Acta Geographica Sinica ›› 2020, Vol. 75 ›› Issue (6): 1287-1300.doi: 10.11821/dlxb202006014
• Urban-Rural Integration and Regional Development • Previous Articles Next Articles
WEI Suhao1, LI Jing1, LI Zeyi2, ZONG Gang2()
Received:
2018-12-07
Revised:
2019-12-17
Online:
2020-06-25
Published:
2020-08-25
Contact:
ZONG Gang
E-mail:zonggang1957@sina.com
Supported by:
WEI Suhao, LI Jing, LI Zeyi, ZONG Gang. Spatio-temporal evolution and its influencing factors of China's agricultural competitiveness[J].Acta Geographica Sinica, 2020, 75(6): 1287-1300.
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Tab. 1
Evaluation index system of agricultural competitiveness"
目标层 | 准则层 | 指标层 | 计算公式 |
---|---|---|---|
农业竞争力评价 | 自然禀赋竞争力 | 土地资源禀赋(+) | 总播种面积/年末常住人口数量 |
水资源禀赋(+) | 水资源总量/总播种面积 | ||
自然灾害(-) | 受灾面积/总播种面积 | ||
流动投入要素竞争力 | 机械投入强度(+) | 机械总动力/总播种面积 | |
化肥投入强度(o) | 化肥投入总量/总播种面积 | ||
农药投入强度(o) | 农药投入总量/总播种面积 | ||
农膜投入强度(+) | 农膜投入总量/总播种面积 | ||
农业用电投入强度(+) | 农业用电量/总播种面积 | ||
产出竞争力 | 劳动生产率(+) | 第一产业产值/第一产业从业人员数量 | |
土地生产率(+) | 粮食总产量/粮食播种面积 | ||
蔬菜产量/蔬菜播种面积 | |||
油料产量/油料播种面积 | |||
设施与机制竞争力 | 有效灌溉面积占比(+) | 有效灌溉面积/总耕地面积 | |
公路交通密度(+) | 公路里程/行政面积 | ||
财政支农力度(+) | 财政支农资金/总播种面积 |
Tab. 2
Results of whole-space correlation tests from 2000 to 2016"
年份 | Moran's I | p值 | 年份 | Moran's I | p值 | 年份 | Moran's I | p值 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2000 | 0.238 | 0.001 | 2006 | 0.462 | 0.000 | 2012 | 0.442 | 0.000 |
2001 | 0.248 | 0.003 | 2007 | 0.427 | 0.000 | 2013 | 0.254 | 0.001 |
2002 | 0.456 | 0.000 | 2008 | 0.433 | 0.000 | 2014 | 0.245 | 0.003 |
2003 | 0.203 | 0.005 | 2009 | 0.423 | 0.000 | 2015 | 0.221 | 0.007 |
2004 | 0.277 | 0.002 | 2010 | 0.443 | 0.000 | 2016 | 0.249 | 0.017 |
2005 | 0.423 | 0.000 | 2011 | 0.428 | 0.000 |
Tab. 3
Changing situation in province-level regions with different local-space clustering types in 2000 and 2016"
类型 | 2000年 | 2016年 |
---|---|---|
H-H | 北京、上海、天津、浙江、福建、新疆 | 北京、上海、天津、浙江、江苏、福建 |
L-H | 河北、江西、江苏、安徽 | 河北、江西、安徽、新疆 |
L-L | 辽宁、黑龙江、吉林、河南、山东、湖北、湖南、重庆、四川、贵州、云南、山西、甘肃、内蒙、陕西、宁夏 | 黑龙江、吉林、河南、山东、湖北、湖南、重庆、四川、贵州、云南、广西、山西、甘肃、内蒙、陕西、宁夏 |
H-L | 青海、广东、广西 | 青海、广东、辽宁 |
Tab. 5
Results of estimating SDM model under different interaction effects"
变量 | 无固定 | 时期固定 | 空间固定 | 双固定 | 变量 | 无固定 | 时期固定 | 空间固定 | 双固定 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
-cons | 1.791* (1.84) | W×PCI | 0.147** (2.11) | 0.314*** (2.73) | 0.123* (1.86) | 0.212*** (3.03) | |||
PCI | 0.077** (2.40) | 0.314*** (6.21) | 0.078** (2.56) | 0.089*** (2.96) | W×RCL | 0.009 (0.17) | 0.306 (0.89) | 0.009 (0.21) | 0.074 (1.48) |
RCL | 0.121*** (5.54) | 0.235*** (5.96) | 0.124*** (5.62) | 0.118*** (5.32) | W×EDL | 0.014 (1.50) | 0.125*** (6.18) | 0.014 (1.36) | -0.004 (-0.29) |
EDL | 0.005 (0.86) | 0.014*** (4.35) | 0.004 (0.60) | 0.002 (0.39) | W×RDI | 0.186*** (4.08) | 0.372*** (6.31) | 0.154*** (3.97) | 0.232*** (5.27) |
RDI | 0.074*** (3.69) | 0.107*** (4.68) | 0.060*** (3.81) | 0.075*** (4.00) | W×GSR | 0.043*** (2.94) | -0.066*** (-5.05) | 0.042*** (3.06) | 0.048*** (2.82) |
GSR | -0.033*** (-4.17) | -0.064*** (-9.02) | -0.029*** (-3.75) | -0.026*** (-3.37) | W×PPG | -0.028* (-1.89) | 0.001 (0.14) | -0.022 (-0.95) | 0.002 (0.07) |
PPG | 0.051*** (3.77) | -0.015*** (-3.20) | 0.055*** (4.38) | 0.057*** (4.23) | rho | 0.211*** (3.42) | -0.044 (-0.58) | 0.168*** (2.87) | 0.070 (1.08) |
R2 | 0.748 | 0.933 | 0.645 | 0.517 | Obs | 493 | 493 | 493 | 493 |
LogL | 451.898 | 682.340 | 357.587 | 338.463 |
Tab. 6
Results of dissecting space spillover effects by SDM model under period fixed effects"
变量 | 直接效应 | 间接效应 | 总效应 | 变量 | 直接效应 | 间接效应 | 总效应 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PCI | 0.313*** (6.17) | 0.308*** (2.58) | 0.621*** (4.49) | RDI | 0.108*** (5.73) | 0.370*** (5.95) | 0.478*** (7.17) |
RCL | 0.235*** (3.37) | -0.312 (-0.74) | -0.077*** (-4.96) | GSR | -0.059*** (-9.46) | -0.062*** (-5.50) | -0.121*** (-14.42) |
EDL | 0.103* (1.84) | 0.003*** (5.81) | 0.125*** (5.20) | PPG | -0.012*** (-3.13) | 0.001 (0.22) | -0.011*** (-3.78) |
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