京津冀地区旅游经济增长的时空演化及影响因素
崔丹, 李沅曦, 吴殿廷

Spatiotemporal evolution and influencing factors of tourism economic growth in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region
CUI Dan, LI Yuanxi, WU Dianting
表3 京津冀地区旅游经济增长影响因素的多元线性回归模型及结果
Tab. 3 The multiple linear regression models and results of the factors affecting the tourism economic growth in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region
自变量 京津冀地区
(模型1)
核心枢纽和旅游区域中心城市(模型2) 旅游节点城市
(模型3)
OLS FGLS OLS FGLS OLS FGLS
Pgdp 0.2188
(1.14)
0.1568**
(2.11)
0.2157
(0.47)
0.1713
(0.90)
0.1888
(0.95)
0.0666
(0.81)
Pop -0.1030
(-0.66)
-0.1076
(-1.39)
0.1432
(0.44)
0.0205
(0.13)
-0.4933**
(-2.50)
-0.3569***
(-3.78)
Lcost -0.0846
(-0.43)
-0.0965
(-1.21)
0.0009
(0.00)
0.2839
(1.03)
-0.2745
(-1.22)
-0.2439*
(-1.82)
Scenic -0.2171
(-1.12)
-0.1880**
(-2.50)
-0.5152
(-1.01)
-0.6971***
(-2.93)
-0.0750
(-0.46)
-0.0385
(-0.51)
Retn 0.2095
(1.01)
0.1597**
(2.20)
0.2828
(0.60)
0.5133**
(2.34)
0.0530
(0.46)
0.0778**
(2.03)
Highr 0.0923
(1.11)
0.0722**
(1.96)
0.1665
(0.60)
0.0654
(0.47)
0.1948
(1.58)
0.1548***
(2.75)
Road 0.0014
(0.01)
-0.0570
(-1.17)
-0.0225
(-0.07)
-0.1541
(-1.22)
0.3017
(1.52)
0.2223***
(2.64)
Taxi -0.1552
(-0.56)
-0.0424
(-0.58)
-0.1681
(-0.30)
-0.1671
(-0.72)
0.1565
(1.19)
0.1466***
(2.92)
Policy 0.2086**
(2.33)
0.1609***
(3.77)
0.1511
(1.01)
0.0862
(1.19)
0.2242*
(1.90)
0.2007**
(1.98)
Activity 0.1059
(1.35)
0.1516***
(3.19)
0.1274
(0.92)
0.1241*
(1.74)
0.1050
(1.07)
0.1457*
(1.88)
PM 0.0423
(0.54)
0.0524
(1.63)
-0.0142
(-0.08)
0.2155**
(2.05)
0.1867*
(1.69)
0.1481**
(2.53)
Constant -1.62×10-8
(-0.00)
-0.0601
(-0.78)
-5.66×10-8
(-0.00)
-0.1467
(-1.09)
3.04×10-8
(0.00)
-0.0049
(-0.04)
LM test 0.00 0.00 0.00
Hausman test 13.79 4.40 6.34
Modified Wald
statistic test
329.74*** 386.88*** 36.66***
LR test 63.70*** 42.27*** 25.97***
Wooldridge test 10.80*** 0.06 26.70***
Pesaran test 22.50*** 8.83*** 12.74***
Friedman test 115.26*** 49.45*** 65.84**
Frees test 0.58 0.64 0.55
Wald chi2/F值 26.17*** 121.19*** 6.86 39.21*** 22.34** 54.31***
观测量 247 247 95 95 152 152
城市数 13 13 5 5 8 8