交通通达性对中国城市增长趋同影响的空间计量分析
|
|
殷江滨, 黄晓燕, 洪国志, 曹小曙, 高兴川
|
The effect of transport accessibility on urban growth convergence in China: A spatial econometric analysis
|
|
Jiangbin YIN, Xiaoyan HUANG, Guozhi HONG, Xiaoshu CAO, Xingchuan GAO
|
|
| 表1 1990-2012年全国层面城市绝对趋同的模型估计结果对比 |
| Tab. 1 Estimation results of absolute convergence of cities at the national level |
|
| 1990-2000年 | | 2001-2012年 | | OLS | | SLM | SEM | OLS | SLM | SEM | | λ/ρ | | 0.525*** | 0.548*** | | | 0.462*** | 0.517** | | C | 2.387*** | 1.696*** | 2.652*** | 3.437*** | 2.627*** | 3.538*** | | Ln(yt) | -0.111*** | -0.125*** | -0.144*** | -0.205*** | -0.193*** | -0.214*** | | R2 | 0.034 | 0.108 | 0.119 | 0.139 | 0.199 | 0.212 | | Log likelihood | -121.658 | -113.742 | -112.323 | -98.504 | -90.841 | -89.177 | | AIC | 247.315 | 233.484 | 228.645 | 201.008 | 187.682 | 182.354 | | SC | 254.534 | 244.312 | 235.864 | 208.227 | 198.511 | 189.573 | | 趋同速度(%) | 1.18 | 1.33 | 1.56 | 2.29 | 2.14 | 2.41 | | 半程趋同时间(年) | 59.00 | 52.00 | 45.00 | 33.00 | 35.00 | 32.00 | | Moran's I | 0.111 | | | 0.121 | | | | LMLAG | 19.725*** | | | 21.596*** | | | | R_LALAG | 5.892** | | | 0.561 | | | | LMERR | 25.144*** | | | 29.833*** | | | | R_LMERR | 11.311*** | | | 8.797*** | | |
|
|
|