中国省际高技能人才迁移的时空演化机制
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古恒宇, 沈体雁
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Spatio-temporal evolution mechanism of China's internal skilled migration
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GU Hengyu, SHEN Tiyan
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表3 中国省际高技能人才迁移Hurdle引力模型、空间Hurdle引力模型结果
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Tab. 3 Results of internal skilled migration in China from Hurdle gravity model and ESF Hurdle gravity model
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| 变量 | （1）Hurdle引力模型 | | （2）空间Hurdle引力模型 | | Logistic | Negative Binomial | Logistic | Negative Binomial | | POPi | 1.072*** (0.084) | 0.361*** (0.046) | | 1.008*** (0.091) | 0.330*** (0.047) | | POPj | 0.392*** (0.090) | 0.525*** (0.038) | 0.395*** (0.094) | 0.522*** (0.038) | | Dij | -1.423*** (0.123) | -0.617*** (0.045) | -1.471*** (0.157) | -0.439*** (0.048) | | WAGEj | 2.526*** (0.319) | 1.585*** (0.155) | 2.395*** (0.325) | 1.543*** (0.157) | | GDPGi | -0.029 (0.022) | -0.007 (0.011) | -0.022 (0.023) | -0.007 (0.010) | | GDPGj | 0.016 (0.023) | -0.001 (0.009) | 0.003 (0.024) | 0.001 (0.009) | | HTECi | -0.017 (0.025) | -0.005 (0.010) | -0.011 (0.026) | 0.001 (0.010) | | HTECj | 0.140*** (0.026) | 0.037*** (0.011) | 0.127*** (0.028) | 0.032*** (0.010) | | TEMPi | 0.003 (0.010) | 0.013*** (0.004) | 0.001 (0.011) | 0.008* (0.004) | | TEMPj | -0.085*** (0.011) | -0.031*** (0.005) | -0.084*** (0.012) | -0.029*** (0.005) | | AIRi | -0.025 (0.146) | -0.069 (0.059) | 0.006 (0.152) | 0.000 (0.061) | | AIRj | 0.489*** (0.129) | -0.133* (0.070) | 0.423*** (0.137) | -0.119* (0.067) | | EDUi | 1.359*** (0.405) | 0.037 (0.180) | 1.348*** (0.423) | 0.110 (0.170) | | EDUj | 1.056*** (0.394) | 0.288* (0.157) | 1.037** (0.407) | 0.347** (0.152) | | HEALTHi | 0.391*** (0.098) | 0.059 (0.041) | 0.416*** (0.105) | 0.120*** (0.042) | | HEALTHi | 0.687*** (0.118) | 0.253*** (0.050) | 0.750*** (0.124) | 0.245*** (0.047) | | GREENi | 0.210** (0.106) | 0.159*** (0.050) | 0.181* (0.109) | 0.138*** (0.045) | | GREENj | 0.301*** (0.087) | 0.184*** (0.044) | 0.348*** (0.091) | 0.178*** (0.043) | | SOCIALij | 0.066*** (0.013) | 0.028*** (0.005) | 0.059*** (0.013) | 0.024*** (0.004) | | COLi | 0.039*** (0.014) | 0.014** (0.007) | 0.041*** (0.015) | 0.016*** (0.006) | | COLj | 0.023* (0.013) | 0.022*** (0.006) | 0.021 (0.014) | 0.025*** (0.006) | | DENSi | 0.060 (0.052) | -0.022 (0.031) | 0.044 (0.060) | -0.060** (0.030) | | DENSj | -0.203*** (0.055) | -0.086*** (0.033) | -0.244*** (0.063) | -0.103*** (0.030) | | year1 | 4.528*** (0.521) | 1.662*** (0.290) | 4.356*** (0.557) | 1.653*** (0.293) | | year2 | 3.076*** (0.290) | 1.432*** (0.132) | 3.030*** (0.309) | 1.443*** (0.137) | | Constant | -67.089*** (6.321) | -25.031*** (2.481) | -63.785*** (6.731) | -26.551*** (2.463) | | 空间滤波 | No | | Yes | | AIC | 32587.11 | 32502.56 | | Moran's I in Res. | 0.124*** | 0.044*** | | lnα | -0.820*** | -0.897*** | | 伪对数似然值 | -16240.556 | -16142.282 | | 样本量 | 2790 | 2790 |
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