Acta Geographica Sinica ›› 2018, Vol. 73 ›› Issue (2): 380-392.doi: 10.11821/dlxb201802012

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Modelling urban spatial impacts of land-use/transport policies

NIU Fangqu1,2(),WANG Fang3()   

  1. 1. Key Laboratory of Regional Sustainable Development Modeling, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, CAS, Beijing 100101, China
    2. Collaborative Innovation Center for Geopolitical Setting of Southwest China and Borderland Development, Kunming 650500, China
    3. School of Public Administration of Inner Mongolia University, Hohhot 010070, China
  • Received:2016-12-28 Online:2018-02-11 Published:2018-02-11
  • Supported by:
    National Key Research and Development Program, No.2016 YFC0503506;National Natural Science Foundation of China, No.41371536, Open Project Funding of Collaborative Innovation Center for Geopolitical Setting of Southwest China and Borderland Development

Abstract:

China is now experiencing rapid urbanizatioin. Powerful tools are required to assess its urban spatial policies toward a more competitive and sustainable development paradigm. This study develops a Land Use Transport Interaction (LUTI) model to evaluate the urban activity impacts of urban land-use policies. The model consists of four sub-models, i.e., transport, residential location, employment location and real estate rent. It is then applied to Beijing metropolitan area to forecast the urban activity evolution trend based on the land use policies between 2009 and 2013. The modeling results show that more and more residents and employers in the city choose to stay in the outskirts, and new centers have gradually emerged to share the services originally delivered by central Beijing. The general trend verifies the objectives of the government plan to develop more sub-centers around Beijing. The proposed activity-based model provides a distinct tool for the urban spatial policy makers in China. Further research is also discussed in the end.

Key words: model/simulation, LUTI, accessibility, urban activity, policy scenario