Acta Geographica Sinica ›› 2016, Vol. 71 ›› Issue (2): 304-.doi: 10.11821/dlxb201602010
• Tourism Geography • Previous Articles Next Articles
Shaopai LIU1,2(), Jipeng TIAN2, Lin LU1(
)
Received:
2015-01-07
Revised:
2015-02-08
Online:
2016-02-15
Published:
2016-02-15
Supported by:
Shaopai LIU, Jipeng TIAN, Lin LU. A case study of Shanghai Disneyland on spatial structure forecast for proposed scenic spot market: Modification and its application of gravity model[J].Acta Geographica Sinica, 2016, 71(2): 304-.
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Tab. 1
Tourist population, willingness to Shanghai Disneyland, GDP per capita and spherical distance to Shanghai for each province in China
省,市,区 | 旅游人口(万人次) | 对上海迪士尼出游意愿(百度指数%) | 人均GDP(元) | 到上海球面距离 (km) |
---|---|---|---|---|
上海 | 4467 | 20.9 | 85033 | 0 |
浙江 | 6782 | 12.8 | 63266 | 169.1 |
江苏 | 7932 | 13.5 | 68347 | 266.2 |
安徽 | 4661 | 8.9 | 28792 | 402.3 |
江西 | 2385 | 6.8 | 28799 | 610.8 |
福建 | 4265 | 8.5 | 52763 | 611.0 |
湖北 | 6297 | 8.5 | 38572 | 683.7 |
山东 | 8717 | 9.8 | 51768 | 728.9 |
河南 | 6441 | 9.1 | 31723 | 826.6 |
湖南 | 8179 | 7.1 | 33480 | 886.4 |
天津 | 2399 | 8.0 | 93110 | 962.8 |
河北 | 5096 | 8.4 | 36584 | 991.2 |
北京 | 4296 | 10.7 | 87091 | 1064.7 |
山西 | 2289 | 7.3 | 33628 | 1099.4 |
辽宁 | 5386 | 8.0 | 56547 | 1190.9 |
广东 | 14266 | 10.9 | 54095 | 1213.3 |
陕西 | 5052 | 7.6 | 38557 | 1223.2 |
内蒙古 | 1954 | 4.2 | 64319 | 1374.3 |
吉林 | 2005 | 6.4 | 43412 | 1444.4 |
重庆 | 3805 | 4.8 | 39083 | 1445.3 |
贵州 | 3077 | 3.4 | 19566 | 1527.5 |
青海 | 427 | 0.6 | 33023 | 1595.2 |
广西 | 3367 | 5.4 | 27943 | 1602.9 |
海南 | 712 | 2.4 | 32374 | 1630.5 |
四川 | 9120 | 7.4 | 29579 | 1659.0 |
黑龙江 | 2693 | 6.8 | 35711 | 1675.1 |
甘肃 | 3192 | 3.5 | 21978 | 1717.9 |
宁夏 | 393 | 1.4 | 36166 | 1912.8 |
云南 | 4259 | 4.3 | 22195 | 1950.0 |
新疆 | 1942 | 3.5 | 33796 | 3268.8 |
Tab. 2
Tourist population, willingness to Shanghai Disneyland, GDP per capita and spherical distance to Shanghai for 39 major cities in China
城市 | 旅游人口(万人次) | 对上海迪士尼出游意愿(百度指数%) | 人均GDP(元) | 到上海球面距离(km) |
---|---|---|---|---|
上海 | 4467 | 20.9 | 85033 | 0 |
苏州 | 697 | 8.4 | 114029 | 82.3 |
宁波 | 613 | 6.5 | 114065 | 94.4 |
无锡 | 488 | 6.4 | 117357 | 118.2 |
杭州 | 870 | 9.1 | 111758 | 169.1 |
南京 | 618 | 8.2 | 88525 | 266.2 |
合肥 | 512 | 6.4 | 55182 | 402.3 |
青岛 | 758 | 4.6 | 82680 | 553.2 |
