中国与南美洲国家地缘经济联系强度及其影响因素

doi:10.11821/dlxb202010003

Abstract

Abstract:

As an expansion area of international cooperation under the Belt and Road Initiative, South America is of great importance for China to enhance geo-economic status and expand geo-economic space. Based on trade, investment, tourism, transportation and politics, this paper establishes a multi-dimensional index system of geo-economic linkages intensity and analyzes the important characteristics of the geo-economic linkages intensity between China and countries in South America by using the gray correlation TOPSIS method and geographically weighted regression model. The results show that: (1) The geo-economic flows between China and South American countries show an overall increasing trend during 2006-2015. (2) China and South American countries have an unbalanced development in geo-economic linkages elements. The geo-economic linkage of transportation is higher than that of politics, tourism, investment and trade. (3) The geo-economic linkages intensity between China and South American countries are at a low level and varies significantly among countries. (4) The geo-economic linkages intensity between China and South American countries is slowly increasing, and the changes in spatial pattern are small year by year. (5) Gross domestic product, population size and cooperative goldenstein factor are the dominant factors influencing the geo-economic linkages intensity between China and countries in South America. Market is the most important driving force for geo-economic linkages intensity between China and countries in South America. Resource endowment has little effect on the geo-economic linkages intensity, while geopolitics has a significant effect on the geo-economic linkages intensity.

Key words: geo-economic, linkages intensity, grey correlation analysis, geographically weighted regression, China, South American countries

DANG Qin, HU Wei, GE Yuejing, DING Shihong, YE Li, WANG Shufang. Geo-economic linkages intensity and its influencing factors between China and South American countries[J].Acta Geographica Sinica, 2020, 75(10): 2061-2075.

Figures/Tables 6

Tab.1

Fig. 1

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Tab. 2

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目标层	要素层	指标层	单位
中国与南美洲国家地缘经济联系强度	贸易	进口额	美元
		进口额比重	%
		出口额	美元
		出口额比重	%
	投资	对外直接投资流量	万美元
		对外直接投资流量比重	%
		对外直接投资存量	万美元
		对外直接投资存量比重	%
	旅游	旅游人数	千人
	旅游	旅游偏好	%
	交通	首都间距离	km
		海运时间	day
		航空时间	hour
		海运连接指数	-
	政治	双边经贸投资文件	-
		领导人互访	-
		戈登斯坦因子	-

影响因素	回归系数	回归系数大小排序
营商便利指数	0.17^*	6
国内生产总值	2.54^*	1
人口规模	1.31^*	2
人均国内生产总值	0.03^*	11
高科技出口比重	0.05^*	10
燃料出口比重	0.10^*	8
自然资源租金总额	0.08^*	9
海运连接指数	0.20^*	5
进口产品集中度指数	-0.06^*	12
出口产品集中度指数	0.32^*	4
贸易开放度指数	0.17^*	7
合作戈登斯坦因子	0.42^*	3
冲突戈登斯坦因子	-0.18^*	13

Geo-economic linkages intensity and its influencing factors between China and South American countries

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