中欧班列开通对中国沿线城市出口贸易的影响及机制检验

赵明亮, 刘钦香, 孙威, 高沙尔·吾拉孜

The impact of the opening of China Railway Express on the export trade of cities along the rail line in China and the mechanism test

ZHAO Mingliang, LIU Qinxiang, SUN Wei, WULAZI Gaoshaer

表2 基准回归结果

Tab. 2 Benchmark regression results

	(1) lex	(2) lex	(3) lex	(4) lex	(5) lex	(6) lex	(7) lex	(8) lex
Treat×Post	0.742^***	0.142^***	0.140^**	0.103^*	0.100^*	0.109^*	0.098^*	0.102^*
	(11.52)	(2.59)	(2.54)	(1.90)	(1.71)	(1.85)	(1.67)	(1.72)
lpgdp		0.859^***	0.718^***	0.737^***	0.762^***	0.779^***	0.662^***	0.674^***
		(43.94)	(26.66)	(24.86)	(25.01)	(23.19)	(11.15)	(10.11)
lroad			0.195^***	0.153^***	0.140^***	0.141^***	0.133^***	0.134^***
			(7.70)	(6.06)	(5.46)	(5.48)	(5.22)	(5.23)
lfdi				0.028^**	0.024^*	0.023^*	0.017	0.016
				(2.23)	(1.81)	(1.72)	(1.23)	(1.16)
Industry					-0.004^*	-0.004^**	-0.003	-0.003
					(-1.75)	(-2.03)	(-1.20)	(-1.25)
tec						-0.128	-0.155	-0.144
						(-1.21)	(-1.46)	(-1.33)
lscg							0.115^**	0.118^**
							(2.51)	(2.54)
ldis								-0.156
								(-0.40)
_cons	11.071^***	2.265^***	2.028^***	2.008^***	2.088^***	1.975^***	1.494^***	2.742
	(829.64)	(11.28)	(10.04)	(10.12)	(9.55)	(8.30)	(4.75)	(0.88)
city	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes
year	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes
N	4359	4265	4223	4099	3904	3904	3895	3895
r²_a	-0.035	0.302	0.314	0.334	0.340	0.340	0.342	0.341
F	132.659	1061.802	737.452	583.871	457.040	381.158	328.793	287.647