南昌 | 265 | 4.9 | 58715 | 610.8 |
福州 | 729 | 5.7 | 58202 | 611.0 |
武汉 | 918 | 7.1 | 79482 | 683.7 |
济南 | 569 | 6.5 | 69444 | 728.9 |
厦门 | 246 | 4.3 | 77340 | 823.8 |
郑州 | 750 | 7.2 | 62054 | 826.6 |
大连 | 673 | 4.7 | 102922 | 855.2 |
长沙 | 804 | 5.0 | 89903 | 886.4 |
天津 | 2399 | 8.0 | 93173 | 962.8 |
石家庄 | 554 | 4.9 | 53381 | 991.2 |
北京 | 4296 | 10.7 | 87475 | 1064.7 |
太原 | 263 | 4.8 | 54440 | 1099.4 |
沈阳 | 927 | 4.4 | 80480 | 1190.9 |
深圳 | 625 | 6.8 | 123247 | 1209.2 |
广州 | 1293 | 8.0 | 105909 | 1213.3 |
西安 | 1371 | 6.8 | 51166 | 1223.2 |
珠海 | 161 | 1.6 | 95471 | 1266.8 |
桂林 | 213 | 1.0 | 30849 | 1279.9 |
呼和浩特 | 179 | 2.8 | 83906 | 1374.3 |
长春 | 556 | 4.7 | 58691 | 1444.4 |
重庆 | 3805 | 4.8 | 38914 | 1445.3 |
贵阳 | 474 | 2.3 | 38673 | 1527.5 |
西宁 | 147 | 0.5 | 38034 | 1595.2 |
南宁 | 479 | 3.1 | 37016 | 1602.9 |
海口 | 164 | 2.2 | 38633 | 1630.5 |
成都 | 1355 | 6.0 | 57624 | 1659.0 |
哈尔滨 | 651 | 5.0 | 45810 | 1675.1 |
兰州 | 453 | 2.1 | 43175 | 1717.9 |
银川 | 108 | 1.3 | 54053 | 1912.8 |
昆明 | 543 | 3.4 | 46256 | 1950.0 |
乌鲁木齐 | 214 | 2.7 | 59576 | 3268.8 |
Tab. 3
Consumption per capita of mainland tourists in Hong Kong Disneyland and GDP per capita in China from 2008 to 2013
年份 | 2008年 | 2009年 | 2010年 | 2011年 | 2012年 | 2013年 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
香港迪士尼乐园游客总人次(百万) | 4.5 | 4.6 | 5.2 | 5.9 | 6.7 | 7.4 |
香港迪士尼乐园营业总收入(亿港元) | 25.68 | 25.41 | 30.13 | 36.3 | 42.72 | 48.96 |
香港迪士尼乐园人均花费(港元) | 570.67 | 552.39 | 579.42 | 615.25 | 637.61 | 661.62 |
港元对人民币的汇率 | 0.8802 | 0.8805 | 0.8509 | 0.8107 | 0.8108 | 0.7862 |
香港迪士尼乐园人均花费(元) | 503.27 | 486.38 | 493.03 | 498.79 | 516.98 | 520.17 |
中国内地人均GDP(元) | 23708 | 25608 | 30015 | 35198 | 38459 | 41908 |
Tab. 5
Spatial distribution of mainland tourists to Hong Kong Disneyland from 2010 to 2013
省,市,区 | 2010年(%) | 2011年(%) | 2012年 (%) | 2013年(%) | 到香港的球面距离(km) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
广东 | 66.17 | 45.68 | 34.80 | 32.07 | 132.0 |
海南 | 0.00 | 0.61 | 0.55 | 0.43 | 443.8 |
广西 | 0.50 | 0.49 | 1.10 | 1.59 | 601.6 |
湖南 | 1.49 | 1.71 | 1.47 | 2.13 | 664.6 |
福建 | 2.49 | 3.65 | 4.03 | 5.24 | 669.2 |
江西 | 1.00 | 0.24 | 1.10 | 0.91 | 730.0 |
贵州 | 0.00 | 0.73 | 0.55 | 0.43 | 893.1 |
湖北 | 2.98 | 2.67 | 2.29 | 4.70 | 925.0 |
浙江 | 2.98 | 3.17 | 4.57 | 4.76 | 1064.5 |
安徽 | 0.00 | 0.37 | 1.28 | 1.95 | 1106.1 |
