1990—2020年中国耕地景观细碎化演变特征与趋势预判

刘晶, 金晓斌, 徐伟义, 王世磊, 周寅康

Characteristic evolution and trend prediction of cultivated land landscape fragmentation in China from 1990 to 2020

LIU Jing, JIN Xiaobin, XU Weiyi, WANG Shilei, ZHOU Yinkang

表6 1990—2020年中国县域耕地景观细碎化的空间马尔可夫概率转移矩阵

Tab. 6 Spatial Markov probability transfer matrix of farmland landscape fragmentation at county level in China from 1990 to 2020

t t+1 空间滞后 n 1 2 3 4 5 1 1 9705 0.9695 0.0305 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 2 3415 0.0231 0.969 0.0079 0.0000 0.0000 3 230 0.0000 0.0591 0.9322 0.0087 0.0000 4 11 0.0000 0.0000 0.0909 0.9091 0.0000 5 0 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 1 2 715 0.8727 0.1245 0.0028 0.0000 0.0000 2 11917 0.0095 0.9521 0.0384 0.0000 0.0000 3 4860 0.0000 0.0430 0.9467 0.0103 0.0000 4 384 0.0000 0.0000 0.0644 0.9349 0.0052 5 11 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0909 0.9091 1 3 29 0.7241 0.1725 0.1034 0.0000 0.0000 2 1513 0.0053 0.8863 0.1084 0.0000 0.0000 3 16181 0.0002 0.0146 0.9519 0.0333 0.0000 4 4908 0.0000 0.0002 0.044 0.9544 0.0014 5 61 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0656 0.9344 1 4 89 0.7079 0.2337 0.0584 0.0000 0.0000 2 92 0.0543 0.7717 0.1523 0.0217 0.0000 3 1864 0.0048 0.0107 0.8718 0.1127 0.0000 4 18409 0.0007 0.0003 0.0171 0.9708 0.0111 5 967 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0601 0.9399 1 5 5 0.4000 0.378 0.0220 0.2000 0.0000 2 15 0.0000 0.6315 0.3685 0.0000 0.0000 3 31 0.0000 0.0032 0.8700 0.1268 0.0000 4 3456 0.0006 0.0000 0.0035 0.9853 0.0706 5 6940 0.0001 0.0000 0.0000 0.0568 0.9431