中国粮食生产碳排放动态演进及驱动效应
张青青, 曲衍波, 展凌云, 苏德胜, 韦川辰

Dynamic evolution and driving effects of carbon emissions from grain production in China
ZHANG Qingqing, QU Yanbo, ZHAN Lingyun, SU Desheng, WEI Chuanchen
表5 分区域效应分解
Tab. 5 Decomposition of subregional effect
变量 主产区 主销区 产销平衡区
直接效应 间接效应 直接效应 间接效应 直接效应 间接效应
EG 0.0018
(1.40)		 -0.0004
(-0.18)		 -0.0006
(-2.02)		 -0.0008
(-2.54)		 -0.0006
(-0.31)		 0.0119
(1.50)
TAOV - - 0.0207*
(1.65)		 0.0307
(1.45)		 0.3359***
(14.87)		 -0.2312***
(-2.82)
RES -11.7711***
(-2.72)		 31.7285***
(3.55)		 -5.3779**
(-1.57)		 4.8057**
(0.89)		 -13.0367***
(-2.74)		 46.1485***
(3.97)
GFI 6.4114
(1.30)		 10.2832
(1.09)		 2.1765
(1.31)		 0.6488
(0.23)		 - -
AID - - - - 0.0180
(0.96)		 -0.2084***
(-3.21)
FC -0.0311*
(-1.11)		 0.0984***
(3.41)		 - - -0.0248*
(-0.73)		 -0.1113**
(-1.98)
IG 46.7902
(1.04)		 129.3354
(1.25)		 9.8614
(0.46)		 56.6290
(1.86)		 12.6662
(1.00)		 -47.7325
(-0.76)
NAI -1.8931*
(-2.93)		 8.2315**
(2.55)		 -0.4092
(-0.70)		 -4.6811***
(-6.75)		 0.7816
(0.73)		 3.7739
(0.86)
LST -22.8996**
(-2.46)		 31.8371**
(1.50)		 -4.1095
(-1.24)		 -3.7142
(-0.94)		 -13.2169**
(-1.62)		 133.1993***
(4.11)
ITL -23.6301
(-0.74)		 24.9214
(0.43)		 - - -14.8211
(-0.86)		 10.3733
(-0.18)
STI -0.1871***
(-4.44)		 0.1791***
(2.87)		 - - - -
TRP 0.2417***
(6.61)		 0.1925
(1.57)		 0.0056
(0.38)		 -0.0176
(-0.82)		 0.4282***
(6.41)		 0.0488
(0.57)
PD 7.3935***
(2.89)		 -9.7461
(-1.55)		 -2.6106***
(-3.06)		 -0.5226
(-0.35)		 3.1176
(0.75)		 17.6796***
(2.90)
RA -19.4179***
(-5.28)		 -0.8790
(-0.10)		 -1.1176*
(-1.69)		 0.1424
(0.17)		 -1.9680*
(-1.79)		 -15.5187
(-1.31)
UB 0.4190
(0.39)		 -0.1931
(-0.13)		 -0.2149
(-0.37)		 -0.8702
(-1.05)		 -0.9621
(-1.44)		 -3.9512**
(-2.38)
APS -8.5440***
(-3.95)		 -18.4176***
(-3.70)		 -1.1756***
(-2.84)		 -1.2379**
(-2.23)		 -7.2307***
(-3.36)		 -12.5795*
(-1.72)
TGO 0.3584***
(18.52)		 -0.1640***
(-4.35)		 0.3850***
(12.79)		 -0.0922*
(-1.87)		 0.6825***
(8.49)		 -0.0980*
(-1.37)
ND - - - - 2.3395***
(5.90)		 1.0089
(0.94)