重庆 | 1.49 | 0.97 | 1.10 | 2.20 | 1108.3 |
江苏 | 2.98 | 1.95 | 4.49 | 4.21 | 1176.2 |
云南 | 1.00 | 1.22 | 0.82 | 0.98 | 1189.4 |
上海 | 4.47 | 8.53 | 14.38 | 9.82 | 1229.8 |
四川 | 0.50 | 2.67 | 3.01 | 2.68 | 1365.9 |
河南 | 0.00 | 1.83 | 1.74 | 1.89 | 1390.7 |
陕西 | 0.50 | 1.83 | 0.92 | 1.89 | 1426.4 |
山东 | 0.00 | 1.83 | 0.82 | 2.01 | 1617.0 |
山西 | 0.50 | 0.49 | 0.46 | 0.43 | 1737.7 |
河北 | 0.00 | 0.49 | 0.92 | 1.34 | 1749.7 |
甘肃 | 0.50 | 0.24 | 0.46 | 0.00 | 1826.8 |
天津 | 1.00 | 2.43 | 2.29 | 2.62 | 1895.4 |
宁夏 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.18 | 1935.4 |
北京 | 4.47 | 12.66 | 13.82 | 10.67 | 1969.1 |
青海 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1992.2 |
内蒙古 | 0.50 | 0.24 | 0.18 | 0.30 | 2070.9 |
辽宁 | 2.98 | 1.95 | 1.47 | 1.83 | 2336.2 |
西藏 | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.09 | 0.00 | 2435.2 |
吉林 | 0.00 | 0.37 | 0.46 | 1.16 | 2607.7 |
黑龙江 | 0.50 | 0.37 | 0.37 | 0.91 | 2842.8 |
新疆 | 1.00 | 0.49 | 0.46 | 0.67 | 3413.0 |
Tab. 6
Segmentation of mainland tourists to Hong Kong Disneyland by different distances from 2010 to 2013
内地各省会城市到香港的球面距离( | 香港迪士尼乐园内地客源市场分割(p) | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
2010年 | 2011年 | 2012年 | 2013年 | |
200 | 0.662 | 0.457 | 0.348 | 0.321 |
500 | 0.662 | 0.463 | 0.353 | 0.325 |
1000 | 0.746 | 0.558 | 0.459 | 0.475 |
2000 | 0.950 | 0.965 | 0.970 | 0.951 |
3000 | 0.990 | 0.995 | 0.995 | 0.993 |
3500 | 1.000 | 1.000 | 1.000 | 1.000 |
Tab. 8
Spatial distribution of domestic tourists to Shanghai from 2008 to 2009
省,市,区 | 2008年(%) | 2009年(%) | 省,市,区 | 2008年(%) | 2009年 (%) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
上海 | 28.75 | 31.30 | 广东 | 2.85 | 3.29 |
浙江 | 12.83 | 11.10 | 陕西 | 0.93 | 0.68 |
江苏 | 17.81 | 18.42 | 内蒙古 | 0.50 | 0.34 |
安徽 | 6.48 | 7.12 | 吉林 | 0.57 | 0.34 |
江西 | 3.28 | 2.88 | 重庆 | 0.71 | 0.96 |
福建 | 2.71 | 1.85 | 贵州 | 0.78 | 1.30 |
湖北 | 2.71 | 2.47 | 青海 | 0.00 | 0.07 |
山东 | 2.98 | 2.19 | 广西 | 1.00 | 1.23 |
河南 | 2.64 | 3.01 | 海南 | 0.29 | 0.14 |
湖南 | 2.85 | 2.88 | 四川 | 2.00 | 1.78 |
天津 | 0.64 | 0.55 | 黑龙江 | 0.57 | 0.48 |
河北 | 0.93 | 0.68 | 甘肃 | 0.50 | 0.48 |
北京 | 1.78 | 1.44 | 宁夏 | 0.14 | 0.21 |
山西 | 1.21 | 0.89 | 云南 | 0.64 | 0.89 |
辽宁 | 0.71 | 0.55 | 新疆 | 0.21 | 0.48 |
Tab. 10
Consumption per capita of domestic tourists in Shanghai and GDP per capita in China from 2000 to 2009
