Acta Geographica Sinica ›› 2019, Vol. 74 ›› Issue (10): 2027-2044.doi: 10.11821/dlxb201910006
• Rural Revitalization and Regional Development • Previous Articles Next Articles
ZHOU Liang1,2,CHE Lei3,ZHOU Chenghu2
Received:
2018-07-02
Revised:
2019-06-28
Online:
2019-10-25
Published:
2019-10-29
Supported by:
ZHOU Liang, CHE Lei, ZHOU Chenghu. Spatio-temporal evolution and influencing factors of urban green development efficiency in China[J].Acta Geographica Sinica, 2019, 74(10): 2027-2044.
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Tab. 1
The evaluation system of UGDE in China"
类型 | 一级 | 二级 | 三级 |
---|---|---|---|
投入 | 资本要素 | 固定资本存量 | 全社会固定资产投资总额 |
劳动力要素 | 单位从业人数 | 年末单位从业人数 | |
技术要素 | 专利授权量 | 各地专利申请授权数量 | |
资源要素 | 水、土、能源消费总量 | 供水总量、城市建成区面积、全社会用电量 | |
人工和天然气供气量、液化气供应量 | |||
产出 | 期望产出 | 经济效益 | 国内生产总值(2005年不变价) |
社会效益 | 城市职工平均工资、社会消费品零售总额 | ||
环境效益 | 城市绿地面积、绿地覆盖率、工业固体废物综合利用率 | ||
污水处理厂集中处理率、生活垃圾无害化处理率 | |||
非期望产出 | 环境污染 | 工业废水排放量、工业SO2排放量、工业烟尘排放量 |
Tab. 2
The spatial Markov transfer matrix of UGDE in China"
类型 | 2005-2008年 | 2008-2009年 | 2009-2015年 | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | ||||
1 | 1 | 0.847 | 0.097 | 0.028 | 0.028 | 0.762 | 0.119 | 0.071 | 0.048 | 0.844 | 0.131 | 0.010 | 0.015 | ||
2 | 0.292 | 0.477 | 0.200 | 0.031 | 0.190 | 0.238 | 0.476 | 0.095 | 0.202 | 0.551 | 0.191 | 0.056 | |||
3 | 0.167 | 0.250 | 0.417 | 0.167 | 0.167 | 0.417 | 0.250 | 0.167 | 0.000 | 0.275 | 0.625 | 0.100 | |||
4 | 0.111 | 0.111 | 0.222 | 0.556 | 0.222 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.778 | 0.034 | 0.052 | 0.190 | 0.724 | |||
2 | 1 | 0.674 | 0.304 | 0.022 | 0.000 | 0.357 | 0.500 | 0.071 | 0.071 | 0.805 | 0.161 | 0.011 | 0.023 | ||
2 | 0.250 | 0.515 | 0.176 | 0.059 | 0.154 | 0.346 | 0.385 | 0.115 | 0.167 | 0.592 | 0.225 | 0.017 | |||
3 | 0.118 | 0.196 | 0.549 | 0.137 | 0.045 | 0.091 | 0.500 | 0.364 | 0.016 | 0.203 | 0.626 | 0.154 | |||
4 | 0.000 | 0.043 | 0.087 | 0.870 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.222 | 0.778 | 0.010 | 0.051 | 0.153 | 0.786 | |||
3 | 1 | 0.740 | 0.260 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.455 | 0.364 | 0.091 | 0.091 | 0.692 | 0.282 | 0.013 | 0.013 | ||
2 | 0.280 | 0.480 | 0.200 | 0.040 | 0.176 | 0.294 | 0.471 | 0.059 | 0.130 | 0.652 | 0.174 | 0.043 | |||
3 | 0.082 | 0.219 | 0.548 | 0.151 | 0.077 | 0.231 | 0.308 | 0.385 | 0.017 | 0.182 | 0.645 | 0.157 | |||
4 | 0.019 | 0.074 | 0.148 | 0.759 | 0.000 | 0.100 | 0.200 | 0.700 | 0.009 | 0.026 | 0.183 | 0.783 | |||
4 | 1 | 0.833 | 0.133 | 0.033 | 0.000 | 0.600 | 0.400 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.838 | 0.162 | 0.000 | 0.000 | ||
2 | 0.207 | 0.517 | 0.241 | 0.034 | 0.056 | 0.389 | 0.556 | 0.000 | 0.120 | 0.652 | 0.163 | 0.065 | |||
3 | 0.049 | 0.246 | 0.557 | 0.148 | 0.000 | 0.111 | 0.500 | 0.389 | 0.010 | 0.286 | 0.480 | 0.224 | |||
4 | 0.000 | 0.010 | 0.237 | 0.753 | 0.000 | 0.042 | 0.042 | 0.917 | 0.000 | 0.031 | 0.221 | 0.748 |
Tab. 3
The estimation results of influencing factors of UGDE in China"
变量 | 模型(1) | Z值 | 模型(2) | Z值 | 模型(3) | Z值 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
人文社会因素 | rgdp | 0.025*** | 3.68 | 0.030*** | 4.20 | ||
rgdp2 | 0.013*** | 3.68 | 0.015*** | 4.20 | |||
is | 0.087* | 1.55 | 0.089* | 1.58 | |||
fdi | 0.007** | 2.07 | 0.005* | 1.50 | |||
te | -0.439*** | -6.64 | -0.453*** | -6.84 | |||
自然本底因素 | temp | 0.005** | 2.32 | 0.007*** | 3.21 | ||
pre | -0.004 | -0.67 | -0.001 | -0.40 | |||
eq | 0.0001 | 0.28 | 0.0004 | 0.38 | |||
ndvi | 0.119* | 1.67 | -0.027 | 1.01 | |||
C | 0.212*** | -3.71 | 0.723*** | -3.62 | 0.099*** | 1.01 | |
相关检验 | sigma_u | 0.181 | 0.187 | 0.178 | |||
sigma_e | 0.139 | 0.141 | 0.139 | ||||
rho | 0.628 | 0.638 | 0.621 | ||||
似然比检验 | 1305.72 | 1262.74 | 1312.67 |
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