珠三角快速城镇化地区发展的增长与收缩新现象

doi:10.11821/dlxb201710006

Abstract

Abstract:

The Pearl River Delta (PRD), a typical area of rapid urbanization with Dongguan as its most representative case of the 'exo-urbanization' model, has thus long been attracting scholarly attention. However, after the financial crisis in 2008, a new spatial phenomenon has emerged in Dongguan, with overall growth and partial shrinkage taking place in the same city area. As the Chinese economy steps into a state of New Normal, partial shrinkage during a process of rapid urbanization has kindled heated debate. Starting from the vacancy phenomenon caused by the outflow of development factors, this paper has integrated three analytical dimensions, i.e., economy, population, and land, to put forward a framework for understanding urban growth and shrinkage. Four types of towns have been identified in Dongguan, featuring, respectively, continuous growth, resurgent growth, moderate shrinkage, and continuous shrinkage. Moreover, time trajectory and spatial pattern of growing and shrinking have been investigated to account for the distribution characteristic of urban growth and shrinkage. Then, through probing the shocks of economic crisis, Lewisian turning point, path dependence existence and institutional arrangement, we have analyzed the mechanisms of urban growth and shrinkage amid rapid urbanization in Dongguan. Conclusions and avenues for future research are discussed in the last section.

Key words: urbanization, shrinking city, spatial pattern, Pearl River Delta, Dongguan

Zhiwei DU, Xun LI. Growth or shrinkage: New phenomena of regional development in the rapidly-urbanising Pearl River Delta[J].Acta Geographica Sinica, 2017, 72(10): 1800-1811.

Figures/Tables 6

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城镇类型	主要特征	所属城镇
持续增长	通过传统制造业与现代服务业结合,或推动先进制造业升级,不断吸引资本要素和人口要素的流入,实现了经济、人口和用地三者良性循环;	松山湖、东城街道、南城街道、虎门镇、麻涌镇、厚街镇、大朗镇、谢岗镇、东坑镇
转型增长	受到金融危机影响出现人口收缩,通过“机器换人”和技术创新的方式,推动劳动密集型产业转型升级,实现了经济的重新增长;	长安镇、寮步镇、沙田镇、凤岗镇、桥头镇
潜在收缩	主导产业处于比较劣势,缺乏明确的城镇转型方向路径,虽然城镇人口数量保持稳定,但经济指标持续下滑面临着收缩的风险;	常平镇、清溪镇、横沥镇、企石镇、石排镇、石龙镇、石碣镇、洪梅镇、莞城街道、万江街道
显著收缩	城镇原有经济与人口基础较薄弱,金融危机冲击过后城镇收缩凸显,在经济指标低增速的同时,人口数量持续出现负增长。	望牛墩镇、道滘镇、中堂镇、高埗镇、茶山镇、大岭山镇、黄江镇、塘厦镇、樟木头镇

Growth or shrinkage: New phenomena of regional development in the rapidly-urbanising Pearl River Delta

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