approach of spatially-explicit reconstruction of historical forest in China：A case study in Northeast China [J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2014, 69(3): 312-322.
[13]	TAN Jieyang, LI Zhengguo, YANG Peng, LIU Zhenhuan, LI Zhipeng, ZHANG Li, WU Wenbin, YOU Liangzhi, TANG Huajun. Spatiotemporal changes of maize sown area and yield in Northeast China between 1980 and 2010 using spatial production allocation model [J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2014, 69(3): 353-364.
[14]	Shanwen QIU, Xikui WANG, A.N. MAKHINOV, Baixing YAN, Yi LIAN, Jinhua ZHU, Fengli ZHANG, Zhenqing ZHANG. Summary of the paleodrainage pattern changes in the Northeast China Plain and its neighboring areas [J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2014, 69(11): 1604-1614.
[15]	LI Zhengguo, TANG Huajun, YANG Peng, ZHOU Qingbo, WUWenbin, ZOU Jinqiu, ZHANG Li, CHANG Hsiaofei. Responses of Cropland Phenophases to Agricultural Thermal Resources Change in Northeast China [J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2011, 66(7): 928-939.