Acta Geographica Sinica ›› 2019, Vol. 74 ›› Issue (7): 1374-1391.doi: 10.11821/dlxb201907008
• Climate Change and Surface Processes • Previous Articles Next Articles
XIONG Junnan1,2,LI Jin1,CHENG Weiming2(),ZHOU Chenghu2,GUO Liang3,4,ZHANG Xiaolei3,4,WANG Nan2,LI Wei1
Received:
2018-10-15
Revised:
2019-05-19
Online:
2019-07-25
Published:
2019-07-23
Contact:
CHENG Weiming
E-mail:chengwm@lreis.ac.cn
Supported by:
XIONG Junnan,LI Jin,CHENG Weiming,ZHOU Chenghu,GUO Liang,ZHANG Xiaolei,WANG Nan,LI Wei. Spatial-temporal distribution and the influencing factors of mountain flood disaster in southwest China[J].Acta Geographica Sinica, 2019, 74(7): 1374-1391.
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Tab. 1
Variation of SDE parameters of historic flash floods in southwest China from May to September
月份 | 5月 | 6月 | 7月 | 8月 | 9月 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
重心坐标 | 105°23′E | 104°26′E, | 103°45′E, | 102°41′E | 103°41′E |
27°37′N | 27°30′N | 27°45′N | 27°14′N | 28°16′N | |
移动方向 | - | 西 | 西 | 西南 | 东北 |
偏移距离(km) | 0 | 95.5 | 72.9 | 120.2 | 151.1 |
方向角度(°) | 52.534 | 50.344 | 43.683 | 36.972 | 41.331 |
长半轴(km) | 415.530 | 436.380 | 494.478 | 474.403 | 605.705 |
短半轴(km) | 275.807 | 315.182 | 302.194 | 288.856 | 227.662 |
Tab. 2
The parameter table of each variable in the logistic regression model
类型 | 变量 | β | S.E. | sig. | Exp(β) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
地表环境因子 | 地形起伏度 | -0.133 | 0.074 | 0.073 | 0.875 |
坡度 | -0.008 | 0.023 | 0.705 | 0.991 | |
高程标准差 | 0.102 | 0.066 | 0.120 | 1.108 | |
降雨因子 | 年均降雨量 | -0.104 | 0.035 | 0.003 | 0.901 |
M10 | -1.195 | 0.075 | 0.000 | 0.303 | |
M60 | 1.295 | 0.076 | 0.000 | 3.654 | |
H6 | 0.289 | 0.058 | 0.000 | 1.336 | |
H24 | -0.095 | 0.058 | 0.102 | 0.909 | |
人类活动因子 | GDP | 0.396 | 0.086 | 0.000 | 1.486 |
人口密度 | 0.232 | 0.040 | 0.000 | 1.262 | |
Constant | -0.788 | 0.236 | 0.001 | 0.455 |
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