不确定性视角下的中国省际人口迁移机制分析
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蒲英霞, 武振伟, 葛莹, 孔繁花
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Analyzing the spatial mechanism of interprovincial migration in China under uncertainty
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PU Yingxia, WU Zhenwei, GE Ying, KONG Fanhua
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表5 全要素空间OD模型(单一模型)各变量的效应分布
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Tab. 5 Effects distribution of explanatory variables in the spatial OD model with all elements (single model)
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| 变量 | 总体效应 | | 迁出地效应 | | 迁入地效应 | | 网络效应 | | Lower 5% | 均值 | Upper 95% | Lower 5% | 均值 | Upper 95% | Lower 5% | 均值 | Upper 95% | Lower 5% | 均值 | Upper 95% | | POP | 2.862 | 4.609 | 6.832 | | 1.270 | 2.012 | 2.842 | | 0.178 | 0.519 | 0.863 | | 1.061 | 2.077 | 3.566 | | GDP | -4.281 | -2.764 | -1.456 | -1.682 | -1.090 | -0.546 | -0.764 | -0.398 | -0.089 | -2.270 | -1.275 | -0.618 | | Wage | -5.202 | -3.267 | -1.628 | -1.060 | -0.496 | 0.060 | -1.539 | -1.064 | -0.563 | -3.037 | -1.707 | -0.901 | | Urban | -4.327 | -1.776 | 0.282 | -0.597 | 0.314 | 1.273 | -1.572 | -1.013 | -0.474 | -2.400 | -1.077 | -0.045 | | HB | -0.145 | 1.383 | 3.118 | -0.188 | 0.577 | 1.269 | -0.243 | 0.176 | 0.571 | -0.090 | 0.630 | 1.536 | | Edu | 1.680 | 3.431 | 5.558 | -0.067 | 0.596 | 1.258 | 0.617 | 1.060 | 1.495 | 0.834 | 1.775 | 3.072 | | Flow | 0.764 | 1.300 | 1.918 | -0.245 | -0.020 | 0.183 | 0.466 | 0.585 | 0.710 | 0.429 | 0.735 | 1.154 |
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