中欧班列开通对中国沿线城市出口贸易的影响及机制检验

赵明亮, 刘钦香, 孙威, 高沙尔·吾拉孜

The impact of the opening of China Railway Express on the export trade of cities along the rail line in China and the mechanism test

ZHAO Mingliang, LIU Qinxiang, SUN Wei, WULAZI Gaoshaer

表6 中间机制检验及进一步分析结果

Tab. 6 Intermediate mechanism test and further analysis results

市场化水平 运输时间成本节约 中心区域 外围区域 (1) market (2) lex (3) cost (4) lex (5) lex (6) lex (7) lex (8) lex Treat×Post 0.267*** 0.088 0.709*** 0.239 (4.95) (1.48) (186.19) (1.23) Market 0.066*** 0.293*** -0.374 0.203*** 0.055*** (3.65) (7.21) (-0.92) (26.37) (1.97) Cost -0.193 (-0.74) lpgdp 1.930*** 0.546*** 0.004 0.675*** -1.612 0.344*** (31.59) (7.26) (0.89) (10.12) (-1.37) (3.08) lroad 0.08*** 0.129*** 0.001 0.134*** 1.796*** 0.266*** (3.46) (5.02) (0.34) (5.23) (3.72) (5.69) lfdi -0.065*** 0.020 0.003*** 0.016 0.505* -0.008 (-5.26) (1.44) (2.89) (1.19) (1.68) (-0.35) Industry -0.042*** -0.000 -0.001*** -0.003 0.073* 0.021*** (-17.62) (-0.16) (-3.81) (-1.29) (1.90) (4.98) tec 0.320*** -0.163 -0.007 -0.146 -2.359* -0.045 (3.20) (-1.50) (-1.04) (-1.34) (-1.70) (-0.36) lscg 0.647*** 0.076 -0.004 0.117** -1.437 0.218** (15.13) (1.59) (-1.37) (2.52) (-1.31) (2.07) ldis 10.132*** -0.852** -0.011 -0.157 31.628*** 0.469 (29.13) (-1.98) (-0.47) (-0.40) (3.91) (0.70) _cons -108.525*** 10.134*** 0.128 2.752 10.678*** -251.641*** 10.493*** -2.586 (-38.88) (2.73) (0.65) (0.89) (24.63) (-3.47) (132.47) (-0.43) city Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes year Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes N 3939 3894 3937 3895 80 75 916 828 r2_a 0.933 0.344 0.913 0.341 0.373 0.484 0.411 0.589 F 6884.986 258.037 5182.568 255.714 51.947 10.188 695.610 156.457