1928—2017年南京城市户籍人口时空格局演变

徐旳, 徐彦

Spatio-temporal pattern of registered population in Nanjing from 1928 to 2017

XU Di, XU Yan

表5 1928—2017年单中心人口密度模型拟合结果对比

Tab. 5 Comparison of the fitting results of population density model from 1928 to 2017

年份 Clark模型 Smeed模型 Newling模型 R2 F检验 a b R2 F检验 a b R2 F检验 1928 - 15.802 24737.69 -1.38×10-4 - 14.963 6.51×104 -0.172 - - 1936 0.393 83.870 74343.61 -3.46×10-4 - 56.447 4.95×105 -0.369 0.389 55.698 1949 - 28.983 32313.02 -1.22×10-4 - 25.379 6.51×104 -0.172 - - 1953 - 47.886 35309.42 -1.04×10-4 - 25.379 1.28×105 -0.233 - - 1965 0.403 99.135 41421.89 -1.27×10-4 0.396 81.422 9.32×104 -0.166 0.301 21.914 1982 0.508 105.661 44440.94 -1.07×10-4 0.356 80.938 3.54×106 -0.604 0.441 32.132 1990 0.598 123.829 40004.44 -1.28×10-4 0.388 97.214 9.84×106 -0.750 0.579 46.860 2000 0.565 114.877 30416.01 -1.29×10-4 0.348 78.284 4.03×106 -0.676 0.567 46.942 2010 0.534 109.441 29313.76 -1.42×10-4 0.307 57.713 8.79×105 -0.518 0.324 40.553 2017 0.644 130.435 45374.13 -2.16×10-4 0.494 79.797 4.51×106 -0.689 0.498 32.840