年份 | 2000年 | 2001年 | 2002年 | 2003年 | 2004年 | 2005年 | 2006年 | 2007年 | 2008年 | 2009年 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
上海国内游客人均花费(元) | 1248 | 1223 | 1134 | 1465 | 1430 | 1452 | 1466 | 1578 | 1465 | 1548 |
中国人均GDP(元) | 7858 | 8622 | 9398 | 10542 | 12336 | 14185 | 16500 | 20169 | 23708 | 25608 |
Tab. 11
Total population, tourist population, willingness to Shanghai, GDP per capita of each province in China from 2008 to 2009
省,市,区 | 2008年总人口(万人) | 2009年总人口(万人) | 2008年旅游人口(万人次) | 2009年旅游人口(万人次) | 对上海出游意愿(百度指数%) | 2008年人均GDP(元) | 2009年人均GDP(元) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
上海 | 2141 | 2210 | 3704 | 3791 | 67.7 | 66932 | 69164 |
浙江 | 5212 | 5276 | 6175 | 6262 | 31.9 | 41405 | 43842 |
江苏 | 7762 | 7810 | 7867 | 7901 | 30.8 | 40014 | 44253 |
安徽 | 6135 | 6131 | 4635 | 4670 | 12.8 | 14448 | 16408 |
江西 | 4400 | 4432 | 2269 | 2303 | 10.5 | 15900 | 17335 |
福建 | 3639 | 3666 | 4110 | 4145 | 14.2 | 29755 | 33437 |
湖北 | 5711 | 5720 | 6079 | 6102 | 12.3 | 19858 | 22677 |
山东 | 9417 | 9470 | 8185 | 8275 | 16.9 | 32936 | 35894 |
河南 | 9429 | 9487 | 6408 | 6445 | 13.7 | 19181 | 20597 |
湖南 | 6380 | 6406 | 7769 | 7670 | 11.2 | 18147 | 20428 |
天津 | 1176 | 1228 | 1939 | 2036 | 11.7 | 58656 | 62574 |
河北 | 6989 | 7034 | 4659 | 4775 | 12.8 | 22986 | 24581 |
北京 | 1771 | 1860 | 3510 | 3649 | 21.4 | 64491 | 66940 |
山西 | 3411 | 3427 | 2095 | 2115 | 10.8 | 21506 | 21522 |
辽宁 | 4315 | 4341 | 5098 | 5129 | 14.1 | 31739 | 35149 |
广东 | 9893 | 10130 | 2392 | 12566 | 17.9 | 37638 | 39436 |
陕西 | 3718 | 3727 | 4534 | 4636 | 11.5 | 19700 | 21947 |
内蒙古 | 2444 | 2458 | 1895 | 1911 | 9.1 | 34869 | 39735 |
吉林 | 2734 | 2740 | 1994 | 1999 | 10.7 | 23521 | 26595 |
重庆 | 2839 | 2859 | 3484 | 3552 | 9.3 | 20490 | 22920 |
贵州 | 3596 | 3537 | 2749 | 2748 | 8.4 | 9855 | 10971 |
青海 | 554 | 557 | 411 | 413 | 3.1 | 18421 | 19454 |
广西 | 4816 | 4856 | 3215 | 3290 | 9.3 | 14652 | 16045 |
海南 | 854 | 864 | 672 | 684 | 6.7 | 17691 | 19254 |
四川 | 8138 | 8185 | 8839 | 8965 | 11.5 | 15495 | 17339 |
黑龙江 | 3825 | 3826 | 2658 | 2660 | 10.9 | 21740 | 22447 |
甘肃 | 2551 | 2555 | 3046 | 3059 | 8.0 | 12421 | 13269 |
宁夏 | 618 | 625 | 360 | 367 | 5.0 | 19609 | 21777 |
云南 | 4543 | 4571 | 3927 | 3987 | 8.5 | 12570 | 13539 |
新疆 | 2131 | 2159 | 1860 | 1885 | 7.8 | 19797 | 19942 |
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